Iraq is facing a dual crisis caused by the Russian-Saudi oil war and the global coronavirus that has collapsed the international oil market which the country depends upon. In response, Baghdad has gone to the World Bank asking for help.
In early April Finance Minister Fuad Hussein held a video
conference with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank. The
United States and British ambassadors took part as well. Iraq also sent
a letter to the World Bank asking for $2 billion as part of its covid-19
program. Iraq expects to only get around $500 million however. It also requested
that $36 million it already received from the Bank to be diverted from
rebuilding to dealing with the coronavirus. When covid first hit Iraq the
Health Ministry asked
for $5 million in emergency funds but was denied because of the financial
crisis. If Iraq does get any funds from the World Bank it will likely be on
very strict terms. The Bank loaned money to Iraq during the war against the
Islamic State and was supposed to carry out financial reforms and concentrate
on reconstruction afterward. It did neither. That was because the budget is
based upon political rather than economic factors, and neither reforms nor
rebuilding fit the elite’s agenda.
The reason why Iraq is going to the World Bank is because it
is the most oil dependent country in the world. With the collapse in oil prices
it can’t
pay its bills, the largest of which is salaries and pensions for public
workers. In March 2020 it earned $2.9 billion from oil exports but needs $3.5
billion a month just for government salaries. Iraq has asked oil companies to
cut their budgets, that they may not be paid for six months, discussed minor
budget cuts, and dipping into the Central Bank’s foreign reserves. None of
those can cover costs but for a few months. It has to get loans as a result,
and this is likely the start of a series of negotiations with the World Bank
and IMF to acquire them. Iraq knows that the energy market goes through booms
and busts but never prepares for the downturns. In fact, it makes the situation
worse because when oil prices go up the government greatly increases its public
sector which means when petroleum drops the next time it will fall into an even
greater deficit. Again, this is due to the Iraqi elite who see the nation’s oil
wealth as a means to maintain its power and enrich itself. It is not interested
in development or economics which might mitigate these cyclical problems.
SOURCES
Iraq Oil Report, “Government scrambles for solutions as Iraq
faces financial free fall,” 4/7/20
Al Mada, “The World
Bank and the International Monetary Fund are ready to support Iraq in the face
of Corona,” 4/6/20
Rubin, Alissa, “Oil
Prices Crash, Virus Hits, Commerce Stops: Iraq Is in Trouble,” New York Times,
3/29/20
No comments:
Post a Comment