(Iraqi News) |
The Trump administration just re-imposed sanctions on Iraq for its nuclear program. Prime Minister Haidar Abadi announced that Iraq would follow the U.S. lead, only to have his media office backtrack a few days later. Following sanctions is extremely difficult for Iraq. Iran is not only a major trade partner, but provides essentials such as electricity. Iraq also is a major source of U.S. dollars for Tehran. Iraq didn’t follow Obama era sanctions on Iran, and will likely do the same under Trump.
On August 10, Prime Minister Abadi told the media that his government would follow
the new U.S. restrictions on Iran. The PM’s media office added that Iraq would no longer use American dollars in transactions with
its neighbor. On August 13 however, the premier’s office clarified that the dollar ban was the only action Baghdad would be taking for
now. Trade issues would be decided later.
Cutting trade with
Iran would create hardships for Iraq. Iran’s commercial attaché at the Baghdad
embassy noted that the trade between the two countries totaled up to $12 billion
total, while the head of the Iran-Iraq Chamber of Commerce remarked that Iran sent up to $20 million a day in goods to Iraq. That
includes, food, consumer goods, electricity, and refined products. If the Abadi
government were to follow the U.S. on Iran it would be faced with severe
shortages. Many of the consumer products could eventually be met by other
neighbors such as Turkey, but setting up electricity lines, etc. would take
long term investments.
Iraq is also a major
source of hard currency for Iran. The Central Bank of Iraq carries out weekly
currency auctions, and has never been able to adequately regulate them. The
U.S. has pressured Baghdad about these auctions for years, most recently because the
Islamic State was using them to raise funds. The Central Bank responded with a
number of measures, but none has been adequate to stop IS or Iran and other
countries from buying dollars. In 2012 for instance, the New York Times ran a story that Tehran was using Iraqi banks to skirt sanctions and buy dollars.
Then like now, Baghdad never punished anyone for these transactions. Gaining
hard currency is very important for Iran during sanctions, because it allows
the country to continue to buy imports and pay for goods, while its traditional
sources of funding are being restricted by the United States. This is another
area in which Iraq is unlikely to follow U.S. restrictions.
SOURCES
Glazer, Emily,
Malas, Nour and Hilsenrath, Jon, “U.S. Cut Cash to Iraq on Iran, ISIS Fears,”
Wall Street Journal, 11/3/15
Habib, Mustafa,
“Making Nice With The Neighbours, Between US Sanctions and Iranian Influence,
Iraq Will Try, And Fail, At Compliance,” Niqash, 8/9/18
Mehr News Agency,
“Iran, Iraq enjoying $12bn trade volume in last 11 months,” 3/3/18
Al Noor News,
“Al-Abadi: Iraq Will Abandon The Dollar In Trade Accounts With Iran,” 8/10/18
Rasheed, Ahmed,
“Iraq to respect dollar ban but not all U.S. sanctions on Iran,” Reuters,
8/13/18
Risen, James and
Adnan, Duraid, “U.S. Says Iraqis Are Helping Iran to Skirt Sanctions,” New York
Times, 8/18/12
Yeranian, Edward,
“Iran’s Economic Worries Mount as Iraq Applies New US Sanctions,” Voice of
America, 8/10/18
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