The summer months have brought about Iraq’s seasonal hot
weather. That has also led to a new wave of protests over power shortages for
the third time in four years. The demonstrations started in Nasiriyah in Dhi
Qar in early June 2013, and have since spread to Basra, Muthanna, Maysan, and
Wasit governorates. They have charged the government with incompetence and
corruption, and asked for Deputy Premier Shahristani who is in charge of energy
policy and Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki to step down. The growing protests
have applied enough pressure on Baghdad that Maliki, Shahristani, the
Electricity Ministry, and parliament are all exchanging accusations over who is
responsible for this fiasco. The problem is that the Electricity Ministry is
incapable of meeting demand, likely leading to growing anger and demonstrations
throughout the south.
Demonstration in Basra July 2013 over the lack of electricity
(Dananer)
Protests over the lack of electricity are taking place in five
of Iraq’s eighteen governorates. The first were in Nasiriyah at the beginning
of June. By July, they had spread to Basra, Maysan, Muthanna, and
Wasit. People in Basra have called for the prime minister to step down,
holding him responsible for the failure to provide services and security. These demonstrations have gained the support of the governors of Basra and
Dhi Qar showing that the anger over this issue is not just in the street,
but in the halls of the local governments as well. All of these provinces saw similar activities in 2010 and 2011. Many Iraqis have simply lost faith in
Baghdad providing for their needs. Every year since 2003, the Americans and
then the Iraqi authorities have claimed that the country would overcome its
chronic power outages in just a few months to a year. While production has
steadily increased, so has demand as Iraqis, freed from sanctions, have bought
more and more consumer goods like refrigerators, televisions, and air
conditioners. That’s what has led to these constant protests over the last
several years, as the Electricity Ministry has never produced enough power to
catch up with the escalating levels of usage.
Parliament has tried, but failed to hold the government
accountable for the repeated failure to solve the electricity problems. The
legislature recently called on Deputy Premier Hussein Shahristani and
Electricity Minister Abdul Karim Aftan to appear before it, but the former
refused. Aftan testified to the oil and energy committee, and tried to deflect blame to the Finance Ministry for not allocating funds for projects,
and the Oil Ministry for not providing enough fuel. At the same time, the
minister admitted that he lacked experienced and trained staff to man all the
new power plants being build. Parliament has brought up other issues as well
such as why Iraq bought gas driven turbines when it doesn’t have enough natural
gas to fuel them, and continues to purchase them, as well as why 18% of the country is not connected to the national grid. These problems and
others have been known for years, and brought up again and again by lawmakers,
but to no affect. The parliament is given wide ranging oversight powers under
the 2005 constitution, but either chooses not to exercise them or is ignored by
the government. Electricity is a perfect example, as lawmakers’ constant
criticism has brought no changes.
Government officials have responded to the renewed protests by
blaming each other for the country’s predicament. Prime Minister Maliki
recently said that the Electricity Ministry was responsible for the power
failures, claiming that it had failed by signing fraudulent contracts with
companies. He went on to claim that Deputy Premier Shahristani gave him erroneous information about the power sector. That set off rumors that Shahristani
was going to resign, but that was quickly denied. The deputy’s office responded
that he was only responsible for formulating strategy and coordination when it
came to the energy file, and went on to point to the Electricity Ministry
as the main culprit. This was a rare break within Maliki’s coalition, and
showed what pressure he must be under. Shahristani is the head of the
Independents bloc one of the most important elements within the prime
minister’s State of Law list. Maliki has been willing to fire officials in the
past to make them scapegoats for government failures, but going after the head
of a party, especially one so crucial to the premier’s own list is quite
different. If the demonstrations were the only thing going on in the country,
the prime minister would not be publicly breaking with Shahristani. Instead,
Sunni protests continue in western, northern and eastern parts of the country,
the insurgency is taking off, and most importantly, the premier is facing
re-election next year. That’s leading to some desperation with the
recriminations.
The Electricity Ministry has tried to act like everything is
proceeding according to plan, but its own figures don’t add up. Minister Aftan
announces almost every week that the power shortages will be over by the end of the year. The Ministry claims that it is producing 10,600 megawatts, and
constantly talks about new power stations coming on line soon. That figure is
actually probably the capacity that the country has reached, not its actual
output. For example, it always notes there is a lack of fuel that is cutting into production. More importantly, the Ministry wants to achieve 11,000
megawatts by the end of 2013, while stating that demand is at 14,000 megawatts.
It is therefore impossible for the energy problem to be solved, as Minister
Aftan likes to claim. An adviser to Maliki recently pointed this factor out,
which is another reason why the premier and his deputy are pointing fingers at
the Electricity Ministry.
The increasing temperatures in the country are symbolic of
the growing anger felt amongst many common people over the lack of power
supplies in Iraq. The fact that this issue has dragged on for so long despite
the constant promises of officials has boiled over into the streets in the last
several years, and 2013 is no different. The infighting amongst officials is
not likely to solve anything other than some symbolic firings that try to
appease the public. That has not worked in the past, and won’t this year as the
Electricity Ministry knows that it can’t meet demand for power anytime soon.
The growing protests also come at a dire time for the prime minister who is facing
a number of other crises at the same time. The pressure upon him will only
increase in the coming months, as the protests are likely to spread to other
provinces. It is the lack of results that is bringing out the frustration of
Iraqis, and could cost Maliki in next year’s election.
SOURCES
Abdullah, Ali, “Minister of
Electricity renewed pledges that the end of the year ending the energy crisis,”
Buratha News, 7/15/13
Abedzair, Kareem, “Anti-government
protests reported in southern provinces,” Azzaman, 7/27/13
AIN, “SLC MP holds government
responsibly for not settling electricity crisis in Basra,” 7/22/13
- “Urgent…Parliament to re-summon
Shahristani, Aftan security leaders,” 7/27/13
Alsumaria, “Al Maliki points out
to failure of Iraq Electricity,” 7/25/13
Buratha News, “And tribal elders
Basra threatened large demonstrations in protest against the deteriorating of
electricity and purses confirms: I own files of corruption in the Ministry’s
projects,” 7/14/13
- “Dhi Qar pretend for the eighth
day in a row and the demonstrators contend: the sacking of police chief victory
for us and corrupt,” 7/26/13
Dananer, “Minister of Electricity
and renewed his pledge to end the crisis despite Maliki’s recognition of his
failure Baghdad,” 7/24/13
Ghazi, Ali, “State law: demonstrations
against electricity a conspiracy!!” Ur News, 7/24/13
Independent Press Agency, “The
governor of Dhi Qar announce his support for the demonstrators’ demands for
basic services such as electricity,” 7/17/13
Iraq Times, “Albzona: Basra
demonstrators demanding the dismissal of al-Shahristani,” 7/17/13
- “Basra residents are demanding
in the biggest demonstration so far al-Maliki to step down immediately,”
7/25/13
- “Demonstrations in Basra against
the miserable reality of Services,” 7/12/13
- “Samawah after Basra, Dhi Qar
demanding services in a night demonstrations,” 7/25/13
Al-Mada, “Confirmed that 18% of
the country’s areas not reached by electricity: Parliamentary Integrity calls
for replacing al-Shahristani, Aftan,” 7/28/13
- “Dhi Qar is deprived of two
thousand MW due to the delay monument new power stations .. And a lack of
transformers 50%,” 7/22/13
- “Electricity and fuel will not
arrive before the end of 2014 .. Shahristani responding to Maliki accused him
of failing,” 7/27/13
- “Electricity: Our production
reached more than ten thousand megawatts and processing of Baghdad arrived to
“12 hours,”” Al-Mada, 7/15/13
- “Iraqi electricity is again
“population coverage requirement in Baghdad and other provinces in full” before
the end of the year,” 7/26/13
- “Minister of Electricity: lack
of experience deprives us of running the new stations do not comment on the
loss of 61% of the current,” 7/28/13
New Sabah, “Dhi Qar respond to the
demonstrators and raise 80% of the iron gates,” 7/26/13
- “Minister of Electricity: $ to
trickle for the purchase of fuel,” 7/28/13
Radio Nawa, “Governor of Maysan
province threatens to sit in front of the Ministry of Electricity in the
absence of taking his proposals for improving the situation of electricity,”
7/14/13
Sabah, Mohammad, “Parliamentary
Integrity: Maliki prevented questioning of the Minister of electricity a month
ago and huge stations are left out in the cold,” Al-Mada, 7/17/13
Shafaq News, “Breaking News…
Shahristani’s office talks about the latter’s resignation,” 7/24/13
- “Large demonstrations in three
cities in Basra,” 7/13/13
2 comments:
Hi Joel,
I recently read comments from MP Suzan al Sa'ad (Oil and Energy Committee member) in which she urged the government to open the electricity up to the free market. To an extent I thought this was already happening with Hyundai, Siemens etc involved in projects. Do you know what government policy is on the issue of who builds power stations and supplies the electricity?
Great blog by the way!
Hi Nicasso,
Private companies are contracted to supply generators, refurbish and build new power plants by the Iraqi government, but the operation and distribution of electricity is controlled by the state through the Electricity Ministry. It has no real plans to privatize any part of the power grid, and what attempts it did make in the past failed.
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