(Reuters) |
When Iraq’s protests started on October 1 they occurred in Baghdad and across southern Iraq. By October 6 they were only happening in three provinces, one of which is supposed to stop by tomorrow. This dramatic reduction is due to government repression that has seen the police, the Counter Terror Forces, the army, and the Hashd all deployed into the streets gunning down over 100 people protesting against Iraq’s corrupt system.
Protests only occurred in one neighborhood of Baghdad
showing the decline in activism across Iraq. That occurred in Sadr
City. People tried to march
to a square, but were met by the security forces who shot at them killing
12. In another sign of escalation there was video
released on Twitter of RPGs being fired into a gathering. There was also another
attack upon a TV station belonging to the Hikma party. Video was released
of one of the media outlets being assaulted yesterday which showed a number
of SUVs and armed men in
uniforms getting out and smashing equipment. It’s been apparent that some
Hashd units have been deployed in Baghdad and other cities for the last several
days. The TV stations, the snipers, the mortar fire on Sadr City, etc. all look
like the handywork of that body. They did similar, although not as brazen work
in southern Iraq last year. The Hashd along with the police have obviously been
given orders to use extreme measures to sweep the streets of people and that is
working. In previous days people gathered in central Iraq and other
neighborhoods in all parts of the city. October 6 that was down to just Sadr
City.
There were only two demonstrations in southern Iraq. In
Nasiriya people gathered in downtown but were quickly dispersed. The army
was also
deployed in the city for the first time. Activists said that there was a major
arrest campaign going on by the police who had lists of people to round up.
In Qadisiya there was a similar occurrence as people
were broken up by the authorities by gunfire. Organizers said they submitted a list of demands to
the provincial government and will halt their activities until they hear back
from them. On October 1 there were protests in every southern province. Now
they are down to just Dhi Qar if people in Diwaniya call off their work. During
the day the government said 104
people had died, including 8 police, but the real number if likely higher. Again,
the deployment of various elements of the security forces, excessive violence
and scores of dead have finally deterred people. This could mark the end of
this year’s disturbances unless something dramatic happens and motivates people
to risk the dangers once again.
The government continued with their feckless response to the
demonstrations. The Baghdad Governor Falah al-Gazairy resigned.
One councilman told the press it had nothing to do with the protests. An
Interior Ministry spokesman claimed
that its forces had nothing to do with the attacks upon the people in Baghdad despite
tons of videos and eyewitness reports showing them shooting into crowds. At
same time, he said that they were investigating
who was behind the sniper fire that wracked the capital. These types of
statements strain the credulity of the public. They were just the latest
examples of how the authorities lacked credibility.
After five days of unrest Prime Minister Abdul Mahdi made
his first attempt to address the anger of the crowds, as pressure mounted on
him to step down. There was an emergency
meeting of the cabinet and a 17 point plan announced.
That included subsidized housing for the poor. money for the jobless, job
training, mini-loans, distribution of land, enlistment in the army, and
compensation for those killed in the protests. At the same time there was
a report that seven ministers wanted to resign, and that parties are
pressuring Abdul Mahdi to either quit or change his cabinet. Another
story had the U.S. Ambassador to Iraq saying that he expected the prime
minister to step down, while the American military disagreed. Last year, the
government tried to appease the activists first, and then turned to repressive
measures. This time, live ammo was used and people started dying on the first
day. After the demonstrations have died down, the premier finally offered
concessions, which will likely never happen. That also means that the moves to replace
him will die down now that there are less people coming out.
It appears for now that the government has escaped this
potentially revolutionary moment. Last year, the riots in the south were a
shock. There have been protests every year since 2011, but this was the first
time they became violent. This year, the police resorted to force right off the
bat. That led to an immediate escalation of the crowds that started off on
October 1 calling for jobs and services, to demanding the government to be
dismissed. Within a few days revolution was heard. People know that the Iraqi
political system is corrupt and only wiping away the elite will lead to change.
The last two years were the first time Iraqis were showing just how angry they
were with the situation. That’s because violence is way down allowing people to
focus upon the government. Baghdad might have avoided this crisis, but not
addressed its causes. Just as important is how can Iraq call itself a democracy
after this type of repression was deployed and the politicians showed they were
incapable of responding to the public with anything but the boot?
SOURCES
Abdul-Zahra, Qassim,
“Iraq blames ‘malicious’ hands as toll from unrest tops 100,” Associated Press,
10/6/19
Associated Press,
“Iraq government pledges to investigate live firing on protesters,” 10/6/19
Al Baghdadiya,
“Source: Demonstrations in Sadr City and security forces use live bullets to
disperse them,” 10/6/19
BBC, “Iraq protests:
UN calls for end to ‘senseless loss of life,’” 10/6/19
Ebraheem, Mohammed,
“Iraqi premier rejects resignation of seven ministers amid violent protests,”
Iraqi News, 10/6/19
Foltyn, Simona,
“Snipers blamed for bloodshed as Iraq death toll nears 100,” France 24, 10/6/19
Ghafuri, Lawk, “’If
we stop now, we will live in poverty forever’: a Baghdad protester promises to
persevere,” Rudaw, 10/6/19
Al Hurra, “’In a
clone of the Iranian approach’ .. The authorities draw up a list targeting
activists in Iraq,” 10/6/19
Al Mirbad, “Dhi Qar
reporter: The demonstrators in al-Nabi Ibrahim Street were completely
dispersed,” 10/6/19
- “Mass Arrests In
Dhi Qar After Being Free Of Parties And Demonstrations In Central Baghdad An In
Haboubi Square And The Prophet Ibrahim Street,” 10/6/19
- “The
Representative Of The Ministry Of Health Refuses To Announce The Number Of
Victims And The Representative Of The Ministry Of Interior Announces 6209 Dead
And Wounded Among The Demonstrators And Admits The Existence Of A Sniper
Hitting The Head And Heart,” 10/6/19
Kara, Joyce, “Iraq
Protestors literally trapped in a war zone. Their uprising met with RPG, live
ammunition and gunfire,” Twitter, 10/6/19
Lost Weapons, “what
looks like Golden Division ransacking al arabiyas offices,” Twitter, 10/6/19
Al Mirbad, “Calm
returns to Diwaniya after demonstrators disperse and block roads leading to the
local government building,” 10/6/19
- “Diwaniya
correspondent: the end of the Diwaniya demonstration after the formation of
committees to follow up the realization of demands,” 10/6/19
- “Source of
Al-Mirbad: 3 cases of suffocation of demonstrators in Diwaniya and injury of a
security associate with gunshot wounds,” 10/6/19
Reuters, “At least
18 killed in Iraq protests overnight as government promises reform,” 10/6/19
Rwanduzy, Mohammed,
“Baghdad Provincial Council accepts governor’s resignation,” Rudaw, 10/6/19
Szoldra, Paul and
Clark, James, “Senior US diplomat privately warns that Iraqi prime minister’s
resignation ‘appears inevitable’ amid deadly protests,” Task & Purpose,
10/6/19
Voice of America,
“Death Toll from Iraqi Protests Rises to Over 100,” 10/6/19
Yes Iraq, “Watch a
video .. The moment the storming of the office of Al-Arabiya and the event in
Baghdad,” 10/6/19
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