Security In Iraq Jun 14-21, 2025

In the middle of June there were two security incidents in Anbar province likely related to the on going Israel-Iran conflict.

 

On June 13 a drone was shot down outside the Ain Al-Asad airbase in Anbar. The next week on June 15 a missile was also intercepted by the defense systems at the base.  

 

Ain Al-Asad houses U.S. troops and was often targeted by pro-Iran groups when they were carrying out attacks in support of the Palestinians. Those operations began in large numbers in October 2023 and lasted until November 2024 when they ceased after Israel agreed to a ceasefire with Lebanon.

 

Tehran’s allies have largely been silent since then due to the new Trump administration. When Trump returned to office the U.S. began threatening sanctions and attacks upon pro-Iran groups. Many leaders went into hiding as a result. Occasionally they told the U.S. to leave Iraq and that their troops would be attacked but did nothing substantive.

 

That pattern was repeated when Israel began attacking Iran. Some groups warned that they would carry out operations against American targets if the U.S. got involved in the conflict.

 

The big question is what these factions will do now that the United States has bombed Iran. Will they support their sponsor by launching drones and rockets at Americans in Iraq or will they stay quiet? If they do act will it be something symbolic or be more serious and sustained? It will likely be the former since Iran has so few assets left and can’t afford to lose them.

 

 

Security Incidents In Iraq By Province

Province	Jun 1-7	Jun 8-14	Jun 15-21
Anbar	-	1 Pro-Iran	1 Pro-Iran

 

Security In Iraq 2023-25

Week	Security Incidents (Total/By IS)	Dead (Total/By IS)	Wounded (Total/By IS)
JAN 2023	29/4 Pro-Iran	12	15
FEB	20/3 Pro-Iran	12	18
MAR	9	18	8
APR	16	6	8
MAY	15	8	14
JUN	10	10	10
JUL	11/2 Pro-Iran	2	4
AUG	13/1 Pro-Iran	2	23
SEP	5	2	6
OCT	17/15 Pro-Iran	-	8
NOV	35/29 Pro-Iran	15	29 (8 Amer)
DEC	35/26 Pro-Iran	2K	16W
Jan 1-7	10/6 Pro-Iran/1 Iranian	5	9
Jan 8-14	7/3 Pro-Iran	3	3
Jan 15-21	10/6 Pro-Iran	6	6
Jan 22-28	11/10 Pro-Iran	-	-
Jan 29-31	3 Pro-Ira	-	-
JAN 2024	42/28 Pro-Iran/1 Iranian	14	20
Feb 1-7	1 Pro-Iran	-	-
Feb 8-14	-	-	-
Feb 15-21	-	-	-
Feb 22-29	1	-	-
FEB	2/1 Pro-Iran	-	-
Mar 1-7	4/2 Pro-Iran	1	4
Mar 8-14	8/1 Pro-Iran	4	8
Mar 15-21	2	-	2
Mar 22-28	2 Pro-Iran	-	-
Mar 29-31	2/1Pro-iran	1	1
MAR	18/6 Pro-Iran	6	15
Apr 1-7	3/2 Pro-Iran	-	-
Apr 8-14	1 Pro-Iran	-	-
Apr 15-21	3 Pro-Iran	-	-
Apr 22-28	1 Pro-Iran	4	-
Apr 29-30	1	2	-
APR	9/7 Pro-Iran	6	-
May 1-7	3 Pro-Iran	-	-
May 8-14	6/5 Pro-Iran	5	5
May 15-21	11/9 Pro-Iran	1	6
May 22-28	6/2 Pro-Iran	11	12
May 29-31	1 Pro-Iran	-	-
MAY	27/20 Pro-Iran	18	22
Jun 1-7	4 Pro-Iran	-	-
Jun 8-14	2 Pro-Iran	-	-
Jun 15-21	2/1 Pro-Iran	1	-
Jun 22-28	5 Pro-Iran	-	-
Jun 29-31	1 Pro-Iran	-	-
JUN	14/13 Pro-Iran	1	-
Jul 1-7	2 Pro-Iran	-	-
Jul 8-14	4	10	4
Jul 15-21	4 Pro-Iran	-	-
Jan 22-28	2 Pro-Iran	-	-
Jul 29-31	-	-	-
JUL	12/8 Pro-Iran	10	4
Aug 1-7	3/2Pro-Iran	-	10 (5 Amer)
Aug 8-14	2	2	-
Aug 15-21	2/1 Pro-Iran	-	2
Aug 22-28	2 Pro-Iran	-	-
Aug 29-31	4/1 Pro-Iran	4	8 (7 Amer)
AUG	13/6 Pro-Iran	6	20 (14 Amer)
Sep 1-7	3/1 Pro-Iran	5	4
Sep 8-14	3/1 Pro-Iran	4	5
Sep 15-21	5/2 Pro-Iran	-	7
Sep 22-28	18 Pro-Iran	-	-
Sep 29-30	8 Pro-Iran	-	-
SEP	37/30 Pro-Iran	9	16
Oct 1-7	21/18 Pro-Iran	6	14
Oct 8-14	17 Pro-Iran	-	-
Oct 15-21	9/8 Pro-Iran	1	-
Oct 22-28	17 Pro-Iran	-	2 US Soldiers
Oct 29-31	6 Pro-Iran	-	-
OCT	70/66 Pro-Iran	7	14 (2US Soldiers)
Nov 1-7	18 Pro-Iran	-	-
Nov 8-14	19 Pro-Iran	-	-
Nov 15-21	10/9 Pro-Iran	3	3
Nov 22-28	2 Pro-Iran	-	-
Nov 29-30	-	-	-
NOV	49/48 Pro-Iran	3	3
Dec 1-7	-	-	-
Dec 8-14	1	2	2
Dec 15-21	-	-	-
Dec 22-28	2	6	2
Dec 29-31	2	2	3
DEC	5	10	7
Jan 1-5	1	1	-
Jan 8-14	1	-	3
Jan 15-21	2	8	5
Jan 22-28	-	-	-
Jan 29-31	-	-	-
JAN 2025	4	9	8
Feb 1-7	1 Pro-Iran	-	-
Feb 8-14	3	1	6
Feb 15-21	1	-	-
Feb 22-28	1	-	2
FEB	6/1 Pro-Iran	1	7
Mar 1-7	1	-	-
Mar 8-14	-	-	-
Mar 15-21	-	-	-
Mar 22-28	-	-	-
Mar 29-31	-	-	-
MAR	1	-	-
Apr 1-7	-	-	-
Apr 8-14	-	-	-
Apr 15-21	-	-	-
Apr 22-28	-	-	-
Apr 29-30	-	-	-
APR	-	-	-
May 1-7	1	-	1
May 8-14	1	-	-
May 15-21	-	-	-
May 22-28	-	-	-
May 29-31	-	-	-
MAY	2	-	1
Jun 1-7	-	-	-
Jun 8-14	1 Pro-Iran	-	-
Jun 15-21	1 Pro-Iran	-	-

 

SOURCES

 

Al Alawi, Hadya, “Back in the crossfire: Iraq’s Tehran-backed militias prepare to support Iran if US intervenes,” The National, 6/20/25

 

Bas News, "Iraq's Hezbollah Threatens to Target US Interests if Iran is Attacked,” 6/19/25

 

Al Masalah, “US forces shoot down 3 drones near Ain al-Asad base,” 6/13/25

 

Al Sumaria, "A missile fell near ain al-Sad base," 6/15/25