Tuesday, April 3, 2018

Iraq Oil Exports And Revenues Up In March 2018


Iraq has seen slight fluctuations in its oil exports in 2018. In March, they were up from February, which helped as prices have gone down each month of the new year.

This Day In Iraqi History - Apr 3


1929 Shah and King Faisal passed notes that legal barriers over Persian nationals
            In Iraq had been lifted
1939 King Ghazi died in car accident King Faisal II took power but was only 3 His
            cousin Abd al-Ilah chosen to rule in his place
1941 Golden Square officers picked Gaylani to become PM for 3rd time Started arresting
            pro-British politicians
1941 British War Office asked commander in Middle East what forces available
for Iraq after Golden Square military coup
1941 Nazi Germany sent letter saying it supported the Golden Square coup and would
            lend military aid
1965 Army and KDP clashed in Sulaymaniya killing 60
1970 Def Min Tikriti Inter Min Ammash named co-VPs under Pres Bakr to try to end
rivalry between two for power
1987 Iran Op Karbala 8 started in Basra Made little gains
1991 Saddam’s troops captured Sulaymaniya last major town held by Kurdish rebels
after Gulf War
1991 Saddam told aides that Iraqi army was psychologically defeated by Gulf War
            and that was why Shiites and Kurds rose up against govt
(Musings On Iraq article on Saddam’s view of 1991 uprisings)
1991 UN Resolution 687 said Iraq had to agree to border with Kuwait peacekeeping
force along that border and Coalition forces would exit southern Iraq
1991 UN Res 687 said Iraq had to destroy its WMD and long range missiles
1991 UN Res 687 said Iraq had to make a declaration on its WMD and nuclear
            programs by 4/17/91
1991 UN Res 687 said that UN Secretary General would create a weapons inspection
            commission by 5/17/19
1991 UN Res 1687 said Iraq had to return stolen property pay reparations to Kuwait
            Until all of those were met sanctions would remain
2003 Baath officials began fleeing Baghdad
2003 Sadrists held march in east Baghdad
2003 US forces reached Baghdad international airport
2003 Information Minister Sahaf denied U.S. had taken Karbala or Um Qasr in Basra
            and said all those stories were lies
2003 Power cut in Baghdad
2003 British forces made deep thrust into Basra City
2004 US arrested Sadr’s deputy Mustafa Yacoubi for murder of Sheikh Abdul Khoei
2004 Sadr said that he wanted to unite with Hezbollah and Hamas
2004 Powell said US intelligence gave him questionable intelligence about Iraq mobile
            WMD labs
2004 Marines ordered to go into Fallujah and arrest culprits behind killing Blackwater
            contractors became Op Vigilant Resolve
2008 Maliki officially extended Charge of Knights op against Mahdi Army to Sadr City
2008 Sadr said he would help govt clear ISF of militias
2008 Iraqi special forces arrested head of Thar Allah party claiming it was stealing
            govt property and behind violence
2012 Kurds accused Shiite parties in Baghdad of smuggling oil to Israel via Jordan
            after Shahristani accused KRG of smuggling oil to Iran
2012 Sistani rep in Hillah had house bombed in wave of attacks against Ayatollah’s
            followers
2012 Obama called Maliki about Iran flying weapons to Syria via Iraqi airspace
2014 Sadr said Maliki should not run for 3rd term as premier
2015 Salahaddin council called on Sistani to intervene to stop burning and looting in
            Tikrit
2015 Head of Salahaddin council said Hashd were looting and burning buildings in
            Tikrit
2015 VP Nujafi complained about looting and burning homes in Tikrit
2015 Abadi ordered ISF to arrest anyone breaking law in Tikrit
2015 Sistani reps Friday sermon called for ending of looting in Tikrit
2015 Police said there had been clashes between soldiers and Hashd to stop them from
            looting in Tikrit

View the Iraq History Timelines

Monday, April 2, 2018

March 2018 The Return Of The Islamic State Insurgency


In October 2017, the Islamic State’s Al-Naba newspaper called on its followers to switch to an insurgency like it did after the Surge. Faced with offensives by the Iraqi government backed by the U.S. led Coalition, the militants could no longer hold ground and suffer such heavy losses at the same time. As a result, the operations to free the last pieces of territory that IS held in Iraq were met with little resistance as Islamic State fighters fell back to regroup. Five months later and the insurgency has finally re-emerged. The number of incidents is still relatively flat since Al Naba’s announcement in October, but the type of attacks has definitively changed with bolder operations and an attempt to gain control of rural areas across the center of Iraq.

This Day In Iraqi History - Apr 2


1941 Regent of Iraq arrived at British airbase at Habaniya Anbar after Golden
            Square officers tried to arrest him after coup
1941 Regent tried and failed to organize resistance to Golden Square coup in Basra
            Then fled to Jordan
1975 Iraq army sealed border with Iran and declared Kurdish revolt over Mustafa
            Barzani and 150,000 Kurds fled to Iran
1975 1972-75 some 17,000 killed and 280,000 displaced during Kurdish rebellion
1982 Dep Cmdr of Iran’s armed forces claimed end of Iran-Iraq War was near
1986 Khomeini called for all able bodied men to join armed forces to overthrow
            Saddam
1990 Saddam threatened to use WMD against Israel if it was attacked 
(Musings On Iraq article on Saddam’s motivation for threatening Israel before the Kuwait invasion)
1991 State Dept U.S. never said that it was for removing Saddam
1991 Turkey said that 30,000 Kurds had entered country and 220,00 more coming as
            Saddam put down Kurdish revolt
1991 Iran and Turkey went to UN about Iraq’s suppression of Kurd and Shiite revolts
            and refugee crisis it was creating
1991 Kurds began fleeing Sulaymaniya in face of govt offensive to retake it from
            Peshmerga
2003 US forces took Karbala
2003 US forces reached outskirts of Baghdad Rep Guard Medina division
            counterattacked but turned back
2003 Qusay Hussein told Gen Hamdani that US attack in south was deception and
            real invasion would come from north
2003 US raid freed US POW Jessica Lynch from an Iraqi hospital
2003 Talabani said Peshmerga would not attack Kirkuk city to stave off criticism from
            US and Turkey Kurds ended up taking city
2003 Rumsfeld sent memo to military to cooperate with ORHA because wasn’t helping
            it
2003 State Dept leaked complaints to LA Times about Pentagon’s postwar plans to
            exclude UN and support Chalabi and INC
2004 Sadr gave angry speech against US occupation after CPA closed his newspaper
2004 Sadrists protested outside Green Zone demanding movement paper be re-opened
2004 Mahdi Army began marching in Sadr City as tensions with US grew
2004 Some Friday prayers in Fallujah condemned attack on Blackwater contractors in
            city
2004 Powell criticized US intel for giving him faulty claims about Iraq’s WMD for
            his Feb 03 UN speech
2005 Al Qaeda launched suicide attack on Abu Ghraib prison starting battle for town
2006 SecState Rice UK ForSec Straw told PM Jaafari he didnt have support and
            should step down Jaafari said no
2006 US military reported 1313 Iraqi civilians killed in sectarian murders in March
            2006 173 killed in suicide bombings
2006 US Amb Khalilzad said militias should be disarmed Iraqi officials said that would
            create more violence
2006 PM Jaafari said he would integrate militias into security forces to control them
2006 Fmr CENTCOM cmdr Gen  Zinni on Meet the Press said Iraq failure of strategic
            planning by US
2008 Retired Gen McCaffrey said ISI’s urban insurgency was defeated
2010 Maliki said he was going to form alliance with Kurds and backed Talabani to
            remain as president to form new govt
2010 Sadrists began referendum amongst followers to see who they wanted to be new
            premier
2010 Maliki talk with National Alliance failed as SIIC Hakim’s opposed Maliki’s
            2nd term
2011 56 wounded in clashes between police and protesters in Sulaymaniya
2012 Over 300 followers of Mahmoud Sarkhi arrested in Nasiriya
2012 Oil Min Luaibi claimed Exxon was halting work in KRG so that it could continue
            working with central govt on oil industry Wasn't true
2012 Dep PM Shahristani accused Kurds of smuggling oil to Iran
2013 Insurgents attacked Akkas gas field in Anbar
2013 Gunmen in army uniforms attacked 4 independent newspaper offices in Baghdad
            Mahmoud Sarkhi blamed
2013 Election Commission said provincial vote in Anbar and Ninewa would be
            delayed until May
2013 Sadrists said they would end cabinet boycott
2015 PM Abadi arrived in Tikrit after its liberation to make victory tour in city
2015 Sadr said brazen militias should be removed from Tikrit by ISF after stories
            of looting and burning homes
2015 Hashd leader Muhandis said that any looting and abuses in Tikrit were done
            by locals not Hashd
2015 Guard in Tikrit said he counted more than 200 homes in Qadisiyah district destroyed
            after city’s liberation
2016 Kurdish Alliance said it would not vote on Abadi’s new cabinet unless it
            got its quota of ministers

View the Iraq History Timelines 

Sunday, April 1, 2018

Review Inventing Iraq: The Failure of Nation Building and a History Denied


Review Dodge, Toby, Inventing Iraq: The Failure of Nation Building and a History Denied, New York: Columbia University Press, 2003

The Americans would have been well served to have read Inventing Iraq during their occupation of the country. Toby Dodge wrote the book attempting to explain the ideology largely based upon stereotypes of the Ottoman Empire and colonial territories that shaped British rule during the Mandate period from 1920-32. Those ideas mixed with budget constraints and fading interest in London combined to undermine the creation of the modern state the English wanted in Mesopotamia. The book makes some excellent observations about the troubles the British ran into, which are directly comparable to what happened to the Americans when they occupied Iraq. Unfortunately, the book is a bit inconsistent in its writing and content. 

This Day In Iraqi History - Apr 1


1941 PM Hashemi deposed in Golden Square officers coup after Hashemi tried
            to remove them
(Musings On Iraq article on 1941 coup)
1941 Army surrounded royal palace Regent escaped to Anbar with help of US
            ambassador Nuri al-Said and other pro-British politicians fled Iraq
1941 US and England believed Iraq coup part of German plan in coordination with
            invasion of Balkans and Libya Wasn’t
1941 Golden Square officers thought British were plotting against them
1975 Iraqi amnesty offer to Kurdish rebels and army deserters expired
1975 Iran closed border to Kurds fleeing Iraqi government offensive against them
1980 Islamic Action Organization made attempt on Dep PM Tariq Aziz at Mustansiriya
Univ, Baghdad
1988 End of 2nd Anfal campaign
(Musings On Iraq article on Anfal campaign)
1989 Saddam held elections for new parliament as part of political reform after
            Iran-Iraq War 160 of 250 seats went to Baathists
1990 Saddam speech said if US supported Israeli attack on Iraq he would burn
            Israel
(Musings On Iraq article on Saddam’s motivation for threatening Israel before the Kuwait invasion)
1991 Peshmerga repelled govt attack to retake Sulaymaniya
1991 Saddam’s forces put down Kurdish revolt in Zakho
1991 Barzani said 3 mil Kurds had fled to northern mountains along Turkish border
            to escape govt attacks
2002 UK ambassador to US Meyer warned Bush thinking of war with Iraq by
            autumn but no postwar plans
2003 US attacked Najaf Kut Samawa Hindiya Headed towards Hillah
2003 ORHA head Garner made 1 day trip to Um Qasr port 1st time in Iraq
2004 CPA adviser Larry Diamond told Bremer that there was a security vacuum in
            southern Iraq being filled by militias
2004 Gen Kimmitt promised to pacify Fallujah after Blackwater contractors killed
2004 US intel officer told press regime change in Iraq could have been promoted as part
            of war on terror but admin wanted to scare public using WMD
2005 Report White House and CIA leadership created environment where only threat of
            Iraq WMD reports were acceptable
2008 Maliki praised Badr and Dawa militia for helping to fight Mahdi Army in Basra
2008 Maliki promised jobs and better services after Charge of Knights in Basra
2009 National Reconciliation Committee said it began talks with Asaib Ahl Al-Haq
2009 Baghdad was supposed to take control of all Sahwa in Iraq from US forces
2010 Iran said it would host Iraqi parties that wanted to talk about forming new govt
2010 Gorran head Mustafa taken to court for defamation against Pres Talabani
2010 Iraqiya announced regional tour of Egypt Qatar Turkey Syrian and Iran to drum
            up support for forming new govt
2011 Protests in Baghdad against corruption and demanded release of prisoners
2012 Maliki said that if Pres Assad lost power there would be problems throughout
            the Middle East Condemned Gulf States arming Syrian rebels
2012 KRG halted oil exports for Baghdad over payment dispute
2012 VP Hashemi went to Qatar violating his arrest warrant
2013 ISI suicide truck bomb on Tikrit police station and govt center
2013 PUK said it would run independently of KDP in next KRG elections
2014 KRG said it would export oil for Baghdad to help with negotiations with central
            government over industry but didn’t happen
2014 Kataib Hezbollah said that it was involved in Shjariya operation in Anbar
2015 Mopping up operations in Tikrit with small attacks in north
2015 UN received reports that govt forces looting Tikrit after it was liberated and
            burning homes
2015 Sadr complained about brazen militias and said any that broke law should
            be brought to justice
2015 IS video of Ninewa sheikhs giving it baya
2016 PM Abadi’s nominee for Oil Minister in new technocratic cabinet withdrew
            name saying no consensus on changes
2016 Maliki faction of State of Law said it would only support partial cabinet change
2016 Kurdish Alliance said if Fin Min Zebari was replaced they would not vote
            on new cabinet
2016 Higher Educ Min Shahristani and For Minister Jaafari refused to step down for
            Abadi’s cabinet changes
2016 Solution List complained that Abadi’s new cabinet was way to exclude some
            parties from power 

Musings On Iraq In The News

I was quoted by Paul Iddon in "What's behind the PKK withdrawal from Sinjar" in Al Araby. That article was reprinted in Mepa News. I was cited by Aron Lund in "How Washington Learned to Love Haidar al-Abadi" for The Century Foundation. Paul Iddon quoted me again in "Iraqi and Syrian deployments hinder Turkish operations against Kurds" in Rudaw.

This Day In Iraqi History - Sep 10 1st Iraqi cabinet formed under new King Faisal govt

  1921 1 st Iraqi cabinet formed under newly coronated King Faisal Abd al-Rahman al-Gaylani became Iraq’s 1 st PM ( Musings On Ir...