In late-January 2012 there was a deadly showdown between
protesters and the Iraqi army in the city of Fallujah in Anbar province.
Demonstrators were stopped from joining a large rally in the city, which led to
a confrontation, shots being fired, and dozens of casualties. This points to
the increasing tensions between the protest movement, which is in its second
month, and the government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki. Baghdad is giving lip
service to meeting their demands, but if the premier’s reactions to the
demonstrations in 2011 and 2012 are any indicator, his main priority is putting
an end to them.
Funeral for three protesters killed by the army on Feb. 25
in Fallujah (Reuters)
On January 25, 2013, Iraq’s latest protest movement turned
deadly. On that day, a group of people heading to a large gathering in Fallujah
was stopped at an army checkpoint in the western section of the city. The
crowd turned rowdy, and started throwing bottles and rocks at the soldiers,
leading them to open fire. Nine people ended up dead, and 60 were wounded. Immediately afterward, the acting Defense Minister Sadoun Dulaimi ordered the army to withdraw from sections of the city to prevent any further clashes, and
said an investigation would be opened into the incident. Prime Minister
Maliki called on the army to show restraint. At the same time, he said that foreign intelligence agents were behind the demonstrations, and blamed
protesters for the violence since they assaulted the checkpoint. Within
Fallujah itself, tensions were running high. Various leaders in Anbar
threatened violence against the army in retaliation, and demanded the arrest of
the soldiers responsible for the shooting. There were also reports of men
carrying guns being seen walking the streets before a curfew was imposed. An
army checkpoint was later attacked, which resulted in the death of one soldier
and the burning of a vehicle. One soldier was also killed and another wounded by a sniper. It was unclear whether this was the same or a different incident.
The mayor of Fallujah later said that there were instigators amongst the crowd that led to the army firing on them. Anti-government assemblies have been going on in Fallujah for the last two months. This was the first time there
were any fatalities, and raised tensions between the protest movement and the
government in Baghdad. More clashes are likely to occur in the future as anger
grows amongst the demonstrators, and the government attempts to place ever
greater restrictions upon them.
Protests in Anbar started in December 2012 after the Finance
Minister Rafi Issawi’s guards were arrested on terrorism charges. Fallujah and
Ramadi immediately saw large crowds gather in support of the Minister, as
Issawi is originally from the former. Those quickly spread to Salahaddin,
Ninewa, Tamim, and Diyala provinces, along with the Adhamiya neighborhood of
Baghdad. The demonstrators have called for the release of prisoners, an end to
torture, the reversal of deBaathification and the anti-terrorism law, and the
removal of Maliki. While these seem like legitimate demands, the way they have
been presented are often implicitly, and sometimes explicitly sectarian. The crowds for example are often seen flying the old Iraqi flag of the Saddam
era, which harkens back to the time when Sunnis ran the country, but invokes
negative reactions by others. This reflects the mood amongst Sunnis that they have become the victim of the new Iraq, claiming that the Shiite ruling parties have marginalized them since the 2003 invasion. The fact that the
insurgency has issued statements in support of the movement has not helped.
Izzat Ibrahim al-Duri for example, the head of the outlawed Baath Party and the
Naqshibandi insurgent group said that he supported the protests, and called for
them to overthrow the government, which he accused of being run by Iran. Al Qaeda in Iraq’s front group, the Islamic State of Iraq has issued similar comments. Despite those issues, the movement has grown so large that Grand Ayatollah
Ali Sistani has called on Baghdad to deal with the demonstrators’ demands. This is the third straight year that Iraq has seen protests. The previous two
years the cause was the lack of services, corruption, and unhappiness with the
government. Those issues are still in play, but the movement has failed to gain
any real support outside of largely Sunni areas. That has only increased
tensions with the prime minister who didn’t like the previous two protest
movements, and sees plots behind the new one, because of its sectarian tone.
Despite being firmly in power, Maliki and other leaders of the Shiite religious
parties still fear the return of the Baath Party, and have projected that paranoia
upon the new demonstrations.
Just like in 2012 Maliki has used his own demonstrations
like this one in Karbala to counter the anti-government ones (CNN)
Like the last two years, Baghdad has responded with a carrot
and stick approach. The prime minister’s media adviser Ali Hussein Musawi told the press that the government is dealing with the protesters’ demands. Acting Defense Minister Dulaimi and Human Rights Minister Mohammed Shaia’a
Sudani have made trips to Anbar to talk with the protesters. The Justice
Ministry announced that it released 721 women in December who had served their sentences, while the governor of Anbar said that 900 former soldiers and policemen had been reinstated in the province. Those were the carrots. The
use of the stick is increasing. For one, Maliki has accused political parties of paying people to show up at the protests, and claimed that they do not
represent the street. The premier has also stated that foreign powers are
causing the problems, and that the demonstrators want to bring back the Baath Party. A member of the prime minister’s State of Law list told the press
that some protesters were supporters of Al Qaeda in Iraq, while another
parliamentarian claimed that they were attempting to start a civil war like in Syria, which would destroy the country. On the ground, the security forces have stopped protesters from attending events in Anbar, Ninewa, Baghdad,
Salahaddin, and Tamim. On January 11, there was a clash between the
security forces and protesters in Mosul for example, when they blocked off the
main square, and then attacked the crowd, firing shots in the air, which ended
up wounding eight. On January 25, the Ninewa Operations Command barred the media from covering an assembly in Mosul. In early January, the government also
shut down three border crossings with Syria and Jordan in Ninewa and Anbar. Allegedly, this was done for security reasons, but it appears it was meant
to punish the provinces economically by cutting off their trade in retaliation
for the protests. Finally, Maliki has called out his supporters in pro-government marches, which have occurred throughout southern Iraq. This
is almost an exact replay of how the 2011 and 2012 protest movements were dealt
with. Then, Maliki promised reforms as concessions to the street. At the same
time, he issued orders to the authorities to restrict protests, rallied his
followers in counter-marches, and arrested and harassed members of the media
and protest leaders. It took several months, but the assemblies were eventually
broken up. Those same tactics are being employed now.
There is much pent up animosity within Iraq over the lack of
good governance, which is why there have been three straight years of protests.
This year has been different as it is only occurring in Sunni areas, and much
of their rhetoric expresses the anger of that community over what they see as
an increasingly Shiite supremacist regime. The movement appears to becoming
more organized with each day, but also more sectarian. The response of Prime
Minister Maliki is the same as to the previous two year’s movements, but with
added criticism and invective since he sees this as a possible avenue for his
enemies both foreign and domestic to challenge his power. What happened in
Fallujah on January 25 was not a planned clash, but the result of the premier’s
increasing use of the security forces to limit the scope of the protests.
Before, that the incident in Mosul could have easily resulted in deaths,
instead of just a few wounded from gunfire by the security forces. More of
these clashes can be expected in the future, as Baghdad slowly, but surely
tries to choke the life out of them.
SOURCES
AIN, “Ahrar MP criticizes demonstrations support
government,” 1/12/13
- “Araji describes Baghdad demonstrations as “Paid for
political interests,”” 1/12/13
- “Askari: Some aspects of demonstrations call to bring
Qaeda back to Iraq,” 1/6/13
- “Breaking News…950 former security elements to be
superannuated in Anbar,” 1/21/13
- “SLC MP: Anbar demonstrations sectarian, aiming at
simulate Syrian experience,” 1/6/13
- “Urgent…Maliki calls demonstrators to abandon demands like
releasing terrorists, restoring Baath,” 1/4/13
Alsumaria News, “Fallujah mayor: “infiltrators’ ignite
clashes between the army and demonstrators,” 1/26/13
Aswat al-Iraq, “Fallujah toll reaches to 9 killings and 60
wounded,” 1/25/13
- “Iraqi government responding to demonstrators’ demands,
Media Advisor,” 1/18/13
Daoud, Hussein Ali, “Top Sunni Cleric Encourages Iraqi
Protests Against Maliki,” Al-Hayat, 1/22/14
Ghazi, Yasir and Arango, Tim, “Iraq Parliament Votes to Keep
Maliki From Seekign New Term,” New York Times, 1/26/13
Haddad, Fanar, “Can a ‘Sunni Spring’ turn into an ‘Iraqi
Spring?’” Middle East Channel, Foreign Policy, 1/7/13
Maher, Ahmed, “Iraq Sunnis threaten army attacks after
protest deaths,” BBC, 1/25/13
National Iraqi News Agency, “Acting defense minister, Human
rights minister arrive to Anbar province,” 1/17/13
- “BREAKING NEWS Maliki calls on armed forces for self
restrain, Anbar’s wise to put off commotion,” 1/25/13
- “Dozens of pro- Maliki demonstrate in Baghdad,” 1/19/13
- “Iraqiya is to withdraw from parliament and the government
if the demands of the demonstrators are not implemented,” 1/23/13
- “Mahma Khalil warns security forces from escalation,
attack protestors in Niniveh,” 1/7/13
- “Minister of Defence orders to withdraw force in Falluja
Protest area,” 1/25/13
- “Nineveh Operations Command closes Ahrar Square in Mosul,”
1/5/13
- “Supporting al-Maliki, demonstrations in Samawa, Wasit and
Basra provinces,” 1/8/13
Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, “Thousands Rally Against
Iraqi Prime Minister,” 1/11/13
Raheem and Salman, “Fugitive Saddam deputy lends support to
Iraq Sunni protests,” Reuters, 1/5/13
Schreck, Adam, “Iraqi insurgents try to harness opposition
rage,” Associated Press, 1/26/13
- “Violence erupts at Iraq rally; 5 protesters killed,”
Associated Press, 1/25/13
Shafaq News, “Demonstrations in Mosul and security services
ban media coverage,” 1/25/13
- “Iraq announces releasing 721 women prisoners, including
10 women charged on terrorist issues,” 1/21/13
- “Maliki speaks out about demonstrations in the country for
$ 100 per protester,” 1/9/13
- “Maliki’s supporters raise the flags of Bahrain and set in
fire Erdogan’s images and the flag of Turkey,” 1/11/13
- “Religious Marjaa calls Anbar protesters not to listen to
the “clowns,”” 1/19/13
Al-Shaher, Omar, “Iraqi Border Closures Affect Commerce in
Sunni Regions,” Al-Monitor, 1/16/13
Sky, Emma and al-Qarawee, Harith, “Iraqi Sunnistan?” Foreign
Affairs, 1/23/13
Tawfeeq, Mohammed, “Thousands protest in Shiite provinces in
southern Iraq,” CNN, 1/8/13
Wyer, Sam, “Political Update: Mapping the Iraq Protests,”
Institute for the Study of War, 1/11/13
6 comments:
Dear Sir, you wrote about sectarian byas when the Anbar, Salah-AhDin Diyala and Adhamia/Baghdad demonstrated on the street. What can I tell you as Shiia and secular is that I support them -as many Shiia secular support their Sunni, Christian and other sects in Iraq- against the proxy Iranian governtment of Mr.Maliki and his associates: Asa'ib alh al-Haq and Khameneis/Haeri.
Where are Mr.Biden or Obama???
Joel, I think this is a breakthrough. Right now you are seeing the dissolution of the National Iraq Alliance, with the Sadrists as well as the Anbar and southern tribes joining the protests. Last week you saw several tribal leaders from Wasit, Diwaniah, Babil and Basra at Al Tisam in Anbar; Sadr is using the cleavage for his political ambitions, Sistanti demands a resolution. Also, lets not forget that the terrorism laws also affect the Shi'ia as well.
I meant State of Law coalition - not National Iraqi Alliance
I would disagree with that comment that either the National Alliance or State of Law is breaking up.
1st Sadr is only giving lip service to the demonstrators. He did the same thing in 2012. He says he supports them, but will not allow his followers to join the protests. Sadr only has marches when he orders them. Sadr is simply trying to maintain his image as a man of the street, and gain political points before this year's provincial elections. It's just like with the no confidence vote against Maliki, Sadr said he supported but never ordered his lawmakers to actually vote on it, and so Maliki is still in power.
2nd, the statement by Sistani that the government should deal with the protesters is pressure upon Maliki, but Sistani said the same thing in 2012 and the premier broke up the demonstrations anyway. He's aiming to do the same thing. This will not be an immediate crackdown, but will take months of slowly strangling the life out of the protests by placing more and more restrictions upon them.
Finally, delegations from southern provinces have gone to Anbar and there were a few small ones in provinces like Dhi Qar, but nothing more. I think that's because of the sectarian messages and images coming from some of the demonstrators and speakers. People waving Saddam era flags and talking about the Safavids and Persians, which is about Shiites being run by Iran, are not going to win many points with people in central or southern Iraq.
The Najaf delegation is a bigger deal - it consisted of members from tribal provinces of the south and central Euphrates alongside tribal elders from clans in Anbar, Nineveh and Diyala and Salahuddin. The main issue they came to talk about is the Justice and Accountability Law and the adaptation of Article 4 on terrorism. They also demanded a final statement on government's release of all those arrested under the terrorism law (like the security guards of Rafi al Issawi). The delegation decided to form a monitoring committee comprising of two members from each province to ensure the demands of the demonstrators were taken to the authorities in Baghdad--
Most importantly - the delegation gave Maliki a one-week ultimatum on issuing a final statement on the release of the prisoners, many of which are women (which of course provided the sensibilities of religious leaders). So, you can expect to see more protests this Friday in Najaf, and I expect larger protests by next Friday in Baghdad. There appears to be a movement inside the Shi’ia coalition to remove Maliki and replace him with some one like Shahristani.
http://www.alsharqiya.com/?p=36521
One more thing Joel; the Sunni protests early on coincided with Ashura.
Shia were further alienated from the protests as while they were commemorating the tragedy of Kerbala, Sunnis were protesting in Anbar, some with as you pointed out, sectarian symbols and slogans. Maliki exploited that by going to Kerbala, catering to his base, as @Thawra_city pointed out at the time.
I'd like to point out whether the Shia characterizing the Sunnis that way is fair or not is irrelevant; just saying that's another reason Shia are less inclined to be supportive of the protests.
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