Monday, April 2, 2018

This Day In Iraqi History - Apr 2


1941 Regent of Iraq arrived at British airbase at Habaniya Anbar after Golden
            Square officers tried to arrest him after coup
1941 Regent tried and failed to organize resistance to Golden Square coup in Basra
            Then fled to Jordan
1975 Iraq army sealed border with Iran and declared Kurdish revolt over Mustafa
            Barzani and 150,000 Kurds fled to Iran
1975 1972-75 some 17,000 killed and 280,000 displaced during Kurdish rebellion
1982 Dep Cmdr of Iran’s armed forces claimed end of Iran-Iraq War was near
1986 Khomeini called for all able bodied men to join armed forces to overthrow
            Saddam
1990 Saddam threatened to use WMD against Israel if it was attacked 
(Musings On Iraq article on Saddam’s motivation for threatening Israel before the Kuwait invasion)
1991 State Dept U.S. never said that it was for removing Saddam
1991 Turkey said that 30,000 Kurds had entered country and 220,00 more coming as
            Saddam put down Kurdish revolt
1991 Iran and Turkey went to UN about Iraq’s suppression of Kurd and Shiite revolts
            and refugee crisis it was creating
1991 Kurds began fleeing Sulaymaniya in face of govt offensive to retake it from
            Peshmerga
2003 US forces took Karbala
2003 US forces reached outskirts of Baghdad Rep Guard Medina division
            counterattacked but turned back
2003 Qusay Hussein told Gen Hamdani that US attack in south was deception and
            real invasion would come from north
2003 US raid freed US POW Jessica Lynch from an Iraqi hospital
2003 Talabani said Peshmerga would not attack Kirkuk city to stave off criticism from
            US and Turkey Kurds ended up taking city
2003 Rumsfeld sent memo to military to cooperate with ORHA because wasn’t helping
            it
2003 State Dept leaked complaints to LA Times about Pentagon’s postwar plans to
            exclude UN and support Chalabi and INC
2004 Sadr gave angry speech against US occupation after CPA closed his newspaper
2004 Sadrists protested outside Green Zone demanding movement paper be re-opened
2004 Mahdi Army began marching in Sadr City as tensions with US grew
2004 Some Friday prayers in Fallujah condemned attack on Blackwater contractors in
            city
2004 Powell criticized US intel for giving him faulty claims about Iraq’s WMD for
            his Feb 03 UN speech
2005 Al Qaeda launched suicide attack on Abu Ghraib prison starting battle for town
2006 SecState Rice UK ForSec Straw told PM Jaafari he didnt have support and
            should step down Jaafari said no
2006 US military reported 1313 Iraqi civilians killed in sectarian murders in March
            2006 173 killed in suicide bombings
2006 US Amb Khalilzad said militias should be disarmed Iraqi officials said that would
            create more violence
2006 PM Jaafari said he would integrate militias into security forces to control them
2006 Fmr CENTCOM cmdr Gen  Zinni on Meet the Press said Iraq failure of strategic
            planning by US
2008 Retired Gen McCaffrey said ISI’s urban insurgency was defeated
2010 Maliki said he was going to form alliance with Kurds and backed Talabani to
            remain as president to form new govt
2010 Sadrists began referendum amongst followers to see who they wanted to be new
            premier
2010 Maliki talk with National Alliance failed as SIIC Hakim’s opposed Maliki’s
            2nd term
2011 56 wounded in clashes between police and protesters in Sulaymaniya
2012 Over 300 followers of Mahmoud Sarkhi arrested in Nasiriya
2012 Oil Min Luaibi claimed Exxon was halting work in KRG so that it could continue
            working with central govt on oil industry Wasn't true
2012 Dep PM Shahristani accused Kurds of smuggling oil to Iran
2013 Insurgents attacked Akkas gas field in Anbar
2013 Gunmen in army uniforms attacked 4 independent newspaper offices in Baghdad
            Mahmoud Sarkhi blamed
2013 Election Commission said provincial vote in Anbar and Ninewa would be
            delayed until May
2013 Sadrists said they would end cabinet boycott
2015 PM Abadi arrived in Tikrit after its liberation to make victory tour in city
2015 Sadr said brazen militias should be removed from Tikrit by ISF after stories
            of looting and burning homes
2015 Hashd leader Muhandis said that any looting and abuses in Tikrit were done
            by locals not Hashd
2015 Guard in Tikrit said he counted more than 200 homes in Qadisiyah district destroyed
            after city’s liberation
2016 Kurdish Alliance said it would not vote on Abadi’s new cabinet unless it
            got its quota of ministers

View the Iraq History Timelines 

Sunday, April 1, 2018

Review Inventing Iraq: The Failure of Nation Building and a History Denied


Review Dodge, Toby, Inventing Iraq: The Failure of Nation Building and a History Denied, New York: Columbia University Press, 2003

The Americans would have been well served to have read Inventing Iraq during their occupation of the country. Toby Dodge wrote the book attempting to explain the ideology largely based upon stereotypes of the Ottoman Empire and colonial territories that shaped British rule during the Mandate period from 1920-32. Those ideas mixed with budget constraints and fading interest in London combined to undermine the creation of the modern state the English wanted in Mesopotamia. The book makes some excellent observations about the troubles the British ran into, which are directly comparable to what happened to the Americans when they occupied Iraq. Unfortunately, the book is a bit inconsistent in its writing and content. 

This Day In Iraqi History - Apr 1


1941 PM Hashemi deposed in Golden Square officers coup after Hashemi tried
            to remove them
(Musings On Iraq article on 1941 coup)
1941 Army surrounded royal palace Regent escaped to Anbar with help of US
            ambassador Nuri al-Said and other pro-British politicians fled Iraq
1941 US and England believed Iraq coup part of German plan in coordination with
            invasion of Balkans and Libya Wasn’t
1941 Golden Square officers thought British were plotting against them
1975 Iraqi amnesty offer to Kurdish rebels and army deserters expired
1975 Iran closed border to Kurds fleeing Iraqi government offensive against them
1980 Islamic Action Organization made attempt on Dep PM Tariq Aziz at Mustansiriya
Univ, Baghdad
1988 End of 2nd Anfal campaign
(Musings On Iraq article on Anfal campaign)
1989 Saddam held elections for new parliament as part of political reform after
            Iran-Iraq War 160 of 250 seats went to Baathists
1990 Saddam speech said if US supported Israeli attack on Iraq he would burn
            Israel
(Musings On Iraq article on Saddam’s motivation for threatening Israel before the Kuwait invasion)
1991 Peshmerga repelled govt attack to retake Sulaymaniya
1991 Saddam’s forces put down Kurdish revolt in Zakho
1991 Barzani said 3 mil Kurds had fled to northern mountains along Turkish border
            to escape govt attacks
2002 UK ambassador to US Meyer warned Bush thinking of war with Iraq by
            autumn but no postwar plans
2003 US attacked Najaf Kut Samawa Hindiya Headed towards Hillah
2003 ORHA head Garner made 1 day trip to Um Qasr port 1st time in Iraq
2004 CPA adviser Larry Diamond told Bremer that there was a security vacuum in
            southern Iraq being filled by militias
2004 Gen Kimmitt promised to pacify Fallujah after Blackwater contractors killed
2004 US intel officer told press regime change in Iraq could have been promoted as part
            of war on terror but admin wanted to scare public using WMD
2005 Report White House and CIA leadership created environment where only threat of
            Iraq WMD reports were acceptable
2008 Maliki praised Badr and Dawa militia for helping to fight Mahdi Army in Basra
2008 Maliki promised jobs and better services after Charge of Knights in Basra
2009 National Reconciliation Committee said it began talks with Asaib Ahl Al-Haq
2009 Baghdad was supposed to take control of all Sahwa in Iraq from US forces
2010 Iran said it would host Iraqi parties that wanted to talk about forming new govt
2010 Gorran head Mustafa taken to court for defamation against Pres Talabani
2010 Iraqiya announced regional tour of Egypt Qatar Turkey Syrian and Iran to drum
            up support for forming new govt
2011 Protests in Baghdad against corruption and demanded release of prisoners
2012 Maliki said that if Pres Assad lost power there would be problems throughout
            the Middle East Condemned Gulf States arming Syrian rebels
2012 KRG halted oil exports for Baghdad over payment dispute
2012 VP Hashemi went to Qatar violating his arrest warrant
2013 ISI suicide truck bomb on Tikrit police station and govt center
2013 PUK said it would run independently of KDP in next KRG elections
2014 KRG said it would export oil for Baghdad to help with negotiations with central
            government over industry but didn’t happen
2014 Kataib Hezbollah said that it was involved in Shjariya operation in Anbar
2015 Mopping up operations in Tikrit with small attacks in north
2015 UN received reports that govt forces looting Tikrit after it was liberated and
            burning homes
2015 Sadr complained about brazen militias and said any that broke law should
            be brought to justice
2015 IS video of Ninewa sheikhs giving it baya
2016 PM Abadi’s nominee for Oil Minister in new technocratic cabinet withdrew
            name saying no consensus on changes
2016 Maliki faction of State of Law said it would only support partial cabinet change
2016 Kurdish Alliance said if Fin Min Zebari was replaced they would not vote
            on new cabinet
2016 Higher Educ Min Shahristani and For Minister Jaafari refused to step down for
            Abadi’s cabinet changes
2016 Solution List complained that Abadi’s new cabinet was way to exclude some
            parties from power 

Musings On Iraq In The News

I was quoted by Paul Iddon in "What's behind the PKK withdrawal from Sinjar" in Al Araby. That article was reprinted in Mepa News. I was cited by Aron Lund in "How Washington Learned to Love Haidar al-Abadi" for The Century Foundation. Paul Iddon quoted me again in "Iraqi and Syrian deployments hinder Turkish operations against Kurds" in Rudaw.

Saturday, March 31, 2018

Review Wanting War: Why the Bush Administration Invaded Iraq


Review Record, Jeffrey, Wanting War: Why the Bush Administration Invaded Iraq, Dulles: Potomac Books, 2010

It’s odd that 15 years after the Iraq war there is still discussion about what caused it. Was it the weapons of mass destruction, the oil, neoconservatives, or other factors? Much of that is due to the Bush administration whose stated goals WMD and Iraq’s connection to Al Qaeda both proved to be based upon a house of cards. Jeffrey Record’s Wanting War: Why the Bush Administration Invaded Iraq is one of the best attempts to answer the question of why the U.S. invaded Iraq. Rather than having a grand strategy, Record found that there was a confluence of different personalities and ideas within the White House that all converged on Iraq. These were roughly divided into two main camps, neoconservatives that wanted to spread democracy via overthrowing Saddam Hussein and others that wanted to maintain the supremacy of the United States in the world after 9/11.

This Day In Iraqi History - Mar 31


1934 Iraqi Communist Party founded
(Musings On Iraq Interview with Prof Johan Franzen on the history of the Iraqi Communist Party)
1941 Pan-Arab Golden Square officers decided to remove PM Hashemi in coup
1981 Egypt began selling military equipment to Iraq in Iran-Iraq War
1985 UN Sec Gen arrived in Iran Told Iraqi air raids killed 1450 civilians and wounded
            4000
1989 Iraq exported oil for 1st time from Basra after Iran-Iraq War closed down ports
1989 Israel said Iraq embarked on crash course to build a nuclear bomb and a missile
            to deliver it
1991 Govt op to retake Sulaymaniya from Peshemerga began
2000 UN Res 1293 doubled amount of spare parts Iraq could import to maintain its
            oil industry under Oil for Food program
2002 Blair offered a division and UK bases to US for invasion
2003 Saddam didn’t give televised speech as expected Instead Information Minister Sahaf
did calling on Iraqis to carry out suicide missions against the invaders
2003 1st car bomb in Iraq hit US checkpoint north of Najaf
2003 US forces engaged Fedayeen and Republican Guard south of Baghdad
2003 US forces launched raid on Shatra Dhi Qar after receiving information Ali Hassan
            al-Majid Chemical Ali was there
2003 British military believed it could start popular uprising in Basra to take city
            rather than having to attack it
2003 Sir David Manning told British would have huge shortage of troops for postwar
            operations in Iraq
2003 UK Foreign Office official wrote For Sec Straw saying Iraqis mistrusted US and
            US occupation would be humiliation and untenable
2003 Israeli Infrastructure Min Paritzky said he wanted to reopen Kirkuk-Haifa pipeline
by end of 03 Based upon promises made by Chalabi before war he would get Iraq to export oil to Israel
2004 US Committee on US pre-war intel on WMD said that US intel was “dead wrong”
            on almost all its judgments about Iraq
2004 Insurgents ambushed Blackwater convoy and killed 4 contractors in Fallujah 2
            were strung up on bridge
2004 Bush gave CPA 48 hours to resolve Blackwater attack in Fallujah
2004 Bush gave speech US would not give into violence in Iraq and fighting terrorism
2004 Sadrists marched to Green Zone in Baghdad to protest US occupation
2005 Silbermann-Robb report called US pre-war intel on Iraq one of largest intelligence
            failures in US history
2005 Silbermann-Robb report US intel data on Iraq was worthless and analysis wrong
2005 Silbermann-Robb report US lacked significant new intel on Iraq WMD so relied
            on Gulf War and 90s UN inspections and extrapolated from them
2005 Silbermann-Robb report US relied upon Iraqi defectors that were lying and
            ignored problems with their stories
2005 Silbermann-Robb report US relied upon satellite photos that showed nothing
            substantive
2005 Silbermann-Robb report US intel claimed Iraq made WMD advances that were
            technically impossible
2005 Silbermann-Robb report US intel ignored reports that Iraq no longer had any
            WMD
2005 Silbermann-Robb report UN inspectors disproved most of US case against Iraq’s
            WMD but were ignored
2005 Robb-Silberman report found CIA had little on Iraq’s nuke program outside of
            aluminum tubes but became basis for Oct 02 National Intel Est on Iraq’s WMD
2005 Silbermann-Robb report said that aluminum tubes Iraq tried to buy were for
            rockets not centrifuges Example of misinterpretation by US intel
2005 Robb-Silberman report said aluminum tubes was a technical assessment which
            CIA failed at Went with assumptions rather than facts
2005 Robb-Silberman report CIA never looked at Iraqi rockets to see whether they
            fit aluminum tubes CIA and DIA created theory on tubes that rejected all criticism
2005 Robb-Silberman report found British and Australian intelligence didn’t
            believe aluminum tubes were for centrifuges
2005 RAND study showed post-war planning for Iraq was inadequate and never
            considered security of Iraqi public
2006 100 insurgents attacked Muqtadiya police headquarters killing 19 police and
            freed 33 prisoners
2007 Maliki made 1st trip to Anbar and met with tribal leaders and provincial council
            who complained about Baghdad’s neglect
2008 IRGC-QF Gen Suleimani met with Pres Talabani and VP Mahdi to try to
            negotiate ceasefire between Maliki and Sadr
2008 Maliki said would continue to go after Mahdi Army in Basra that didn’t follow
            cease-fire
2008 Maliki aide said plan was to divide Mahdi Army between those that followed
            Sadr’s ceasefire and those that continued fighting
2008 Mahdi Army fired rockets at Green Zone for another day
2008 Interior Min announced 1000s of police would be fired for refusing to fight Mahdi
            Army
2008 Report 2 army regiments refused to fight Mahdi Army in Baghdad
2008 Mass grave with 52 bodies of ISI victims found in Zahmann Diyala River
            Valley
2009 British ended military mission in Iraq
2009 Deadline for power sharing and provincial elections in Kirkuk passed with no
            progress
2010 VP Hashemi said an Arab should be president no longer a Kurd
2010 Iraqiya said it would implement Art 140 on disputed areas to try to get Kurdish
            backing for Allawi as premier
2010 Sadr said there would be a referendum on who his followers wanted as premier
2011 Pres Barzani said he would prosecute security members who fired on
            demonstrators in Sulaymaniya
2011 Protests in Kalar, Sulaymaniya become violent with rocks thrown at security
            forces
2012 Oil Ministry paid oil companies in Kurdistan $650 mil for exports
2014 IS released 2nd annual al-Naba report on its operations
2014 IS held parade in Abu Ghraib
2014 Fmr Communications Min Allawi Fmr Fin Min Issawi and 8 general mangers
            charged with corruption
2014 Mutahidun claimed 44 civilians killed by Hashd in Buhriz, Diyala with
            complicity of ISF
2015 Tikrit freed from IS 1st stories emerged of Hashd looting afterward
2015 Diyala council voted to remove confidence from Gov Yacoub for stealing
            aid for displaced
2016 PM Abadi presented his list of technocratic ministers
2016 Sadr called off his protests after Abadi announced cabinet

View the Iraq History Timelines

Friday, March 30, 2018

Security In Iraq, Mar 22-28, 2018


The number of incidents reported in Iraq during the fourth week of March surpassed the yearly mean due to an increase in Islamic State attacks as well as an ongoing operation by Turkey against the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). Those two factors also resulted in a very high death count for the week. March is shaping up to be the month that IS switched from scattered hit and run attacks after railing from its territorial defeat to when it regrouped and converted back to openly confronting the Iraqi government. It has access to rural areas from Anbar and Ninewa straight across to Diyala, and has targeted local officials and security forces. These are the same tactics it used in its comeback after the Surge.

Review Charles River Editors, The Mandate for Mesopotamia: The History and Legacy of British Occupation and Iraq’s Independence after World War I, Charles Rivers Editors, 2021

   The Mandate for Mesopotamia is a short overview of British rule and influence in Iraq after World War I. It covers Europe...