Iran was caught off guard by the fall of Mosul just like the
rest of the world was. Iraq immediately asked for foreign aid, and Iran was one
of the few that responded. It mobilized its Shiite militia allies to provide
more boots on the ground to combat the militants, it sent in several hundred
advisers and enlisted Lebanese Hezbollah to do the same, delivered weapons
including Su-25 jets, and is supposedly directing part of Baghdad’s security strategy.
Tehran stepped into the vacuum left by the collapse of the Iraqi Security
Forces (ISF) and has assumed an ever greater presence within the government
since then.
Quds Force Commander Gen Suleimani has taken over part of the security portfolio for Baghdad since the fall of Mosul (PBS)
In June after insurgents took Mosul Iranian President Hassan
Rouhani stated that Iran
was ready to defend Iraq. The first reports of that assistance was the
arrival of anywhere from 150
to 2,000
members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) Quds Force in the country.
Two of them have already been killed. The first was reported
in June when Ali Reza Moshajari of the IRGC had a funeral. Iranian papers
said he died in Karbala. Later in the month Colonel Kamal Shirkhani died in a
mortar attack in Samarra, Salahaddin. Moshajari’s death had a bit of
obfuscation surrounding it at first, likely because Iran did not want to admit
that its men were fighting and dying in Iraq. Shirkhani’s funeral however
showed that IRGC advisers were right at the frontlines with the Iraqi Security
Forces (ISF). More important was the arrival of Quds Force commander General
Qassim Suleimani who was said to have come to Iraq right after the Mosul
debacle. Reports had him organizing a defensive strategy for Baghdad, based
upon tactics
he deployed in Syria where it’s said he played a similar role running
part of the security portfolio for the Assad regime. The insurgent surge
during the summer was a surprise to Tehran who immediately offered and began
supplying assistance to Baghdad. The fact that Russia was the only other
country willing to help at that time by selling weapons meant that Iran had a
lot of space to operate in. The poor performance of the ISF probably meant that
the Iraqi government was happy to receive Gen. Suleimani and his Quds Force.
Iranian Revolutionary Guards' pilots are likely flying the small batch of Su-25 jets Tehran delivered to Iraq (Aviationist)
Iran not only provided personnel, but equipment and
intelligence as well. By mid-June Iran had drones
flying out of Baghdad airport. The New York Times claimed that a control center
was established at the Rasheed Air Base in the capital as well, while the IRGC
was monitoring the insurgents’ communications. A steady stream of weapons and
ammunition was being flown into Iraq at the same time. At the beginning of July
a small batch of Su-25
attack jets was delivered. Iran tried to conceal their origins by sending
them to Iraq at the same time a few were coming from Russia. The planes were
actually Iraqi as Saddam Hussein had them flown to Iran in 1991 to try to save
them during the Gulf War. Iran kept them and incorporated them into the IRGC’s
air force. In fact, it was likely Iranians were flying the planes, as the
Iraqis did not have the pilots for them. This was partially confirmed by the funeral
for Colonel Shojaat Alamdari Mourjani on July 4. He was an Iranian pilot who
died in Samarra. It’s not clear whether he was killed flying a mission or was
just caught in a ground attack, but again it pointed to Iran’s presence at the
front.
Funeral for IRGC pilot Col Mourjani who died in Samarra (AFP)
Tehran not only sent in its own men, but called on its Iraqi
allies as well. That was the militias it helped create in Iraq and Syria. By
June Hezbollah Brigades, the League of the Righteous, the Badr Organization,
Faylaq Waad al-Sadiq, Harakat Hezbollah al-Njaba, Kataib Sayid al-Shuhada,
Saraya Tali al-Khurasani, Afwaj al-Kafi and others were
all fighting alongside the ISF across central Iraq. Many of these brought
their fighters back from Syria to Iraq. Just like in Syria as well, these
groups are operating under
the orders of Gen. Suleimani. Quite a few of these groups had been fighting
in Anbar and other parts of the country since January. Mosul increased their
re-deployment. They helped bolster the ranks of the army and police after so
many were lost in northern Iraq.
Finally, Iran brought in Lebanese Hezbollah to advise the
Iraqi forces. Like Pres. Rouhani, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah offered
to send fighters to Iraq after Mosul. He brought up defending the various
Shiite shrines in the country from the Islamists, an argument made by other
Iranian aligned groups for their intervention in Syria. The Christian Science
Monitor had around 250
Lebanese advisers in Iraq by July. That month a Hezbollah commander Ibrahim
Mohammed al-Haj died
near Mosul. A deployment that far north showed that the Hezbollah advisers
were taking part in the fighting just like their IRGC brethren. Iran
used Hezbollah in Iraq before right after the U.S. invasion to help arm and
train militias.
In Iraq’s time of need Iran was one of the few that answered
the call for help. It provided men, material, intelligence, and its Iraqi and
Lebanese allies to fight. Most importantly Gen Suleimani took over part of the
security file for Baghdad. This follows the same pattern that occurred in Syria
when the rebellion started there and Iran moved in to assist President Assad.
The question is how much will this foreign aid help, and at what cost. In Syria
the Iranians have stabilized the fighting and assured Assad stays in power, but
there are large swaths of the country outside of the government’s control. This
would not be satisfactory outcome for Iraq. Iran’s influence has exponentially
increased in the country as well. Tehran has never wanted to directly rule
Iraq, but it has always sought to take
advantage of the opportunities provided it. The security collapse has
presented just such a situation where it can expand its reach throughout the
state’s apparatus something it will not likely give up when all things are said
and done.
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commanders on front line of Iraq’s fight,” 7/17/14
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is playing a smaller role in this Iraqi conflict,” Christian Science Monitor,
7/16/14
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