Monday, September 10, 2018

Security In Iraq Sep 1-7, 2018

(Iraqi News)
Security in Iraq has been stable for the last five months. There have been roughly 40 incidents per week, while casualties have decreased since June. The Islamic State continues to rebuild as an insurgency in the middle of the country.

From September 1-7 there were 45 incidents reported in the media. There have been around the same number of incidents per week since April. Baghdad had the most incidents again with 16, the only province in double figures. That’s because violence has been down in the center recently. For example, there were only 3 incidents in Salahaddin, 6 in Kirkuk and 9 in Diyala, which are the main areas the Islamic State is regrouping in.

Security Incidents In Iraq By Province Sep 1-7, 2018
Babil 3
Ninewa 3
Salahaddin 3
Anbar 5
Kirkuk 6
Diyala 9
Baghdad 16

Casualties In Iraq By Province Sep 1-7, 2018
Babil 5 (3 K, 2 W)
Ninewa 9 (9 K)
Kirkuk 12 (10 K, 2 W)
Diyala 15 (7 K, 8 W)
Baghdad 19 (5 K, 14 W)
Anbar 21 (7 K, 14 W)
Salahaddin 26 (5 K, 21 W)

A total of 46 died and 61 were wounded during the week. 7 bodies were discovered in the Old City of Mosul leaving 39 violent deaths. 4 Iraqi Security Forces (ISF), 4 Hashd al-Shaabi, and 38 civilians lost their lives, and 5 ISF, 10 Hashd and 46 civilians were injured. Anbar with 21 and Salahaddin with 26 had the most casualties at the start of September.

The Islamic State’s leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi released his first recording in 11 months. In it, he mentioned that the group would follow its previous strategy for rebuilding by targeting the local security forces and tribal figures in Iraq. He also said that his followers would carry out targeted killings and recruitment in the Sunni community. Baghdadi was referring to how IS rebuilt itself after the Surge by going after the Sahwa and sheikhs, which were instrumental in turning local populations against the militants.

These tactics are being used in central Iraq again today. In Diyala for example, a local party official was kidnapped and assassinated in the Jalawla area in the northeast, and a checkpoint was attacked in Baquba in the west. In Kirkuk, a mukhtar’s office was hit with an IED, and a Hashd camp was struck by mortar fire. A village was also attacked and a currency exchange robbed. Finally, in Salahaddin another town was assaulted. Towns are regularly attacked to punish those that do not pay taxes, or ones that defy the organization, or simply to intimidate the locals and establish control. The robbing of the currency exchange was a classic example of the group’s use of criminal activities to fund itself.

For the last several months Anbar has largely been a sideshow for the insurgency but there are small signs that might be changing. There are still very few incidents, only 5 during the week. However the types of operations might be changing. During the start of September a Hashd commander’s house was attacked and there was an extended gun battle with the security forces where at least one suicide bomber was killed. Recently there has been more clashes with the ISF and a car bomb at the end of August, so this is something to look out for in the future.

Baghdad had the most incidents at 16 that led to 19 casualties. Since June, incidents have slightly climbed in the capital province. They remain all low level with a steady diet of shootings and IEDs. There was a major exception during the week however. That was a mortar attack upon the Green Zone on September 6. The last time a similar such incident occurred was February 2017. The mortars were likely fired by a pro-Iranian Hashd group, and Asaib Ahl Al-Haq was blamed as they have been the ones traditionally behind such attacks. It was speculated this was retaliation for the Iranian embassy being burned in Basra city during protests there.  

Islamic State Activity in Central Iraq 2018
Diyala
Shootings
(Totals)
IEDs/
Sticky Bombs
(Totals)
Gun Battles
Attacks on Checkpoints
Attacks on Mukhtars/
Sheikhs
Kidnappings
Attacks on Towns
Mortars
Suicide Bombers
Car Bombs
Jan
20
24
2
7
-
1
-
6
1
1
Feb
14
13
4
3
-
-
-
-
1
-
Mar
29
21
14
5
1
2
1
5
-
-
Apr
13
18
2
2
-
-
-
2
-
-
May
11
11
1
3
1
1
3
4
1
-
Jun
32
17
5
12
-
1
5
4
-
-
Jul
20
19
2
3
-
2
3
1
-
-
Aug
17
18
2
2
1
1
3
3
-
-
Sep
4
5
-
1
-
1
-
-
-
-

Kirkuk
Shootings
(Totals)
IEDs/
Sticky Bombs
(Totals)
Gun Battles
Attacks on Checkpoints
Attacks on Mukhtars/
Sheikhs
Kidnappings
Attacks on Towns
Mortars/
Rockets
Suicide Bombers
Car Bombs
Jan
13
6
4
1
-
-
-
3
3
1
Feb
21
10
7
3
-
-
-
4
1
-
Mar
22
15
11
2
-
2
1
3
1
1
Apr
18
4
3
1
-
-
8
1
-
1
May
14
28
2
-
2
1
1
4
4
-
Jun
25
12
4
2
-
2
10
6
-
-
Jul
7
20
1
2
-
-
-
-
-
1
Aug
7
20
2
1
2
-
-
2
-
1
Sep
2
2
-
-
1
-
1
2
-
-

Salahaddin
Shootings
(Totals)
IEDs/
Sticky Bombs
(Totals)
Gun Battles
Attacks on Checkpoints
Attacks on Mukhtars/
Sheikhs
Kidnappings
Attacks on Towns
Mortars/
Rockets
Suicide Bombers
Car Bombs
Jan
11
9
8
-
-
-
-
2
-
1
Feb
7
5
1
1
-
2
-
-
-
-
Mar
23
8
9
2
-
3
-
-
1
-
Apr
6
8
2
2
-
-
-
-
1
-
May
14
10
10
1
1
-
-
1
1
-
Jun
15
15
4
1
-
7
-
-
-
1
Jul
9
6
-
4
-
-
2
1
1
-
Aug
9
15
1
3
-
1
1
1
1
-
Sep
1
1
-
-
-
-
1
1
-
-

(Gun Battles, Attacks on Checkpoints, Attacks on Mukhtars, Attacks on Towns are all subsets of the total number of shootings and IEDs/Sticky Bombs reported)

Security In Iraq 2017-18
Week
Security
Incidents
Dead
Wounded
JAN 2017
719
1,923
4,374
FEB
628
1,891 + 399
2,511 + 1,634
MAR
720
3,504 + 278
3,302 + 2,925
APR
578
2,933
1,955
MAY
528
2,038
1,563
JUN
534
2,038
1,563
JUL
478
1,490
650
AUG
359
1,949
584
SEP
306
728
549
OCT
286
913
865 + 1,700
NOV
296
1,282
425
DEC
261
763
300
Jan 1-7
71
50
66
Jan 8-14
64
62
70
Jan 15-21
68
156
151
Jan 22-28
68
148
66
Jan 29-31
27
23
22
JAN 2018
298
439
(218 Violent
Deaths)
375
Feb 1-7
66
196
67
Feb 8-14
65
63
93
Feb 15-21
59
346
43
Feb 22-28
55
44
72
FEB
245
649
(233 Violent Deaths)
275
Mar 1-7
78
120
84
Mar 8-14
60
84
61
Mar 15-21
67
168
98
Mar 22-28
81
213
61
Mar 29-31
21
26
35
MAR
307
611
(466 Violent Deaths)
339
Apr 1-7
40
174
29
Apr 8-14
64
175
83
Apr 15-21
44
63
72
Apr 22-28
44
62
48
Apr 29-30
12
12
4
APR
204
486
(240 Violent Deaths)
236
May 1-7
51
57
56
May 8-14
56
68
49
May 15-21
39
58
82
May 22-28
51
73
51
May 29-31
21
42
15
MAY
218
298
(273 Violent Deaths)
253
Jun 1-7
55
100
32
Jun 8-14
72
108
88
Jun 15-21
42
83
19
Jun 22-28
52
58
65
Jun 29-30
18
22
14
JUN
239
371
(327 Violent Deaths)
218
Jul 1-7
56
58
91
Jul 8-14
44
57
31
Jul 15-21
54
61
64
Jul 22-28
36
65
21
Jul 29-31
24
26
11
JUL
214
267
(222 Violent Deaths)
218
Aug 1-7
49
57
30
Aug 8-14
47
43
51
Aug 15-21
45
26
45
Aug 22-28
42
29
64
Aug 29-31
33
69
44
AUG
216
224
(209 Violent Deaths)
234
Sep 1-7
45
46
61

Violence By Province Sep 1-7, 2018
Province
Violence
Anbar
5 Incidents
7 Killed
2 Civilians
2 Hashd
3 ISF
14 Wounded
5 ISF
9 Civilians

2 Shootings
2 IEDs
1 Grenade
1 Suicide Bomber Killed
Babil
3 Incidents
3 Killed
1 Hashd
2 Civilians
2 Wounded
2 Hashd

2 Shootings
1 IED
Baghdad
16 Incidents
5 Killed
5 Civilians
14 Wounded
14 Civilians

4 Shootings
4 IEDs
2 Sticky Bombs
2 Sound Bombs
1 Grenade
Diyala
9 Incidents
7 Killed
7 Civilians
8 Wounded
8 Civilians

4 Shootings
5 IEDs
Kirkuk
6 Incidents
10 Killed
1 ISF
9 Civilians
2 Wounded
2 Civilians

2 Shootings
2 IEDs
1 Rocket
1 Mortar
Ninewa
3 Incidents
9 Killed
9 Civilians

2 Shootings
Salahaddin
3 Incidents
5 Killed
1 Hashd
4 Civilians
21 Wounded
8 Hashd
13 Civilians

1 Shooting
1 IED
1 Rockets

SOURCES

Abdul-Zahra, Qassim, "Rockets Hit Baghdad's Green Zone After Protests Turn Violent," Associated Press, 2/11/17

Arab News, "Eight civilians killed in Iraq in suspected Daesh attacks," 9/3/18

Associated Press, "Mortars hit Iraq's Baghdad, protests in south turn violent," 9/7/18

Ebraheem, Mohammed, "Two people wounded as bomb blast targets mayor's house in Kirkuk," Iraqi News, 9/3/18
- "UPDATED: Death toll from today's car bomb attack in Anbar rises to 10," Iraqi News, 8/29/18

Al Forat, "Two people were killed by a terrorist attack targeting a checkpoint in Baquba," 9/2/18

Hassan, Hassan, “ISIS Is Ready for a Resurgence,” The Atlantic, 8/26/18

Al Hurra, "Iraq … Daash attacking a mosque in Shirqat and houses in Abu Sahri," 9/3/18
- "Iraq…Killed in a clash with gunmen between Anbar and Karbala," 9/5/18

Iraq News Agency, “Security source: Asaib Ahl Al-Haq fired four missiles at Basra airport in response to the Burning of the Iranian Consulate,” 9/8/18

Mostafa, Nehal, "12 worshippers wounded in Islamic State attack against mosque, south of Mosul," Iraqi News, 9/3/18
- "Two people killed, three others injured in Islamic State attack, west of Anbar," Iraqi News, 9/3/18

NINA, "Seven dead bodies for civilians recovered in old Mosul," 9/6/18

Rudaw, "Suspected ISIS militants kill 10 civilians in Kirkuk village: security sources," 9/3/18

Shafaaq News, "Daash kill a citizen in Khanaqin," 9/4/18
- "URGENT Iraqi forces thwart suicide attack on three provinces, including Karbala," 9/5/18

Al Sumaria, "At least two people killed and several wounded in clashes north Razaza," 9/5/18
- "The headquarters of a faction of the popular crowd was shelled by mortars," 9/7/18

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