Iran is now
concentrating upon the war in Syria, but from 2014-15 Iraq was its major focus.
When the Islamic State swept through Ninewa, Salahaddin, and Kirkuk provinces
in the summer of 2014, Tehran was the first to offer assistance to the Iraqi
government. Military support was only part of Iran’s program however. It also
launched a sophisticated propaganda campaign to promote itself as the savior of
Iraq. This was carried out on social media mostly via Facebook, Twitter, and
other platforms. At the center of this effort was Iranian Revolutionary Guards
Quds Force commander General Qasim Suleimani. He appeared on all the major
battlefronts in Iraq again and again on the Internet. The success of this
campaign was shown in a survey done of pilgrims to the Shiite shrine in
Karbala.
Gen. Suleimani seen
visiting the Tirkit front in 2015 (Al Alam)
A group of three
researchers working for the Massachusetts Institute of Technology interviewed 1,668 Iranians and 2,410 Iraqis during Arabaeen in Karbala in 2015. Those
questioned overwhelmingly supported Iran’s policies in the Middle East. When asked what motivated Iran in
the region the most popular response for Iraqis, 40.68%, was to protect Shiite
communities. That compared to 27.33% of Iranians selecting that choice. That
showed how effective Iran’s propaganda campaign was within Iraq. Iraqis felt
like Tehran was helping them more than Iranians themselves. This was of course
in the middle of the war with the Islamic State, Iraqis were still feeling
vulnerable, and when Iran was pumping up its role in Iraq far above the U.S.
led Coalition, which preferred having the Iraqis claim responsibility for their
victories. Other factors shaping the response would be the negative view most
of those interviewed had of America, as well as religious Shiites being more
open to Iran’s role then others. In contrast, a plurality of Iranians, 39.28%
believed that national security was the main driver of Tehran’s foreign policy.
What motivates Iran’s policy in the
Middle East?
|
Iraqis
|
Iranians
|
Creating a more stable
Middle East
|
9.07%
|
22.87%
|
Ensuring Iran’s security
|
28.21%
|
39.28%
|
Maximizing Iran’s regional
influence
|
22.04%
|
10.53%
|
Protecting vulnerable
Shiite communities
|
40.68%
|
27.33%
|
SOURCES
Christia, Fotini, Dekeyser, Elizabeth, Knox, Dean, “To
Karbala: Surveying Religious Shi’a from Iran and Iraq,” Massachusetts Institute
of Technology, 10/20/16
Christia, Fotini,
Dekeyser, Elizabeth and Knox, Dean, “Mapping Shiite Opinion,” Foreign Affairs,
10/24/16
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