Showing posts with label Ayatollah Sistani. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ayatollah Sistani. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 17, 2021

U.S. Army History Of Iraq War Vol 1 – Chapter 13 The Changing Of The Guard, Again, Spring-Summer 2004


The spring 2004 uprising by Moqtada al-Sadr and the 1st Battle of Fallujah killed any hope the U.S. might have of a short occupation and immediate withdrawal from Iraq. That led to a period of transition during the summer. There was a new U.S. commander General George Casey who created the first campaign plan for the war although the goal was the same, to get out. There was a new effort to rebuild the Iraqi security forces, the United Nations was finally able to broker a deal for the return of Iraqi sovereignty, while the Americans were hit with a new scandal.

Wednesday, April 14, 2021

Review My Year in Iraq, The Struggle to Build a Future of Hope

Bremer, Ambassador Paul L., My Year in Iraq, The Struggle to Build a Future of Hope, New York, London, Toronto, Sydney: Threshold Editions, 2006


 

My Year in Iraq, The Struggle to Build a Future of Hope is Paul Bremer’s attempt to claim that he successfully set Iraq on the right path while he was the head of the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) from 2003-04. The book is full of contradictions on some of Bremer’s major decisions and actually shows that he failed at all the issues he said were the most important for Iraq’s future.

Monday, February 24, 2020

Pro-Iran Groups Name New Acting Head Of Hashd

Pro-Iran Hashd units selected Muhammadawi to be new Hashd leader without consulting with other groups (Al Alam)


Pro-Iran groups appointed Abdul Aziz al-Muhammadawi aka Abu Fadak from Kataib Hezbollah as the new chief of staff of the Hashd. Reportedly he needs to be confirmed by either retired Prime Minister Adil Abdul Mahdi or Mohammed Allawi after his cabinet is voted upon. This move highlighted the growing divisions within the Hashd after the death of Abu Muhandis who helped unify those loyal to Tehran and worked to marginalize the others.

Sunday, November 3, 2019

Attempt at A General Strike In Iraq As Najaf-Tehran Stand Off Continues

Confrontation at Um Qasr Port, Basra (Al Ghad Press)


Iraqi activists continue to try to expand their actions. They were attempting to organize a general strike on Sunday November 3 via social media. Already schools have shut down after teachers and students walked out. Some unions and other professional groups have joined in as well. The Teachers’ Union for example extended their strike for another week. It seems only natural that they would try to build upon this even more.

Saturday, November 2, 2019

Najaf and Tehran Pick Sides In Protests

(Al Masalah)

Iraq saw the largest protests since they started as Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani said that he stood with the crowds. At the same time, the political negotiations over the future of Prime Minister Abdul Mahdi continue to go back and forth as Tehran sands by him.

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Have Iraq’s Protests Reached A Tipping Point?

(AFP)

Protests continued across Baghdad and southern Iraq. Some of the political class and Grand Ayatollah Ali Al-Sistani made statements about reforms and having the government resign. However they didn’t seem to be enough as calls for revolution were being heard more and more. The demonstrations could be reaching the point where they will not accept anything less than radical change, which the ruling elite are incapable of delivering. That means only force will quell them, and that’s already being used more and more by the authorities.

Thursday, September 26, 2019

Review Squandered Victory, The American Occupation And the Bungled Effort to Bring Democracy to Iraq



Larry Diamond was a political science professor at Stanford University specializing in democracy who was called up by his friend from that school National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice to help the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) draft Iraq’s transitional constitution. Diamond had opposed the 2003 invasion, but thought it worthwhile to try to help foster democracy in the country. He came away deeply troubled by his experience which he wrote about in Squandered Victory, The American Occupation and the Bungled Effort to Bring Democracy to Iraq. He believed the United States constantly made mistakes both before and after the invasion to the point that he called it “criminal negligence.”

Monday, July 8, 2019

Review Patriotic Ayatollahs, Nationalism In Post-Saddam Iraq


Review Sayej, Caroleen Marji, Patriotic Ayatollahs, Nationalism In Post-Saddam Iraq, Ithaca and London: Cornell University Press, 2019

Caroleen Marji Sayej set out to document the role of the leading Ayatollahs from Najaf. She argued that they played a pivotal role in post-Saddam Iraq. They were not quietist as many believed staying out of politics, but saw themselves s guides for the new Iraq. That didn’t mean they wanted an Iranian style Islamic state where clerics would run the government. Instead they pushed for a democratic Iraq. At the same time, they were challenged by others such as Moqtada al-Sadr who claimed equal standing with the ayatollahs even though he did not have their religious education. There were two major problems with the author’s thesis. The first was that she believed they wanted a non-sectarian Iraq, when they supported a Shiite majority victory in the 2005 elections. The second issue was that she took statements and fatwas from the clerics at face value and didn’t do the research into the overall situation leading to many very questionable assertions.

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Review The Occupation of Iraq, Winning The War, Losing The Peace


Review Allawi, Ali, The Occupation of Iraq, Winning The War, Losing The Peace, New Haven and London: Yale University Press, 2007

Initially, the dominant narrative about the 2003 invasion of Iraq came from the Americans and the British. As time passed, Iraqis were able to add their voice to what happened to their country. One of the most prominent was Ali Allawi. He had an interesting background as he was involved in exile opposition politics in the 1990s. Then, after the overthrow of Saddam, he served in the 2004 interim government and then the 2005 Jaafari administration. That insider perspective was what made his The Occupation of Iraq, Winning The War, Losing The Peace a standout book about post-Saddam Iraq. Allawi’s main thesis was that Iraq was a lesson in unintended consequences. The United States invaded a country which it took no time to study and never seriously planned for. The result was unleashing a firestorm of forces that were completely out of control of the Americans. The new Iraqi elite that took power was little better as they provided no national vision for the new Iraq, something that had been a problem since Iraq was formed after World War I. Allawi therefore believed that Iraq was an unmitigated disaster.

Monday, May 7, 2018

Ayatollah Sistani Makes Statement On Iraq’s 2018 Election But Will It Matter?


Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani finally released his much anticipated statement on Iraq’s May 2018 elections. He talked about not supporting the establishment politicians who had not served the interests of the Iraqi public. He played no favorites and did not call out any specific parties or individuals, which could have been anticipated as Sistani did not want to be caught up in partisan politics. At the same time, that allowed many of the Iraqi lists to claim they supported the Ayatollah’s statement even though it was aimed at them.

Tuesday, April 10, 2018

Musings On Iraq Interviews On The 2003 Invasion of Iraq and Its Aftermath


April 9 was the 15 year anniversary of the fall of Baghdad during the U.S. invasion of Iraq. Below are links to interviews that Musings On Iraq did about the invasion and its immediate aftermath.

Wednesday, February 14, 2018

Iran Had Both Sides In The 2004 Najaf Battle


In August 2004, the Americans took on the Mahdi Army in Najaf city. Earlier that year Moqtada al-Sadr’s militia led a failed uprising, and then continued attacks upon the Coalition in southern Iraq. That led the White House to authorize offensive operations against his forces, which led to the Battle for Najaf. During the fighting, Iran was intimately involved on both sides. On the one hand, it had advisers with the Mahdi Army helping them battle the Americans. On the other hand, it facilitated peace talks with the Iraqi government and Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani to end the conflict. While that might seem like a contradiction, it perfectly encapsulated Tehran’s role in Iraq, which was to have connections to all sides to exert influence throughout the country.

Wednesday, November 11, 2015

A Review Of Iraq Premier Abadi’s Reform Program, Interview With Reidar Visser


Starting in August 2015 Iraq’s Prime Minister Haider Abadi began announcing a series of reforms to meet the demands of the street, which was full of demonstrators. He gained the support of Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani that gave him added standing to move forward with his program. Now he finds himself attacked on all sides by his political opponents that are rejecting any change and the protesters and other parties who don’t think the premier has gone far enough. To help explain PM Abadi’s position is Norwegian Iraq analyst and historian Reidar Visser who runs the blog Iraq and Gulf Analysis and is the author and co-author of Basra, the Failed Gulf State: Separatism and Nationalism in Southern Iraq, An Iraq of Its Regions: Cornerstones of a Federal Democracy? and A Responsible End?: The United States and The Iraqi Transition, 2005-2010. He can be followed on Twitter @reidarvisser.

Monday, May 11, 2015

Iraq’s War, Foreign Influence, And Domestic Issues, Interview With Dr. Abbas Kadhim


The war in Iraq is obviously dominating the headlines, but the country is facing a number of other pressing issues at the same time. The United States and Iran are playing out their rivalry within the nation. There are still on going disputes between the central and Kurdistan regional government. Prime Minister Haider Abadi is trying to push major institutional reforms. To discuss these issues is Dr. Abbas Kadhim. He is a senior foreign policy fellow at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies, and the president of the new Institute of Shia Studies.

Wednesday, July 30, 2014

Pressure Grows On Iraq’s Premier Maliki To Give Up On A Third Term

 
Iraq’s politicians have taken some important steps towards forming a new government. A speaker of parliament and a new president were elected in July 2014. Now President Fuad Masum must pick a candidate for prime minister from the largest bloc in parliament, which is the National Alliance (NA) made up of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s State of Law (SOL), the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq’s Citizen’s Alliance, Moqtada al-Sadr’s Ahrar bloc, and Ibrahim al-Jaafari’s National Reform Trend. That’s the last major barrier as Premier Maliki has refused to step aside despite opposition from within the NA, his own State of Law, the religious establishment in Najaf, and Iran.
New Iraqi President Masum is waiting for the National Alliance to name its candidate for premier. Will it be Maliki, another figure from State of Law or a politician from another list within the coalition? (Al Arabiya)

In mid-July a new speaker of parliament and president of Iraq were elected. On July 15, Salim Jabouri of Mutahidun was elected the new speaker, with Haidar Abadi of State of Law his first deputy and Aram Sheikh Mohammed of the Change List his second deputy. It took two rounds of balloting to select Abadi as he was challenged by Ahmed Chalabi who was elected to parliament as part of the Citizen’s Alliance. Chalabi did not actually desire the position, but wanted to make a point that Maliki could be stopped from being elected to a third term by his opponents. Then after some internal divisions within the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) were overcome Fuad Masum was elected the new president of Iraq on July 24. This was a break from former elections when the speaker, president and premier were all part of a package deal worked out by the winning lists. That was impossible this year since Maliki insisted that he be the candidate for prime minister, while his critics within the NA could not agree upon an alternative. What did hold was the ethnosectarian quota system with a Sunni becoming speaker and a Kurd being president. Likewise the premiership will remain with the Shiite parties.

Maliki is trying to wait out his opponents like he did in 2010, but there is more writing on the wall each week that he will not be able to hold onto power. Moqtada al-Sadr’s Ahrar bloc and the Supreme Council’s Citizen’s Alliance ran against the prime minister and have continued to demand that his State of Law replace him. Both Ahrar and Citizen’s said they had their own candidates such as former vice president Adel Abdul Mahdi, Ahmed Chalabi, and ex-Finance Minister Bayan Jabr, and that State of Law had alternatives like Maliki adviser Tariq Najm, Deputy Premier Hussein Shahristani and Transportation Minister Hadi Ameri, but could not move forward as long as Maliki demanded to remain in office showing the divisions within the National Alliance. The Najaf clergy has become more and more vocal against the prime minister. July 16 Sheikh Ali Najafi the spokesman for his father Ayatollah Bashir al-Najafi said that a new government needed to be formed quickly without Maliki to solve the on going crisis in the country. July 25 during Friday prayers Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani released a statement that Iraq’s leaders should not “cling” to power obviously referring to Maliki. Third, Iran has apparently come out against the premier’s third term. According to the Associate Press, the head of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ Quds Force General Qasim Suleimani talked with Maliki about stepping down, but he refused. Last splits have arisen within State of Law as well. After Sistani’s remarks the prime minister’s own Dawa Party said that it would follow the Ayatollah’s guidance. July 28 ISCI’s Buratha News reported that the Badr Organization left State of Law because of Maliki’s obstinacy. SOL has responded to all of these attacks by claiming that since it won the most seats it therefore has the right to pick the next premier. Maliki even went to the courts trying to get them to declare State of Law not the National Alliance as the largest bloc in parliament and thus giving it the sole right to name the premiership, but he was turned down. In 2010 the victorious parties took ten months to put together a new ruling coalition. Maliki dragged out the process and brought the courts, Tehran, and Washington eventually to his side. The Supreme Court for example ruled that the party that was able to put together the largest alliance after the election not the one that won the most votes had the right to name the candidate for premier. This has now come back to haunt Maliki as it makes his claim that the SOL’s victory in the polls gives him the right to stay in office invalid. Instead it is up to the divided NA to make that decision. His opponents within the coalition now have the backing of Najaf and Tehran if the AP story is correct. The latter was instrumental in ensuring Maliki a 2nd term after the last elections, but the Iranians may now seem him as a source of instability and want him out. Finally State of Law has lost its internal cohesion. The report about Badr leaving SOL may not be true, but there is definitely dissension within its ranks. The Iraqi elite is still not following the timetable laid out in the law to form a new government, but it is making slow progress as the election of Jabouri and Masum show. That means the final step of naming a candidate for prime minister may occur sooner rather than later as Maliki’s support is being worn down.

Nouri al-Maliki was the resounding winner in the 2014 elections, but that does not assure him staying in power. Ibrahim Jaafari became premier in 2005 not because his Dawa party won the most votes, but because it was part of the largest bloc the United Iraqi Alliance. Maliki was named prime minister in 2006, because the U.S. and others had lost confidence in Jaafari with the escalating civil war. Again, his Dawa was not the largest party, but he was chosen within the United Alliance as a compromise candidate. In 2010 the Iraqi National Movement won the most seats, but thanks to the Supreme Court ruling Maliki was able to put together the largest coalition after the voting and win a 2nd term. Coming out victorious in 2014 was therefore an important step for Maliki, but not the final word. Immediately after the election it looked like he had the momentum, but then the insurgent summer offensive came and most of northern Iraq fell, and the prime minister’s star began to fall as more and more groups from Najaf to Iran added their voices calling for him to step down. This whole process still has minutes left on the clock, but they are counting down for Maliki.

SOURCES

Abbas, Mohammed, “Iraqi Shiite cleric tells AFP: PM Maliki must go,” Agence France Presse, 7/16/14

Abdul-Zahra, Qassim Salama, Vivian, “Talabani ally is Iraqi Kurds presidential choice,” Associated Press, 7/23/14

Associated Press, “Iraq elects new president as attacks kill dozens,” 7/24/14
- “Iraqi cleric urges leaders not to ‘cling’ to power,” 7/25/14

Buratha News, “After news of its withdrawal from the state of law coalition….Badr Organization declares its commitment to the decision of the National Alliance for the prime minister post,” 7/28/14
- “Ibrahim al-Jaafari:: National Alliance is the largest parliamentary bloc, not the rule of law we have all started and announced that,” 7/27/14

Independent Press Agency, “Bayraktar: deny the issuance of a new resolution concerning the largest parliamentary bloc,” 7/24/14

Al Mada, “Differences within Maliki’s bloc: Will the call bring together more than one candidate for premier?” 7/19/14
- “Liberals and the Council: our deal with al-Maliki to withdraw and his replacement a condition that has been accepted by National Alliance,” 7/17/14

Al Masalah, “Dawa Party renews its commitment under the guidance of reference and timings of the constitution on forming of government,” 7/26/14
- “State of Law: Maliki, the only candidate for prime minister,” 7/17/14

Visser, Reidar, “The Iraqi Parliament Elects Its New Speakership,” Iraq and Gulf Analysis, 7/15/14

Monday, July 7, 2014

Analysis Of Ayatollah Sistani’s Fatwa To Defend Iraq Interview With Tel Aviv Univ’s Rachel Kantz Feder

 
On June 10, 2014 Mosul fell to the Islamic State and other insurgent groups. The next day Grand Ayatollah Ali Al-Sistani issued a fatwa calling on Iraqis to protect the country’s shrines and to defend the nation. Sistani’s move caused controversy both inside and out of Iraq as many interpreted it as sectarian incitement for Iraq’s Shiite to take up arms against Sunnis. Rachel Kantz Feder of The Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies and a lecturer at Tel Aviv University argues that the fatwa was as much about the threat posed by the Islamic State as it was about the divisions within the Shiite community.

1. Can you provide some context for Ayatollah Sistani’s fatwa. Besides the fall of Mosul what had the then Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIS) threatened to do in Iraq?

Abu Muhammad al-Adnani, ISIS’s spokesperson, released an incendiary audio recording designed to incite an all out sectarian war akin to that which raged from 2006-2007. He pledged to transform Iraq into a living hell for “the Shi‘a and other heretics” before threatening to settle scores “not in Samarra or Baghdad but in Karbala’ al-munajjasah [the defiled] and Najaf al-ashrak [the most polytheistic]”. ISIS’s promise to storm Shi‘i Islam’s most revered cities elicited its intended reaction: wide scale mobilization of Iraqi Shi‘is.

2. When Sistani issued his fatwa the western press portrayed it as a call to arms for Iraq’s Shiites against its Sunnis. Was there a similar interpretation by Iraqis themselves?

The need for Sistani’s representatives to clarify repeatedly that it was a call to fight the takfiri foreigners within the legitimate framework of the IAF [Iraqi Armed Forces] and reiterate the nationalist character of the fatwa indicates that it was understood by many Iraqis just as the western media simplistically framed it: a call for Iraq’s Shi‘is to prepare for defensive jihad against ISIS and the Sunni insurgents who have facilitated the organization’s advance. To be sure, in the following days other influential Iraqi religious and political figures conflated Sistani’s fatwa with the need for defensive jihad. Also, [Lebanese Hezbollah’s leader Hassan] Nasrallah declared that he would send five times the forces that he sent to Syria, demonstrating that the fatwa could decisively shift the center of Shi‘i militancy from Syria to Iraq. Regardless of Sistani’s intentions, it was perceived as an escalation of both the Iraqi and the regional sectarian conflict, and surely the strategists in Sistani’s office could have anticipated these reactions. So despite Sistani’s track record of promoting Iraq’s national unity and urging restraint – even in the face of perceived existential threats to Iraq’s Shi‘is - we need to ask why the turnaround?

3. Besides the threat posed by the insurgency you tried to explain what else might have motivated Sistani’s fatwa.

Sistani could not afford to stand by idly as the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps and Iranian-backed militias allied with Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki took the lead in defending Iraq and Shi‘i holy sites. The remobilization of Shi‘i militias in Iraq has been long underway and Adnani’s ominous message was sure to fuel the mobilization regardless of Sistani’s fatwa. Leaving the protection of Najaf and Karbala exclusively to Shi‘i militias and the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps would have legitimized further Iranian interference in Iraq. This would have undermined Sistani’s assiduous efforts to thwart Iran’s penetration of Iraq particularly in the religious sphere and it would have enduring consequences that could enfeeble the religious establishment.

4. Did the relationship between the Najaf clergy, the marjaiya and the government of Nouri al-Maliki play a role?

Sistani’s inaction might have risked a slide toward obsolescence at a time that there are clear signs that the religious establishment’s influence is on the decline. Despite unprecedented criticism emanating from the powers to be in Najaf, Maliki easily emerged from the April Parliamentary Elections as the most popular politician. Tensions between the religious establishment and Baghdad have been mounting over the past few years but never has the fissure between the figureheads of political Shi‘ism and religious Shi’ism been so manifest. Sistani consistently has rebuked Maliki’s handling of the crisis since its outbreak in December 2012. Among many other expressions of the marja‘iyya’s disapproval of Maliki and his allies’ sectarian motives, Ayatollah Bashir al-Najafi, one of Iraq’s four leading ayatollahs, delivered a scathing attack against Maliki and urged voters to select an alternative candidate days before Iraqis headed to the polls. Nevertheless, Maliki’s shrewd politicking allowed him to survive the clerics’ contempt, suggesting that Najaf might not wield the same degree of political influence it once enjoyed.

5. Overall, how has Sistani’s actions affected the current situation in Iraq?

Sistani has been advocating a “civil state” al-dawla al-madaniyah , or a model of religion-state relations that is anchored in the principle of equal citizenship for all of Iraq’s communities. However, Maliki’s disregard for Najaf’s vision, together with his consolidation of power and sectarian policies demonstrate that while Sistani remains the highest religious authority for many believers, new domestic and geopolitical realities seem to have limited his political influence in Iraq.

Monday, February 10, 2014

Ayatollah Sistani’s Role In Post-Saddam Iraq Interview With Fadel Reda Al-Kifaee

 
(LA Times)
Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani is the leading Shiite cleric in Iraq. Although he comes from what is known as the quietist school of thought that is supposed to mean staying out of politics he played an active role in shaping the post-Saddam government in the early years of the U.S. occupation. Since then he has not been so publicly involved in affairs, but he did try to quell the violence during the civil war, and today has become a critic of the poor governance in the country. To help explain the Ayatollah’s role in Iraqi society since 2003 is Fadel Reda al-Kifaee a senior adviser at Management Systems International who has extensively studied the Hawza, the Shiite religious establishment.

1. Ayatollah Sistani was a vocal critic of the U.S. occupation under the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA). Paul Bremer came into the country with his own vision of how he wanted the new Iraq to develop that included a two-year transition to put together a constitution, develop democratic principals amongst the society, and then eventually hold elections for a new government. What problems did Sistani have with Bremer’s plans, and who won this battle of wills?

I think the main concern on the part of Ayatollah Sistani regarding the CPA's approach was the Islamic identity of the Iraqi people. The Ayatollah feared Americans would engineer the constitution in such a way that fixed the western style of liberal freedoms. I think he also feared that the CPA would ignore, or marginalize, the role of Islam in the judiciary and legislation. Ayatollah Sistani was sure that the Shi'a would revive even with the CPA's original plans realized. Sistani also seemed to worry about the American presence in Iraq. He may have feared that having a political process based on the American roadmap would produce governments that legitimized a long military presence, which in turn was likely to compromise the social identity of Iraq.

It seemed that both sides, the CPA and the supreme Marji', ended up with a deal that secured, or so they thought, their respective minimum level of demands. The result constitution’s Article 2 states that, "Islam is the official religion of the state and is a foundation source of legislation," and it prohibits enacting laws that violate one of Islam's pillars. At the same time, it mentions that no law is passed if it violates democratic principles or the rights and freedoms mentioned in the constitution. In the same article, it comes back to emphasize that "the constitution guarantees the Islamic identity of the majority of the Iraqi people…". No doubt that Sistani won the battle over having a direct-elected constitutional assembly, but it turned out that it was a battle within a war of wills.

2. After the CPA seemed to give in to Sistani’s demands it went ahead and drafted the Transitional Administrative Law (TAL) that acted as the constitution until a new one was drafted by the Iraqis. Why do you think the Americans went ahead with this move, and what was the Ayatollah’s reaction?

The TAL represented the CPA's counter attack to Sistani's moves, if we continued calling it a war. Bremer made use of his relations with Iraqi politicians, including the Shi'a, in his Iraqi Governing Council in passing this dangerous legal document. The Americans were trying to make sure that they would end up with a constitution that led to a 'liberal state' that didn’t threaten its neighbors even if that came at the expense of its internal cohesion. The Americans also feared that Sistani would urge his followers to ask for a sort of religious constitution, one that didn’t embrace the Iranian style of vilayat al-faqih but granted the religious establishment a considerable role over state institutions.

Sistani immediately realized that the TAL was formulated to be a blueprint for the permanent constitution. His stance over this move was one of his most powerful positions. In addition to issuing many communiqués condemning the TAL, the Ayatollah warned the Security Council not to mention the TAL in its then prospective resolution on Iraq and the council respected Sistani's will. Sistani's main objection was that the TAL would threaten Iraq's unity by promoting sectarian politics and racist divisions.

A man kisses a Jan. 2005 election poster featuring the image of Grand Ayatollah Sistani in Najaf (AP)

3. Iraq held two elections in 2005. The first was to put together a temporary parliament that would draft a new constitution, and the second was to create a permanent government. Sistani was largely responsible for putting together the United Iraqi Alliance (UIA), which was made up of the largest Shiite Islamist parties such as the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq, the Dawa Party, the Fadhila Party, some Sadrists, and others. In turn, the UIA used Sistani’s image in its campaigning. What was the Ayatollah’s thinking behind putting together this list?

Formulating the UIA seemed controversial considering the Ayatollah's anti-sectarian methodology. I think Ayatollah Sistani was mainly trying to have a major block in the constitutional assembly that would be able to embed the principles Sistani had long advocated, some of which were mentioned above, in the permanent constitution as well as preventing the attempts of transferring some of the TAL's articles into the constitution. What happened after winning the election was that Sistani seemed to lose control over the leadership of the UIA. Although the UIA's leaders pressed and managed to include some of Sistani's major demands in the constitution, they began acting independently in many political fronts. Their control over the state's resources after forming the government led by Ibrahim al-Ja'afari made them feel confident to the extent that they built the second UIA, formed prior to the December 2005 elections, basically without consulting the supreme Marji' ! Eventually, some controversial articles of the TAL were copied to the constitution; for instance, the condition that the constitution could be vetoed once three provinces voted against it, a matter, which Sistani openly opposed.

The apparent outcome of formulating the UIA was avoiding the dispersal of Iraqi Shi'as' votes by the one list-one constituency electoral system that helped the Shi'i political parties consolidating power inside the first elected parliament. If this was what Ayatollah Sistani envisaged, then this would be a contradiction to his many fatwas that called for a government based on a political majority rather than a sectarian one. I think the main goal on the part of Sistani on the UIA matter was to draft a constitution away from the TAL and the American influence.

Another factor may have been trying to help these Shi'i parties to sit together and practice dialogue because Sistani sensed the high level of hostility among some of them, one that might have risked the security of holy Shi'a cities and that was what happened latter on in some occasions.

By formulating the UIA, I don't think Ayatollah Sistani was planning to have those Shi'ite Islamist parties permanently ruling the country for a simple reason; those parties believed in versions of vilayat al-faqih, and that methodologically contradicted the school of thought of Sistani.

4. Sistani’s role in putting together the constitution and Iraqi government brought up questions about what his position was towards democracy. Did he just want elections so that Shiite Islamists could come to power, did he believe in some kind of compromise between Islam and constitutional rule, etc. What are your thoughts on Sistani’s views?

Although the Grand Ayatolah avoids directly announcing his stance towards democracy, I can say that he at least believes that the people should be a source of political legitimacy. The tone of his fatwas and statements dealing with elections and related issues uncovers a methodological tendency rather than mere pragmatic tactics to help Shi'ite Islamists winning. Ayatollah Sistani went further than many other Shiite Ulama in this regard as he frequently emphasized that parliament whether being a constitutional assembly or not must be directly elected by the people underscoring the issue of representativeness. In short, he not only accepts but also adopts democracy. At the same time, he makes sure that the religious authority has the right to dictate a democracy's outcomes should this process produce something the marji' believes threatens the Islamic social identity or the well being of society. The subject marji' should use his social powers to practice this dictation.

5. In 2006 the Shiite shrine in Samarra was bombed and Iraq moved towards full-scale civil war. What was Sistani’s response, and was he able to stem the violence at all?

The Ayatollah’s response was issuing a statement asking believers to peacefully protest the action asking not to involve in any retaliatory reactions. This fatwa and all the meetings the Supreme Marji' had with various political and social players was not enough to prevent the violence. It seems that all Sistani's efforts to stem the anger of Shi'a during the 2004-2005 escalating violence were gone with the wind. One important factor was the role of the Sadrist militia. Without this role, I think the country wouldn't have gone to full-scale civil war. The issue was that Moqtada al-Sadr's followers didn’t emulate Sistani and so were not religiously bound by his fatwas.

6. You mentioned how Sistani has had a mixed relationship with the Shiite religious parties that took power after 2005. Moqtada al-Sadr for example has fluctuated between trying to usurp Sistani’s position, sometimes through violence, while relying upon the Ayatollah to save him from crises like the August 2004 uprising and Premier Maliki’s 2008 Charge of the Knights offensive against the Mahdi Army. The Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq claimed Ayatollahs Khomeini and Khamenei as their spiritual leaders, but then claimed they switched to Sistani. The Dawa Party on the other hand, has consulted with Sistani, but do not claim to emulate him. In recent years, Sistani’s representatives have issued a steady stream of criticisms of the ruling parties in Baghdad about the lack of services, the deadlock in parliament, etc., and he has refused to meet with politicians. Why hasn’t he been more influential over these parties that he helped put into office?

The relationship with the Da'wa Party has been relatively impacted by historic complications. The traditional current in Hawza has been basically against having clerics involved in politics. There is also the fact that the Hawza's clerics have felt uncomfortable towards persons with western style outfits let alone having those same gentlemen specialize in Shari'a. The early leadership of the Da'wa was composed of both kinds of men; clerics involved in politics and suited men educated in Islamic jurisprudence. However, Ayatollah Sistani positively interacted with Da'wa leaders after they came back from exile as part of his openness to the exile opposition.

Sistani has been known to have a warm relationship with the Al-Hakim family, which introduced prestigious religious figures to the community of Hawza. The late Ayatollah Mohamed-Baqir al-Hakim, who led the ISCI since 1982 until his death in a bombing in Najaf in 2004, made use of this relationship and so did his brother Sayed Abdul-Aziz who succeeded him at the top of the ISCI.

Regarding the Sadrist Current, there has been clear alienation between them and the Grand Ayatollah. This current represents a Shiite social class of mostly poor and uneducated persons who feel they are discriminated against by other Shi'a especially the traditional Hawza.

Away from the Sadrists, the relationship between Sistani and both ISCI and Da'wa has gone through many phases. The constitutional phase that lasted from 2003 to late 2005 witnessed relatively positive interactions. As shown above, Sistani helped those parties rise to power aiming at influencing the process of drafting the constitution. Since 2010 this relationship has been damaged with the Grand Ayatollah refusing to host leaders of those parties at his office. Sistani sounds fed up with the leadership of these parties, which has begun to openly disobey his guidance. The Ayatollah also may feel that they let him down for what the country ended up with in terms of corruption, public services, and security.


In 2012 there was talk that Iran was promoting Ayatollah Shahroudi as Sistani’s replacement (Reuters)

7. In 2012 there was a tidal wave of articles about Iran trying to find a successor to Sistani, specifically with Ayatollah Mahmoud Shahroudi. Was there any basis for these reports, and overall what role will Tehran play in determining who becomes the head cleric after Sistani passes?

I acknowledge that promoting Shahroudi to Marji'iya (the Hawza's supreme leadership) is implausible, in the foreseen future at least, considering the well-established doctrine of quietism in Najaf. The move of opening an office for Shahroudi in Najaf came as a part of integrated, well-organized efforts to influence the Hawza. The Iranians seemed to have long-term plans in Najaf. They are building socio-religious networks in mid and southern Iraq in general and in Najaf in particular, a matter that they envisage using at a later stage to influence the process of having a new supreme marji' in Najaf. Such a process is too unofficial in Shi'ism and so the post-Sistani era will witness a transition in which no clear candidate will rise to the supremacy. Tehran will use its networks of institutions, students, teachers and scholars at the Hawza to promote publicity their desired candidate. The effectiveness of such efforts will partly depend on whether the camp of the traditional Hawza of Najaf has formed a consensus over whom to succeed Sistani.

8. The conventional wisdom about Ayatollah Sistani is that he comes from the quietest school of Shiite clerics as opposed to the activists such as Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, Ayatollah Mohammed Baqir al-Sadr, and Ayatollah Mohammed Sadiq al-Sadr who believed in some form of direct clerical rule over society. There are all kinds of interpretations of Sistani’s stance towards politics ranging from the quietist school doesn’t mean complete absence from social affairs, to the Ayatollah having his own form of activism or that he has developed a middle road between the two. What’s your theory on Sistani’s stance towards involvement in politics?

In a previous publication I called Ayatollah Sistani a 'neo-quietist' marji''. I know these classifications may be confusing, but they are generally valid. Sistani still adheres to the mainstream of quietism; having clerics abstaining from directly involving in politics unless a sociopolitical threat emerges. Meantime, the development Ayatollah has brought in to quietism has been in two integrated aspects; one is political and the other is social. Political wise, the Ayatollah advocates a principle according to which the religious establishment must act as the guardian of the society's Islamic identity. What he differs in from those Shiite constitutional clerics (Na'ini and clerics of Iran's 1906 constitutional revolution) and others is that he believes that the marji' must practice this guardianship using his social powers within the community of believers and must practice that from outside the government's apparatus. The ulama that supported the 1906 revolt in Iran demanded having a quota for clerics in parliament mandated to observe the accordance of laws with Shari'a. In short, Sistani accepts democracy but with having an uncodified veto over its outcomes in exceptional occasions.

In the social dimension of Sistani's neo-quietism, I think the Grand Ayatollah is in favor of a principle in which the Islamic authority, the supreme marji' in Shi'ism, must have the society's 'authorization' to intervene to impose a social, or political, measure. By authorization I mean the readiness of the subject society to socially and politically accept this measure.  I think that this approach on the part of Sistani is in accordance with his approach that a reform must be a bottom-up process that starts from society. The Ayatollah is a strong opponent of the Khomainian style of imposing Islamic virtues by state forces because according to the quietist doctrine the government has no legitimacy to impose Islamic measures in the age of occultation (Shi'as call the current age as the time of the hidden Imam).

These two political and social aspects are integrated. Sistani encourages civil society to facilitate government reforms. The Ayatollah supports competent civil society organizations that try to be a partner in the public policy making process through communicating with policy makers and encouraging them to meet the real needs of citizens as the Grand Ayatollah sees them. These organizations are well-funded and employ prominent figures.

In the long run, Grand Ayatollah Sistani seems to be preparing society in a way that would make the outputs of democracy in accordance with Islam's core values and so the incidents of religious intervention in politics would be considerably minimized. This future condition would eliminate, if realized, the pretexts that a society needs the vilayat al-faqih system to preserve its Islamic identity.

SOURCES

Arango, Tim, “Iran Presses for Official to Be Next Leader of Shiites,” New York Times, 5/11/12

Baram, Amatzia, “The Iraqi Shi’i Community: Between Sistani, Muqtada, the IGC, and the CPA, Testimony by Amatzia Baram, senior fellow at the U.S. Institute of Peace, before the U.S. House of Representatives Armed Services Committee,” United Sates Institute for Peace, 4/21/04

Cole, Juan, “The United States and Shi’ite Religious Factions in Post-Ba’thist Iraq,” Middle East Journal, Autumn 2003

International Crisis Group, “Iraq’s Civil War, The Sadrists And The Surge,” 2/7/08

Al-Khoei, Hayder, “why iran-sponsored cleric can’t become iraq’s next religious leader,” Niqash, 6/28/12

Al-Kifaee, Fadel Reda, “The Role of the Hawza of Najaf and Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani in Restructuring the Iraqi Governance System in Post-Ba’athist Iraq,” Masters Thesis American University of Cairo, May 2010

McGeough, Paul, “Speculation grows Iranian cleric may lead Iraq’s Shiites,” Newcastle Herald, 4/28/12
- “The Struggle to Succeed Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani,” Foreign Affairs, 5/23/12

Rizvi, Sajjad, “Political mobilization and the Shi’i religious establishment (marja’iyya),” International Affairs, November 2010

Sadah, Ali Abel, “Could Sistani Be Iraq’s Last Hope?” Al-Monitor, 5/2/13

Thursday, April 11, 2013

How Paul Bremer Tried To Ignore Iraq’s Ayatollah Sistani


Paul Bremer, the head of the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) arrived in Iraq in May 2003. He was determined to put his stamp upon the country. He had a vision for how it would become a democracy, which would require up to two years of transition under his supervision. This was to be a top down process that had little room for what Iraqis wanted. This ran into immediate opposition from Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the most senior Shiite cleric in Iraq. He wanted Iraqis to have a voice in the process, and demanded that elections be held as soon as possible to draw up a new Iraqi constitution, and government. Bremer consistently rejected the cleric’s demands until Washington forced him to compromise. It was an ironic turn of events as Sistani consistently pushed for a faster turn towards democracy than the Americans did.

CPA head Paul Bremer wanted to run Iraq as a viceroy, and did not want to listen to prominent Iraqis like Ayatollah Sistani (AFP)

Paul Bremer envisioned a long process of building a new democratic Iraq. At first, many believed that he would quickly set up an interim government to turn over control to Iraqis, but he immediately squashed that idea. Instead, he created the Iraqi Governing Council (IGC) with some help from the United Nations in July 2003. The council was tasked with coming up with a timetable for selecting a constitutional drafting body, and when the document would be written. Afterward there would be elections for a new Iraqi government. He speculated that process might take up to two years. Then on September 8, he wrote an op ed for the Washington Post where he clarified his plans. He ruled out early balloting, because there were no voter roles, no districts, or laws on elections or political parties. Instead he proposed a three-step process. The first was the creation of the Iraqi Governing Council. Then a constitutional committee would be formed by August. A constitution would be drafted, then a referendum held on it, followed by elections for a permanent government, finished off by sovereignty being returned. While Iraqis were minimally included in the process through the Governing Council, Bremer demanded that he be in charge, and have ultimate say. For example, no Iraqis were included in formulating his plan. Many were unhappy with this idea, including the ones that Bremer chose as partners, and his superiors back in Washington.

The Iraqi Governing Council and the Bush Administration had major problems with Bremer’s ideas. First, the Governing Council was a divisive group, and could not decide on any dates for when the constitutional committee would be put together or start its work. In October, the United Nations passed Resolution 1511, which required the IGC to submit a constitutional plan by the middle of December. That placed pressure upon the Council to make some decisions, but it still couldn’t agree. Bremer grew increasingly frustrated with the group, and blamed them for the delays even though he held all of the real power in his hands. At the same time, officials back in Washington were afraid that the chaos that was unleashed with the fall of Saddam’s regime, along with the failure to find weapons of mass destruction was costing it support for the war amongst the U.S. public. That led some to push for a faster timetable for turning over sovereignty to the Iraqis to try to show progress to the home front. Bremer was opposed to changing his plans, but after he was called back to the White House in November, he was forced to compromise. Instead of an open-ended two-year plan, Bremer now only had six months in office. By the end of February 2004, an interim constitution would be drafted and approved by the Governing Council. Then in May caucuses would be held in each province that would come up with a temporary parliament to form an interim government with the task of writing a permanent constitution. Sovereignty would then be handed over to the Iraqis in June, and the CPA would cease to exist. Elections for a constitutional convention would be held in March 2005, followed by national elections for a permanent government by the end of the year. Bremer was forced to give up on his long-term plan by domestic political concerns back in the U.S. At the same time, the Americans would remain in control until at least June 2004. The Governing Council for example, had zero say in the new plan. Rather it was delivered to them as a fait accompli when Bremer returned to Iraq after his meetings with Bush officials.

Ayatollah Sistani continuously demanded that Iraqis have a say in the new government being put together (Wikipedia)

Despite the sped up process that was announced in November 2004, Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani always objected to Bremer’s plans. As early as June 2003, Massoud Barzani of the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) went to Najaf to meet with Ayatollah Sistani. He called for an elected national assembly to draft a new constitution. The cleric followed that up with a fatwa at the end of the month saying that any body put together by Bremer to draft a constitution would be opposed, and repeated his demand for Iraqis to cast ballots to determine their future. U.N. special representative to Iraq Sergio Vieira de Mello met with Sistani, and then told Bremer that he had to listen to the Ayatollah. Bremer refused saying that Sistani was telling different people different things, and that Iraq was not ready for any voting anyway. The CPA head did try to meet with Sistani in Najaf in July to discuss the matter, but was turned down. The elder cleric wanted to keep his distance from the Americans. When Bremer published his September op ed for the Washington Post, the ayatollah responded that the Iraqi people be allowed to vote for a body to come up with a new constitution. That led de Mello and British representative to Iraq Sir Jeremy Greenstock to go to Bremer about their concerns surrounding Sistani’s objections, but the CPA chief would not listen. Others were taking note as well, most importantly officials in the Bush administration. They convinced National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice that Sistani needed to be listened to, which contributed to the November compromise. That didn’t stop the complaints however. Members of the IGC went to Sistani about the caucuses idea. Afterward, he issued another statement demanding an elected body instead, and then made comments about Iraqis not having enough say in the political transition. The CPA reacted stronger this time, believing that the Ayatollah was trying to dictate terms to it, and some asking whether they would have to run all their decisions through him for approval. The CPA had just been made to cut back on it plans, and now it was coming under attack by Sistani again. Finally, in February 2004, new U.N. representative Lakhdar Brahimi met with the ayatollah, and convinced him that elections could not happen until December at the earliest. At the same time, they talked about getting rid of the caucuses, and having elections for an interim parliament instead to write a constitution. It was always Sistani’s belief that Iraqis needed to have a direct role in the creation of a new government. CPA official Larry Diamond believed this came from his religious beliefs about social contracts. Bremer on the other hand, wanted complete control, and never consulted with Iraqis, but instead delivered his decisions to them after they were made. He also continuously rejected Sistani’s demands, because following an ayatollah did not fit his image of what the new democracy should be about. It was only when Washington pushed him that Bremer was willing to change showing that domestic American politics were more important than Iraqi ones. In the end, the U.S. did agree to hold elections in January 2005 for an interim parliament and government, which would then put together a constitutional commission, followed by a referendum on the document. These might be happening later than Sistani originally envisioned, but they did allow Iraqis to have their say.

The Transitional Administrative Law (TAL) that was written as a temporary constitution also brought out Sistani’s opposition. In early 2004, a small coterie of American and Iraqi representatives wrote the Transitional Administrative Law (TAL), that would be in affect until a permanent constitution was passed the next year. Ayatollah Sistani came out against that document as well, arguing that the Iraqi people, not the U.S. created Governing Council, should ratify the TAL. He also said that it would serve as a barrier to a permanent constitution being formed, because the Americans would again be setting the groundwork for what should be an Iraqi affair. His office ended up passing out leaflets condemning the Transitional Law, claiming that it would divide the country, and that the U.S. was trying to impose it upon Iraq. For a while, he wouldn’t even meet with anyone from the U.N. unless the Security Council acted to limit the TAL. This again reflected Sistani’s view that the U.S. could not make all the decisions to determine Iraq’s future. That should be up to the Iraqis. He was convinced by Brahimi that the country wasn’t ready for immediate elections like he wanted, but he thought nothing should be done until they were ready. This brought him continuously into conflict with Bremer who wanted to dictate all the terms of Iraq’s transition towards democracy.

Bremer came into Iraq wanting to run it like a viceroy, and never realized the importance of Ayatollah Sistani until the end of his time in office. The CPA director never included Iraqis in his decisions even though he was supposed to be empowering them through democracy. Instead he wanted to impose his vision upon Iraq in a long, drawn out process that would maintain American control until its conclusion. Washington ended up making him curtail his plan, because it was worried about losing support for the war. Some were also concerned about Sistani’s continuous attacks upon Bremer’s ideas. Still, the overriding concern of the Bush administration was American domestic politics, which showed that it too was only marginally concerned with what the Iraqis wanted. Sistani’s argument for early elections to write a new constitution, and then form a permanent government might have been unrealistic at first, because there was no system in place to carry them out. Still, he finally won out, and the U.S. agreed to three rounds of balloting in 2005 in part to satisfy the Ayatollah. It turned out that the Iraqi cleric was pushing for a democratic process, while the Americans wanted to run everything. The Bush White House and Bremer never really understood Iraqi society, and tended to look at it as a blank slate, which they could shape into whatever they wanted. The country ended up fighting back, which caused all kinds of problems for the American project. One sign of that was Ayatollah Sistani’s constant calls for Iraqis to have their say in whatever new government was going to be created.

SOURCES

Chandrasekaran, Rajiv, “Iraq’s top Shiite assails U.S. plan to cede power,” San Francisco Chronicle, 11/27/03

Collier, Robert, “Shiite support for U.S. occupation of Iraq appears tenuous,” San Francisco Chronicle, 7/16/03

Diamond, Larry, Squandered Victory, The American Occupation And The Bungled Effort To Bring Democracy To Iraq, New York: Times Books, 2005

Gordon, Michael and Trainor, General Bernard, The Endgame, The Inside Story Of The Struggle For Iraq, From George W. Bush To Barak Obama, New York, Pantheon, 2012

Packer, George, The Assassins’ Gate, America In Iraq, New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2005

Powell, Bill and Ghosh, Aparism, “Paul Bremer’s Rough Ride,” Time, 6/28/04

Ricks, Thomas, Fiasco, New York: Penguin Press, 2006

Special Inspector General For Iraq Reconstruction, “Hard Lessons,” 1/22/09

Tyler, Patrick, “Big step toward a new Iraq,” San Francisco Chronicle, 7/8/03

Whitelaw, Kevin, “Deal Maker, Deal Breaker,” U.S. News & World Report, 1/26/05

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