Intelligence chief Kazemi officially accepts the nomination to be the next premier candidate from Pres Salah (Reuters) |
In November 2019 Prime Minister Adil Abdul Mahdi resigned due to protests against the Iraqi establishment. There has been a leadership gap as no replacement has successfully been able to form a government since then. The third candidate was just named at the start of April Mustafa al-Kazemi who is the head of the Iraqi National Intelligence Service. After the previous two failed nominations there is widespread skepticism that Kazemi will be successful, although so far he has garnered support from most of the ruling parties.
Kazemi was named as prime minister designate because of
opposition to his predecessor Adnan al-Zurfi. Zurfi was considered
too close to the Americans leading the Fatah list to come
out against him. Speaker of Parliament Mohammed al-Halbusi also rejected
him. Fatah, State of Law, Hikma, and Fadhila named
Kazemi as an alternative on April 6 after a meeting
at the home of Fatah and Badr head Hadi Amiri in Baghdad. That was ironic
because several parties associated with Fatah rejected Kazemi as a candidate a
few weeks before accusing
him of taking part in the American assassination of Iranian Revolutionary
Guards Quds Force commander General Qasim Suleimani and the deputy head of the
Hashd Commission Abu Muhandis. Now parties appear to be rallying behind him.
That includes Iyad
Allawi’s Iraqiya, Speaker Halbusi’s Iraqi Forces list,
the Kurdistan
Democratic Party, Moqtada
al-Sadr’s Sairoon, Kataib
al-Imam Ali a Hashd unit aligned with Iran, along
with Iran itself. The only party explicitly against Kazemi is Kataib Hezbollah
who said his nomination was a conspiracy against Iraq that could lead to war. That
is far more support that the other two candidates which raises hopes that
Kazemi will succeed where they failed.
Kazemi was a member of the Iraqi opposition during Saddam’s
time. He
fled to London and wrote for several media outlets. After 2003 he was part
of Kanan Makiya’s Iraqi Memory Foundation that collected captured Baathist
documents. He was later made
the head of the intelligence service in 2016. He was obviously well
connected to one ruling party or another to be picked for such an important
position with no experience in the field.
Despite the support that Kazemi has garnered so far there is
still some question about whether he will get a cabinet past the parliament.
That’s in part based upon the fact that there have already been two failed
attempts by others. It’s also widely believed that parties close to Iran want
to maintain the status quo so that retired prime minister Adil Abdul Mahdi can
stay in office. He largely gave those groups free reign. Kazemi also has ties
to the United States, which was the death knell for his predecessor, although
he also worked with Iran during the war against the Islamic State. Iraq will soon
know whether he has enough backing to complete a government as he only has 30
days to do so.
SOURCES
AIN, “Iran’s ambassador in
Baghdad: The Iranian view regarding al-Kazemi’s mandate is positive,” 4/10/20
- “The Sadrist
movement: We are with Al-Kazemi’s mandate to head the new government,” 4/9/20
- “The victory
coalition issued a statement on the assignment of Al-Kazemi to head the
government,” 4/9/20
Asharq Al-Awsat,”
Iraq’s Kazemi Promoted as the Sole Alternative to Zurfi,” 4/8/20
- “Shiite Iraqi Bloc
in Crisis as Kazemi Proposed as Zurfi Replacement for PM,” 4/6/20
Al Ghad Press, “The
Wisdom Stream announces its support for the Prime Minister-designate Mustafa
al-Kazemi,” 4/9/20
Lawk, Ghafuri,
“Iraqi political parties rally around spy chief as preferred PM,” Rudaw, 4/8/20
Al Mada, “5 Shiite
blocs nominate Al-Kazemi to block the Prime Minister-designate,” 4/6/20
- “Mustafa al-Kazemi
.. From the Fourth Authority to the Prime Minister’s Chair,” 4/7/20
- “Powerful
parliamentary parties want to keep the resigned prime minister,” 4/8/20
Al Monitor, “Iraq’s
president taps intelligence chief to form new government,” Al Monitor, 4/9/20
NINA, “Al-Amiri: The
largest bloc took its right, and we will support Al-Kadhemi in forming the government,”
4/9/20
- “The Coalition of
Iraqi Forces announces its support for Mustafa Al-Kadhemi’s candidacy for Prime
Minister,” 4/8/20
- “The President Of
Kurdistan Welcomes Mustafa al-Kazimi’s Candidacy For PM And Calls On Everyone
To Support Him,” 4/8/20
Otten, Cathy, Tahir, Rawaz,
Hussein, Mohammed, “New PM-designate Kadhimi has momentum, but steep
challenge,” Iraq Oil Report, 4/10/20
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