Three years ago the Iraqi insurgency re-emerged. In April
2013 the Baathist Naqshibandi group was able to provoke Prime Minister Nouri
al-Maliki to send the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) to attack the Hawija protest
site in southern Kirkuk governorate. Immediately afterward other demonstration
areas talked about taking up arms against the government, and there was a wave
of violence by all the major militant groups. Security steadily deteriorated
over the next year culminating in the fall of Mosul in 2014. The Hawija raid
then was the moment the Iraqi militants began operating out in the open once
again after their nadir following the U.S. Surge.
When the Sunni protest movement started at the end of 2012,
the Baathists attempted to take advantage of it. The demonstrations began when
Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki moved against Finance Minister Rafi Issawi in December
2012 by claiming he was behind terrorist attacks. Protests started in
Anbar, Issawi’s home, and then spread to other provinces. The one in Hawija
began in January
2013, and was led by the Intifada
Ahrar al-Iraq, the political wing of the Baathist Naqshibandi insurgent
group. It wanted to provoke a conflict with the security forces that could be
used to turn the public against the government and towards violence. The
Baathists attempted to do so
in Mosul, Ramadi, and Fallujah, but failed. It finally found its moment in
Hawija.
In April 2013, the Naqshibandi was able to create a
confrontation with the ISF in Kirkuk. On April
19, a checkpoint outside the Hawija protest area was attacked leading to
several casualties. The Army then raided
the demonstration site, which caused some fighting. Intifada Ahrar al-Iraq
claimed that 114 people were arrested as well. The ISF then demanded
that the perpetrators of the checkpoint assault be turned over. Negotiations
were going on when the ISF attacked the site on April
23. The Defense Ministry claimed
20 protesters and 3 soldiers were killed in the process, while a parliamentary
committee later said 44 total died. It was widely believed
at the time that Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki had grown tired of the protests
and wanted to stamp them out with force. That was the reason why he didn’t wait
for talks to come to any fruition, and sent in the ISF instead so quickly. That
played directly into the hands of the militants.
The raid upon Hawija had the desired affect of turning many
protesters towards armed struggle. First, Intifada Ahrar al-Iraq announced
that it was officially joining the Naqshibandi army, and called on others to take
up what it called a defensive jihad against Baghdad. At the Ramadi
demonstrations a speech
was given calling to take up arms. Sheikh Ali Hatem Sulaiman claimed he was
forming a Pride and Dignity Army to protect the protesters, and Sheikh Abdul
Malik al-Saadi, the religious leader of the Anbar protests called for a tribal
army. By June
the demonstrations across the country were shrinking. Many had either given up
believing that they could achieve anything peacefully, or they had joined the
new insurgency. The Baathist plan had worked perfectly. It provoked Maliki to
crackdown on Hawija, and given people a reason to take up arms. In the process
the demonstrations eventually gave way to a new wave of violence.
All of the old insurgent groups came out of the woodwork
after Hawija. There were attacks
upon the ISF in Tuz Kharmato, Baiji, Ramadi, and Fallujah, along with open
fighting in Mosul,
and the Naqshibandi temporarily seized
the town of Suleiman Beq. In a foreshadowing of what would happen a year later
in Mosul and Tikrit, soldiers were reported
to have abandoned their posts, some senior commanders resigned, and others
refused orders. Besides the Baathists, the Islamic Army (1), Ansar
al-Islam, and the Islamic
State of Iraq all claimed responsibility for attacks. Many tribes joined in
as well. A sheikh in Hawija for example named Abu Abdullah told the Global
Post after the raid upon the protest site he decided to take up arms
against the government. He didn’t think his tribe was strong enough to take on
the ISF alone, so it made a deal with ISI. The Naqshibandi also tried to co-opt
the tribes by forming Military
Councils to organize them under its leadership. By 2008 these groups had
all hit a nadir. The United States Surge had killed much of the militants’
leadership or turned their membership towards the Sahwa to fight ISI. Maliki then
neglected the Sahwa, which had too many ghost fighters to be integrated anyway,
while the Islamic State stared a campaign to kill and intimidate them to turn them
backed to militancy. The prime minister had also undermined the integrity of
the security forces by appointing men loyal to him as commanders down to the
brigade level, few of which were competent as leaders. All together this provided
a perfect environment for the insurgency to make a comeback.
Ironically, what the Naqshibandi started the Islamic State
would usurp. ISI made alliances with all the major militant groups and tribes
to launch the summer offensive in 2014. It was able to take Mosul, Tikrit, and
the Hawija district in June. It then demanded baya, allegiance from all the
other armed groups. Those that refused were attacked and killed. That actually
started by the end of 2013, but the other organizations chose to ignore that
and the history of ISI, which had done the same thing before the Surge. They
believed that they could carve out their own areas of control and co-exist with
the Islamic State, but that was impossible. ISI wanted to create a caliphate
under its sole leadership, which it eventually did. By 2015 all the other
insurgent groups including the Baathists that helped it seize territory were
dormant. Hawija then became a pyrrhic victory for the Naqshibandi.
FOOTNOTES
1. Al-Aalem, “Islamic Army: Year not ready for power and are
looking for a partnership and decision by Naqshibandi the wrong move to fight
Baghdad,” 4/30/13
SOURCES
Al-Aalem, “Islamic Army: Year not ready for power and are
looking for a partnership and decision by Naqshibandi the wrong move to fight
Baghdad,” 4/30/13
Agence France Presse, “Sunni
militant infighting kills 17 in Iraq’s Kirkuk,” 6/21/14
Ali, Ahmed, “The Struggle of the
Iraqi Security Forces: 2013 Iraq Update #33,” Institute for the Study of War,
8/21/13
Arango, Tim, “Dozens Killed in
Battles Across Iraq as Sunnis Escalate Protests Against Government,” New York
Times, 4/23/13
- “Iraqi Premier Urges Talks but
Vows to Battle Insurgents,” New York Times, 4/25/13
- “Rising Violence in Iraq Spurs
Fears of New Sectarian War,” New York Times, 4/24/13
Aswat al-Iraq, “1 officer killed,
4 soldiers wounded+ south Kirkuk,” 4/23/13
- “114 demonstrators arrested in
Haweeja area,” 4/21/13
- “Army prevents civilians participating in Kirkuk
demonstrations,” 1/11/13
- “Mediation attempt between
Haweeja demonstrators and army failed,” 4/21/13
Dagher, Sam, “Saddam’s Brethren Get Organized,” Wall Street
Journal, 4/11/13
Dunlop, W.G., “Gunmen seize Iraq
town as violence kills 128,” Agence France Presse, 4/24/13
Freeman, Colin, “Izzat Ibrahim al-Douri: the King of Clubs
is back, and he may yet prove to be Saddam Hussein’s trump card,” Telegraph,
5/18/13
Human Rights Watch, “Iraq:
Investigate Deadly Raid on Protest,” 4/24/13
- “Iraq: Parliament Report Alleges
Officials Ordered Raid,” 5/4/13
Al Jazeera, “Deadly clashes break
out in northern Iraq,” 4/23/13
Ibrahim, Marwan, “Protest-related
violence kills 53 in Iraq,” Agence France Presse, 4/24/13
Institute for the Study of War,
“2013 Iraq Update $17: Iraq’s Sunni Mobilize,” 4/27/13
Kirkuk Now, “ISIS Ask Residents to
Nominate New Head,” 6/11/14
Lewis, Jessica, “Further
Indications of al-Qaeda’s Advance in Iraq: Iraq Update #39,” Institute for the
Study of War, 11/15/13
- “Al-Qaeda in Iraq Resurgent, The Breaking The Walls
Campaign, Part I,” Institute for the Study of War, September 2013
Al-Mada, “Anbar is turning their
sit-in to the “wars” and calling for armed factions to unite against the
Safavid government,” 4/23/13
- “Dozens of dead and wounded in
clashes between gunmen and police and army in an attack on a police
headquarters for Saladin,” 4/23/13
- “Intifada Free Iraq officially
announces its accession to the Naqshibandi Army,” 4/24/13
- “Al Qaeda announces the launch of the “New Battle” for
western Anbar and police decide on comprehensive curfew,” 6/24/13
Markey, Patrick and al-Salhy,
Suadad, “Iraq on edge after raid fuels deadly Sunni unrest,” Reuters, 4/24/13
Mohammed, Shalaw, “for power and
money: Kirkuk extremist groups’ play dirty tricks on one another,” Niqash,
11/28/13
- “visiting hawija, a town
controlled by isis’ extremists,” Niqash, 6/27/14
Namaa, Kamal, “Iran rejects U.S.
action in Iraq, ISIL tightens Syria border grip,” Reuters, 6/22/14
National Iraqi News Agency,
“BREAKING NEWS Hawija protestors: We will not leave the sit-in square alive,”
4/21/13
- “BREAKING NEWS. Tikrit mosques
calling the protesters to go to Hawija “ to support of the oppressed people,”
4/23/13
- “Clashes erupt between ISIS and
other armed groups in Kirkuk,” 6/23/14
- “Gunmen seize control the
district of Al-Hawija, al- Zab, Riyadh and al-Abbasi, west of Kirkuk,” 6/10/14
- “Hawija protestors set condition
t end the crisis,” 4/22/13
- “Interior Minister: Storming
Hawija Square is to arrest killers of the Army,” 4/23/13
- “Kirkuk’s Arabs MPs: Hawija
crisis is about to end,” 4/22/13
Parker, Ned, “Iraqi inquiries find
excessive force in Sunni protest camp raid,” Los Angeles Times, 5/2/13
Powell, Bill, “Sunni Tribes Will Bet on the Strong Horse,
and That’s ISIS,” Newsweek, 12/11/14
Al Rayy, “League of the Naqshibandi integrate with “Daash”
in Hawija,” 5/2/15
Reza, Laith Mohammed, “Hawija: 300
Hummer Swat We dropped 4 ways and secret army plane and delivered .. Kubler: a
tragedy and a sad day,” Al-Aalem, 4/23/13
Schreck Adam, “Group tied to old guard could gain in Iraq
unrest,” Associated Press, 4/27/13
- “Iraq on edge after deadly raid
on protest camp,” Associated Press, 4/23/13
Shafaq News, “ISIL kidnap
Nashbandi leader in Kirkuk due to influence conflict,” 6/21/14
- “Kirkuk – Baghdad road closed
after clashes,” 4/23/13
Shelton, Tracey, “You’ve heard
about ISIS. You haven’t heard about these guys,” Global Post, 7/21/14
Sowell, Kirk, “Inside Iraqi
Politics No. 60,” 5/3/13
-
“Iraq’s Second Sunni Insurgency,” Hudson Institute, 8/4/14
Al-Tamimi, Aymenn Jawad, “Enemy of my enemy: Re-evaluating
the Islamic State’s Relationship with the Ba’athist JRTN,” HIS Jane’s Terrorism
and Insurgency Monitor, June 2015
- “Musings of an Iraqi
Brasenostril on Jihad: Comprehensive Reference Guide to Sunni Militant Groups
in Iraq,” Jihadology, 1/23/14
Visser, Reidar, “Maliki’s Northern Headache, and How General
Odierno Is Compounding It,” Iraq And Gulf Analysis, 9/9/09
Wicken, Stephen, and Lewis, Jessica, “From Protest Movements
to Armed Resistance: 2013 Iraq Update #24,” Institute for the Study of War,
6/14/13
Yacoub, Sameer, “Iraqi soldiers
retake control of Sunni town,” Associated Press, 4/26/13
No comments:
Post a Comment