Thursday, June 16, 2011

Iraq’s Monthly Death Counts For May 2011

May 2011 saw mixed numbers for Iraq’s monthly death count. Usually, the organizations that keep track of casualties in the country follow the same general trend, meaning they all go up and down at the same time. Last month that didn’t happen, but it was not the first time.

For May 2011 Iraq Body Count and icasualties saw an increase in deaths, while Iraq’s ministries reported a drop. Iraq Body Count had 356 killed for the month, compared to 285 in April, and icasualties had 223 in May, up from 152. Iraq’s Health, Defense, and Interior Ministries reported a drop from 211 deaths in April to 177 in May. That averaged out to 252 casualties in May, and 8.1 deaths per day for the month. That was up from the previous three months that saw around 7 deaths per day, but it was not a notable increase.

While each organization always has different monthly totals, they usually follow the same pattern. May was an exception, but not the first. That happened as recently as March when Iraq Body Count and Iraq’s Ministries had increases from February, while icasualties noted a drop.

The rise in deaths for May was likely the result of a slight up tick in attacks in Iraq for the last month. In April there were around 60 security incidents per month. For May that went up to just under 70. As reported before, violence is going up because Iranian backed Special Groups are stepping up their operations against U.S. forces trying to take responsibility for their planned withdrawal by the end of the year.  
Click on image for larger view
(Iraq Business News)
As reported before, deaths in Iraq have hit a plateau since January 2009. That was when many Sunnis decided to give the country’s political process a try, first in that year’s provincial council elections, and than the parliamentary vote in 2010. There are occasional spikes in attacks, but overall deaths in Iraq are pretty stagnant right now.
 
Last 12 Months Iraqi Death Counts And Averages
Month
Iraq Body Count
Icasualties
Iraqi Ministries
Avg. Monthly Deaths
Avg. Daily Deaths
Jun. 10
368
176
284
276
9.2
Jul.
430
534
535
499
16.1
Aug.
517
363
426
435
14.0
Sep.
252
174
273
233
7.7
Oct.
311
185
293
263
8.4
Nov.
302
174
171
215
7.1
Dec.
217
128
151
165
5.3
Jan. 11
387
210
259
285
9.2
Feb.
250
216
167
212
7.5
Mar.
307
171
247
241
7.7
Apr.
285
152
211
214
7.1
May
356
223
177
252
8.1

SOURCES

Agence France Presse, “Iraq death toll in May lowest in 2011,” 6/1/11

icasualties

Iraq Body Count

No comments:

Mosul Campaign Day 191, Apr 25, 2017

The Golden Division freed the Tanak neighborhood located on the far left. The police are still fighting over the Old City on the far rig...