tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1953410733493889728.post1544203680549956080..comments2024-02-29T12:38:32.191-08:00Comments on MUSINGS ON IRAQ: Iran’s Policy In Syria and IraqJoel Winghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09611810110771744360noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1953410733493889728.post-35466679127961972512014-11-12T17:46:08.519-08:002014-11-12T17:46:08.519-08:00That's the reason why PM Abadi is pushing the ...That's the reason why PM Abadi is pushing the National Guard idea. It will allow local forces to be formed and be put under control of the governors. This will allow the raising of Sunnis forces to control Sunni areas instead of having them garrisoned by Shiite forces. Joel Winghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09611810110771744360noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1953410733493889728.post-43167586371827173952014-11-12T15:51:15.801-08:002014-11-12T15:51:15.801-08:00I am speaking without ANY local knowledge, so comm...I am speaking without ANY local knowledge, so common sense would dictate that I defer to you. But I don't see how a federal Iraqi government will establish monopoly of force over Sunni Iraq given the current (and expected near-future) status of Shia-Sunni mistrust. Sunnis who dont like living in Somalia will come to Shia-owned Iraq and live the best they can. The rest will blow stuff up and get blown up in return. Once any modern Islamic state falls apart (meaning the Western or Russian colonial state falls apart for whatever reason), the next common denominator is Islam. And that denominator is currently in a very parlous state. The mainstream is confused, the "radicals" have theology on their side and have the more attractive arguments. I really doubt it can end well...omarali50https://www.blogger.com/profile/18339646412159310679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1953410733493889728.post-62104796136099902392014-11-11T15:40:05.304-08:002014-11-11T15:40:05.304-08:00I think the opposite. All the talk of Sunni autono...I think the opposite. All the talk of Sunni autonomy from local authorities has died as they have come to Baghdad begging for assistance. Anbar is a perfect example which was the center of the Sunni protests is now complaining about how Baghdad has ignored their please for weapons, training, air strikes, etc. Ninewa Governor Nujafi who was also pushing the issue of autonomy just got kicked out of his party. There are few voices left advocating this point. Joel Winghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09611810110771744360noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1953410733493889728.post-72250741677409865632014-11-11T09:46:52.876-08:002014-11-11T09:46:52.876-08:00There is no Iraq any more. People have voted with ...There is no Iraq any more. People have voted with their guns. Kurdistan, Shia Iraq and Sunni Iraq are the future. This may suit Iran, but it is a done deal by now. Even if and when Sunni Iraq recovers as a more "normal" country (which may take longer than expected; Allah has not guaranteed that all problems will end have a happy ending; they may become Somalia for decades) it will not submit to Shia-dominated federal Iraq. That ship has sailed. omarali50https://www.blogger.com/profile/18339646412159310679noreply@blogger.com