Iran's Energy Minister (left) and Iraq's Electricity Minister (right) meeting in Baghdad to sign energy agreement (Rudaw) |
Iraq is continuing its balancing act between Iran and the United States over sanctions. On the one hand it is continuing with its trade deals with Tehran, while attempting to comply with parts of Washington’s demands.
Iraqi officials continue to say that they will not abide by
the Trump administration’s sanctions. Prime Minister Abdul Mahdi has said this several
times, and Foreign Minister Mohammed Ali al-Hakim repeated
that statement in January 2019. At the end of 2018, Iran’s Energy
Minister Reza Ardakanian was in Baghdad and signed a
Memorandum of Understanding with Iraq’s Electricity Minister Luay
al-Khateeb for long term energy cooperation between the two. Iraq depends upon
Iran for nearly one-third
of its electricity. It imports electricity and natural gas to run
power plants. Iraq can’t wean itself off of Iranian energy and gas immediately,
so it needs to maintain these ties. There is also a large group of pro-Iranian
parties in the parliament that resent the American actions, so the public
statements by the government about not following Washington appease them as
well.
Iraq’s continued ties with Iran does not mean Baghdad is
neglecting the U.S. It just received another
waiver on sanctions from the Trump administration for 90 days. It
also signed a large deal with General Electric to build new power plants and
improve the network, which will lessen the need for Tehran in the future. The
Americans have pushed such deals to maintain its waiver, and to wean Iraq from
Iran. Finally, the Central Bank of Iraq has
agreed to not allow Iran access to dollar auctions it runs and not
to use American currency in transactions with Tehran to deprive it of hard
currency. These steps show that the Mahdi government is complying with
Washington so that it can maintain its exemption.
Iran and the United States are two of Iraq’s most important
allies. That is the reason why the Mahdi government has tried to play it down
the middle between the two. It has assured Tehran that it will maintain ties
throughout the sanctions, which will allow Iran to continue to make money while
other sources are cut off. At the same time, it is promising Washington that it
will help with its Iran policy, and attempt to reduce its dependence upon
Iranian energy in the long run. This is a reasonable approach as Baghdad cannot
afford to antagonize either one and serves its own interest to play both sides.
SOURCES
Faucon, Benoit, Puko, Timothy and Coles, Isabel, “U.S.
Grants Iraq Sanctions Relief in Bid to Boost Business Deals,” Wall Street
Journal 12/21/18
Hickin, Paul, “Iraq gets 90-day Iran sanctions waiver from
Washington,” S&P Global Platts, 12/20/18
Lando, Ben and Van Heuvelen, Ben, “U.S. grants new Iran
sanctions waiver to Iraq,” Iraq Oil Report, 12/20/18
Al Masalah, “Abdul-Mahdi: Iraq is not part of US sanctions
against Iran,” 12/11/18
Middle East Eye, “Iraq ‘not obliged’ to abide by US
sanctions on Iran, says foreign minister,” 1/2/19
Rudaw, “Iraq, Iran ink energy sector agreement,” 12/28/18
Zidane, Salam, “Iran pushes Iraq to maintain trade without
US dollar,” Al Monitor, 1/4/19
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