Attacks and Casualties In Iraq See Large Drop In 3rd Week of November 2014

The third week of November 2014 saw a sizeable decrease in both dead and wounded in Iraq. This was due to the continued low rate of reported security incidents in the country. In the provinces the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) and insurgents continued to fight for control of central and eastern Anbar. In Babil, the Islamic State (IS) has been pushed out of its long time base in Jurf al-Sakhr and has relocated to the north. The capital saw more car bombs, while there was a sizeable clash in Abu Ghraib to the west. The ISF and peshmerga launched a coordinated campaign in eastern Diyala, and were both at work in Kirkuk. Kurdistan saw a rare attack as IS tried to strike the governor of Irbil’s office with a suicide car bomb. Finally, Salahaddin remains the other main battlefront between the government and armed factions as the ISF finally broke the siege of the Baiji refinery. Overall, violence was way down for the week, while the ISF continued to make sizeable gains in the northern section of the country.

Attacks remained at a low level during the third week of November. There were 134 security incidents reported in the press from November 15-21. That was the second lowest amount of the year with the previous week having the lowest at 128. Baghdad witnessed the most attacks with 42. Next was Anbar with 30, followed by 27 in Salahaddin, 12 in Diyala, 10 in Ninewa, 6 in Babil, 5 in Kirkuk, and one each in Qadisiyah and Irbil.

Those attacks led to 283 dead and 453 wounded. The fatalities were made up of 77 members of the ISF, 9 Sahwa, and 197 civilians, while the injured consisted of 70 ISF, 21 Sahwa, and 362 civilians. The last time there were roughly 200 killed was back in May 15-21. Likewise, the 449 wounded was the second least of 2014 with only the 426 of May 15-21 lower. Anbar had the most deaths at 94 due to continued executions by the Islamic State. 68 were killed in Salahaddin, 61 in Baghdad, 22 in Ninewa, 18 in Diyala, 10 in Irbil, 8 in Babil, and two in Kirkuk.

Violence In Iraq By Week 2014

Date	Incidents	Dead	Wounded
Jan 1-7	244	363	733
Jan 8-14	272	364	676
Jan 15-21	205	358	616
Jan 22-28	236	305	618
Jan 29-31	57	93	237
JAN	1,014	1,483	2,890
Feb 1-7	211	306	706
Feb 8-14	229	258	505
Feb 15-21	264	347	703
Feb 22-28	251	374	617
FEB	955	1,285	2,531
Mar 1-7	252	412	702
Mar 8-14	205	323	610
Mar 15-21	216	423	736
Mar 22-27	211	279	580
Mar 28-31	108	169	261
MAR	992	1,606	2,889
Apr 1-7	238	259	550
Apr 8-14	224	362	646
Apr 15-21	241	406	805
Apr 22-28	226	347	744
Apr 29-30	61	82	179
APR	990	1,456	2,924
May 1-7	198	246	483
May 8-14	257	466	752
May 15-21	183	256	426
May 22-28	203	403	810
May 29-31	64	91	131
MAY	905	1,462	2,602
Jun 1-7	228	612	1,020
Jun 8-14	234	1,889	890
Jun 15-21	179	803	759
Jun 22-28	203	733	777
Jun 29-30	59	127	236
JUN	901	4,172	3,701
Jul 1-7	203	526	651
Jul 8-14	214	577	628
Jul 15-21	230	444	1,009
Jul 22-28	224	589	801
Jul 29-31	66	163	230
JUL	937	2,299	3,319
Aug 1-8	269	1,122	885
Aug 9-14	179	710	1,152
Aug 15-21	150	354	499
Aug 22-28	156	523	798
Aug 29-31	59	125	289
AUG	813	2,834	3,623
Sep 1-7	168	616	751
Sep 8-14	156	433	722
Sep 15-21	166	620	749
Sep 22-28	153	395	573
Sep 29-30	47	112	252
SEP	690	2,176	3,047
Oct 1-7	170	451	687
Oct 8-14	188	532	875
Oct 15-21	156	449	770
Oct 22-28	159	345	592 + 1,230
Oct 29-31	68	570	227
OCT	741	2,347	3,151 + 1,230
Nov 1-7	153	601	828
Nov 8-14	128	420	593
Nov 15-21	134	283	453

Violence In Iraq By Province Nov 2014

Province	Nov 1-7	Nov 8-14
Anbar	29 Incidents 290 Killed: 12 ISF, 3 Sahwa, 275 Civilians 191 Wounded: 28 ISF, 163 Civilians 14 Shootings 2 Car Bombs 1 Suicide Car Bomb	19 Incidents 107 Killed: 9 ISF, 98 Civilians 62 Wounded: 11 ISF, 2 Sahwa, 51 Civilians 9 Shootings 1 IED 1 Car Bomb 2 Suicide Car Bombs
Babil	11 Incidents 30 Killed: 5 ISF, 25 Civilians 84 Wounded: 5 ISF, 79 Civilians 3 Shootings 4 IEDs 1 Sticky Bomb 2 Car Bombs	9 Incidents 16 Killed: 7 ISF, 9 Civilians 48 Wounded: 21 ISF, 27 Civilians 1 Shooting 5 IEDs 1 Sticky Bomb 1 Suicide Car Bomb
Baghdad	41 Incidents 172 Killed: 14 ISF, 158 Civilians 389 Wounded: 9 ISF, 380 Civilians 10 Shootings 22 IEDs 1 Sticky Bomb 4 Car Bombs 2 Suicide Car Bombs	41 Incidents 145 Killed: 12 ISF, 133 Civilians 359 Wounded: 24 ISF, 335 Civilians 9 Shootings 16 IEDs 3 Sticky Bombs 8 Car Bombs 4 Suicide Car Bombs
Basra	1 Incident	2 Incidents 1 Killed: 1 Civilian 1 Shooting
Diyala	7 Incidents 4 Killed: 4 Civilians 5 Wounded: 4 ISF, 1 Civilian 5 Shootings 2 IEDs	9 Incidents 18 Killed: 5 ISF, 3 Asayesh, 10 Civilians 47 Wounded: 24 ISF, 10 Asayesh, 133 Civilians 4 Shootings 1 IED 1 Sticky Bomb 1 Car Bomb 2 Suicide Car Bombs
Kirkuk	3 Incidents 2 Killed: 2 Civilians 8 Wounded: 8 Civilians 2 Shootings 2 IEDs	9 Incidents 31 Killed: 1 Peshmerga, 30 Civilians 24 Wounded: 20 Peshmerga, 4 Civilians 7 Shootings 1 IED 1 Suicide Car Bomb
Maysan	-	2 Incidents 1 Killed: 1 Civilian 1 Shooting 1 Stun Bomb
Ninewa	11 Incidents 13 Killed: 2 ISF, 11 Civilians 9 Shootings 1 IED	12 Incidents 26 Killed: 4 Peshmerga, 22 Civilians 5 Shootings
Qadisiyah	-	1 Incident 1 Killed: 1 Civilian 1 Shooting
Salahaddin	49 Incidents 87 Killed: 31 ISF, 56 Civilians 136 Wounded: 75 ISF, 61 Civilians 15 Shootings 73 IEDs 1 Car Bomb 4 Suicide Car Bombs	24 Incidents 74 Killed: 35 ISF, 1 Sahwa, 38 Civilians 51 Wounded: 40 ISF, 4 Sahwa, 7 Civilians 9 Shootings 26 IEDs 3 Suicide Car Bombs
Wasit	1 Incident 3 Killed: 3 Civilians 15 Wounded: 2 ISF, 13 Civilians	-

Province	Nov 15-21
Anbar	29 Incidents 90 Killed: 37 ISF, 2 Sahwa, 51 Civilians 54 Wounded: 10 ISF, 10 Sahwa, 34 Civilians 18 Shootings 1 IED 2 Suicide Bombers
Babil	6 Incidents 8 Killed: 1 ISF, 7 Civilians 26 Wounded: 6 ISF, 20 Civilians 5 IEDs
Baghdad	42 Incidents 61 Killed: 8 ISF, 2 Sahwa, 51 Civilians 211 Wounded: 28 ISF, 2 Sahwa, 181 Civilians 9 Shootings 22 IEDs 3 Sticky Bombs 3 Car Bombs 2 Suicide Car Bombs
Diyala	12 Incidents 18 Killed: 12 ISF, 6 Civilians 30 Wounded: 2 ISF, 28 Civilians 6 Shootings 3 IEDs 1 Sticky Bomb
Irbil	1 Incident 10 Killed: 2 Police, 10 Civilians 23 Wounded: 23 Civilians 1 Suicide Car Bomb
Kirkuk	5 Incidents 2 Killed: 2 Civilians 2 Shootings 1 IED 1 Car Bomb
Ninewa	10 Incidents 22 Killed: 22 Civilians 5 Shootings 1 IED
Qadisiyah	1 Incident 1 IED
Salahaddin	27 Incidents 68 Killed: 16 ISF, 2 Sahwa, 50 Civilians 109 Wounded: 24 ISF, 9 Sahwa, 76 Civilians 12 Shootings 34 IEDs 2 Suicide Car Bombs

Not only were overall attacks down for the week, but so were the number of vehicle borne improvised explosive devices (VBIEDs). There were just twelve during the week, down from 23 during the 2^nd week of November and 16 seen from November 1-7. IS has been carrying out more car bombs overall however and November 11-17 saw one of the longest waves in recent months with a total of 25 across Anbar, Babil, Baghdad, Diyala, Kirkuk, and Salahaddin. Another wave did not start during the rest of the week, which was unusual.

Car Bomb Attacks In Iraq Nov 2014

Date	Location	Dead	Wounded
Nov 1	Yusifiya, Babil Dora & Palestine St, Baghdad	47	119
Nov 2	Yusifiya, Babil Bayaa, Sadoun St, Sadr City, Baghdad	38	103
Nov 3	Tunis, Baghdad	36
Nov 4
Nov 5	Baiji Refinery, Salahaddin	4	7
Nov 6	Hit & Baghdadi, Anbar Baiji, Salahaddin	18	26
Nov 7	Baghdadi, Anbar Baiji x3, Salahaddin	11	30
1st Wk Totals	16	154	285
Nov 8	Southeast of Hit, Anbar Sadr City, Amin, Amil x2 & Zafaraniya, Baghdad	42	125
Nov 9
Nov 10
Nov 11	Shaab, Baghdad Kirkuk, Kirkuk Tarmiya, Salahaddin	36	27
Nov 12	Yusifiya, Babil Mansour x2 & Rasheed, Baghdad Edheim, Diyala	26	68
Nov 13	Mamil, Baghdad Bani Saad & Kirfri, Diyala	13	33
Nov 14	Ramadi x2, Anbar Adhamiya & Morocco St, Baghdad Baiji & Tikrit, Salahaddin	42	83
2nd Wk Totals	23	159	336
Nov 15	Hamamiyat, Baghdad Taji, Salahaddin	18	54
Nov 16	Abbas Ibn Firmas Sq & Amiriya, Baghdad	2	8
Nov 17	Jubba x2, Anbar Meshtal & Amiriya, Baghdad	14	42
Nov 18
Nov 19	Irbil, Irbil Kirkuk, Kirkuk Tarmiya, Salahaddin	19	37
Nov 20	Ramadi, Anbar	6	7
Nov 21
3rd Wk Totals	12	59	148

(Institute for the Study of War)

 

Heavy fighting has been going on in central and eastern Anbar since October. During that month insurgents seized several towns and an army base in the middle of the governorate in an attempt to take the entire province. The government promised a counter attack, but so far has only been carrying out small scale operations outside of the major urban centers. For example, on November 15, an adviser to the governor said that the ISF had cleared Albu Nimr and then Dolab on November 20 both outside of Hit. Pro-government forces were also moving on Barwana near Haditha, continued operations in the southeast towards Karbala, and was clearing up the area between Amiriya Fallujah and Jurf al-Sakhr in Babil in the east. During the week there were also reports of fighting inside and out of Ramadi, in Baghdadi, Amiriya Fallujah, Habaniya, and Fallujah. The government claims it is waiting for tribal forces to be trained for a new brigade before it starts a major campaign in Anbar, but that’s still weeks away. Until then the insurgents and ISF and aligned tribes will continue to battle it out. Finally, the IS carried out more executions of the Albu Nimr tribe with 36 killed on November 15 in Hit, and another 6 on November 16.

(IraqSlogger)

The recent clearing operation in Babil’s northeastern Jurf al-Sakhr has had two main impacts upon security not only there, but in the south. First, IS has relocated to the northern section of the governorate. From November 15-21 there were 6 incidents with five IEDs and a mortar attack in Mahmudiya, Iskandiriya and Yusfiya. That’s where most of the violence in the province is going to be centered from now on as IS attempts to re-coup its losses. Second, Jurf al-Sakhr was a major staging area for VBIEDs into southern Iraq. None has occurred there since the area was secured drastically improving the situation in the south, which was getting hit a couple times a month by car bombs.

Baghdad remained a major target of car bombs, and also saw a large clash in the western section of the province. During the week there were five VBIEDs. The first was on November 15 in Hamamiyat, followed by an attack upon a U.N. convoy outside of Baghdad airport the next day. Amiriya was then bombed on November 16 and 17, along with Meshtal. IS aims to stir sectarian tensions with most of these attacks. November 15 there was also a firefight in Abu Ghraib that left two soldiers dead and 17 wounded. In recent weeks there have been similar incidents with the ISF getting hit by IEDs and assaults upon checkpoints. The insurgents have been active there for quite some time and are letting their presence being known.

The government and peshmerga forces carried out several clearing campaigns in Diyala during the third week of November. On November 18 a new operation began in Sadiya in the northeast by the ISF, militias, and the Kurds. That same day the army moved into Imam Weis just to the south of Baquba. Finally from November 20-21 there was a battle for Babilan with the army and militias victorious. Right after the fall of Mosul Diyala was a major front in the battle against the insurgents, but it has faded in importance since then. There are still a good number of attacks there, but it appears that the militants might be using the governorate more as a staging area for operations in the rest of the country rather than looking to gain territory there.

Similarly the peshmerga and ISF are trying to clear out areas of Kirkuk. November 15 the Kurds said it had gone into Kharaba Rot in the Dibis district in the northwest, while the ISF took control of Fatha Bridge in Hawija in the south. November 19 Jarabrot in Dibis was also said to have been freed by the Kurds. In June IS swept into the southern section of the province as the security forces collapsed after the fall of Mosul. Violence has been going down there since then.

Kurdistan witnessed a rare attack in November. The Islamic State carried out a suicide car bombing in Irbil on November 19 killing 10 and wounding 23. It appeared that the bomber was trying to get into the governor’s compound, but after being turned back detonated the bomb at a checkpoint instead.

Mount Sinjar continues to be surrounded by the Islamic State. The peshmerga said it would break the siege, but has been making very slow progress. November 16 it claimed it had freed three areas in the region including Kilma, Saraya and Monaya. The peshmerga may be waiting for heavy weapons to arrive from the west before it does much more in the region.

(Wikipedia)

Salahaddin has been where the ISF and militias have made big strides recently. In the middle of the month the government forces and militias made their way into the Baiji district in the north and broke the siege of the Baiji refinery, which had been holding out for months. After that the ISF and militias move to secure important roads in the area in preparation for a move on Tikrit. On November 20 the ISF also began an operation in Balad in the south. The insurgents are not going without a fight. At the end of the week there were heavy clashes in Dujail, Dhuluiya, Samarra, Ishaqi, Ramailat, and Balad. That showed that militants were still active in different parts of the province despite the progress of the ISF and militias. The attacks might have also been an attempt to draw forces away from Baiji, which is important for the militants to maintain their supply lines. The fighting in Salahaddin is far from over and will remain a center of the conflict in the coming months.

SOURCES

Alsumaria, "The killing and wounding of 23 elements of the Awakening and army, including an officer in detonation north of Baghdad," 11/20/14

Associated Press, "Car bombings in Baghdad kill 14 people," 11/17/14

Iraq Times, "Armed clashes between the army and Daash west of Baghdad leave 19 martyrs and wounded," 11/15/14

- "martyrs and injured in suicide bombing north of Baghdad 47," 11/15/14

Al Mada, "Daash executed five people form the Albu Nimr tribe western Anbar and threw their bodies in the Euphrates River," 11/16/14

- "Killing and injuring ten elements of the popular brigades in clashes south of Tikrit," 11/21/14

- "Killing and injuring ten people proceeds of bombing Baghdad International Airport entrance," 11/16/14

- "Toll doubles to 37 dead and wounded in bombing north of Baghdad," 11/15/14

Al Masalah, "Martyrdom and wounding 9 of the popular brigades while repelling  Daash attack Tikrit," 11/20/14

NINA, "Clashes Erupt south of Tikrit," 11/20/14

- "The IS elements attack Balad of three axes, and the killing and wounding of 30 civilians," 11/21/14

Radio Free Iraq, "15 November 2014," Daily Updates from Anbar, 11/15/14

- "20 November 2014," Daily Updates from Anbar, 11/20/14

Radio Nawa, "Five civilians were injured by a car bomb south of Kirkuk," 11/19/14

Al Rayy, "6 elements of Daash surrender to the Army south of Tikrit," 11/20/14

- "Killing and injuring eight Daash militants south of Tikrit," 11/20/14

Shafaq News, "25 casualties by a car bomb explosion near a popular market northern Baghdad," 11/15/14

- "Baghdad Operations: A suicide bomber blows himself after being trapped in America area," 11/16/14

- "Two explosions in Baghdad, one targeted the popular crowd fighters," 11/17/14

Shafiq, Mohammed, "Sons of Khazraj tribe deter a Daash attack on one of the regions of the country south of Tikrit," Alsumaria, 11/20/14

Xinhua, "28 killed in clashes, car bombings in Iraq," 11/17/14