Monday, August 4, 2014

July 2014 Deaths Down In Iraq Slightly As Fighting Stabilizes

 
All five groups that track deaths in Iraq had a decline from June to July. Iraq Body Count (IBC) went from 1,934 in June to 1,481 in July. The Iraqi Government had 1,669 deaths in July compared to 1,922 in June. The United Nations had the largest decline going from 2,417 in June to 1,737 to July. Neither of those numbers included Anbar. The violence there has kept U.N. officials out of the province. Agence France Presse had the lowest counts with 996 deaths in June and 585 in July. Finally Musings On Iraq had the most fatalities with 2,822 in June and 2,195 in July. While the range amongst the organizations was huge in July they all followed the same trend. All their statistics went down from June to July.

The drop in deaths was predictable. In June the Islamic State and other insurgent groups took Mosul and Tikrit and swept across the three provinces of Ninewa, Salahaddin and Kirkuk. Now the fighting has settled down a bit and casualties have declined as a result. The real figures are likely much higher than any recorded in June and July. That’s because the government has stopped reporting losses in engagements with the insurgents. There are hundreds of such incidents each month and Baghdad only talks about how many militants are killed. Those figures seem grossly exaggerated as well. The few times numbers are released for casualties amongst the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) they are usually high especially now that thousands of volunteers are being thrown into the frontline with little to no training and supplies. The true numbers may never be known.

Deaths In Iraq 2003-2013
Month/Year
Iraq Body Count
Avg. Daily Deaths
Iraqi Ministries
Avg. Daily Deaths
United Nations
Avg. Daily Deaths
Agence France Presse
Avg. Daily Deaths
Musings On Iraq
Avg. Daily Deaths
2003
4,675
19.0
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
2004
11,608
31.8l
11,313
30.99
-
-
-
-
-
-
2005
16,186
44.2
15,817
43.3
-
-
-
-
-
-
2006
29,144
79.8
32,622
89.3
34,452
94.3
-
-
-
-
2007
25,519
69.9
19,155
52.4
-
-
-
-
-
-
2008
9,839
26.9
9,046
24.7
11,536
31.6
-
-
-
-
2009
5,132
14.0
3,682
10.0
4,611
12.6
-
-
-
-
2010
4,109
11.2
3,949
10.8
4,855
13.3
-
-
-
-
2011
4,147
11.3
2,781
7.6
4,150
11.3
-
-
-
-
2012
4,573
12.5
2,174
5.9
3,878
10.6
1,531
(7 mo.)
7.1
-
-
Jan. 2013
357
11.5
177
5.7
319
10.2
246
7.9
-
-
Feb.
360
12.7
136
4.8
418
14.9
220
7.8
-
-
Mar.
403
13.0
163
5.2
456
14.7
271
8.7
-
-
Apr.
545
18.1
208
6.9
712
23.7
461
15.3
-
-
May
888
28.6
681
21.9
1,045
33.7
614
19.8
-
-
Jun.
659
21.9
240
8.0
761
25.3
452
15.0
-
-
Jul.
1,145
36.9
989
31.9
1,057
34.0
875
28.2
-
-
Aug.
1,012
32.6
365
11.7
804
25.9
693
22.3
-
-
Sep.
1,221
40.7
971
32.3
979
32.6
880
29.3
-
-
Oct.
1,095
35.3
964
31.0
979
31.5
743
23.9
-
-
Nov.
903
30.1
948/
1,121
31.6/
37.3
659
21.9
693
23.1
-
-
Dec.
983
31.7
1,001
32.2
759
24.4
668
21.5
-
-
2013 Totals
9,571
25.9
6,843/
7,016
18.7/
19.2
8,948
24.5
6,818
18.6
-
-
Jan. 2014
1,076
34.7
1,013
32.6
733*
23.6
991
31.9
1,483
47.8
Feb.
930
33.2
790
28.2
703*
25.1
747
26.6
1,274
45.5
Mar.
1,009
32.5
1,004
32.3
748
24.1
512
16.5
1,606
51.8
Apr.
1,013
33.7
1,009
33.6
885
29.5
796
26.5
1,456
48.5
May
1,027
33.1
938
30.2
994
32.0
1,075
34.6
1,468
47.5
Jun.
1,934
64.4
1,922
64.0
2,417*
80.5
996
33.2
2,822
94.0
Jul
1,481
47.7
1,669
53.8
1,737*
56.0
585
18.8
2,195
70.8
2014
Totals
6,989
38.6
6,676
36.8
6,480
35.8
N/A
N/A
9,995
55.2
* Figures do not include Anbar

SOURCES

Agence France Presse, “Iraq says more than 1,600 killed in July,” 7/31/14
- “Iraq Unrest,” 8/3/14

Iraq Body Count

UNAMI, “UN Casualty Figures for July 2014, Anbar province excluded,” 8/1/14

No comments: