Allies of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad have been
building up their forces for the last several months in anticipation of a new
push to secure the northwestern section of the country. That includes Iranian
Revolutionary Guards’ advisers and Basij militia, Lebanese Hezbollah, Russian
air strikes and trainers, and Iraqi fighters. The Iraqis were some of the first
to mobilize for these offensives, which just begun in October.
Starting in the summer of 2015 several Iraqi armed groups
groups began recruiting for deployment to Syria. As Phillip Smyth wrote in a new
report for the
Washington Institute for
Near East Policy, one of those groups was Kataib al-Imam Ali that was formed by
ex-Mahdi Army militiamen. They started a drive to gain new manpower in Najaf
starting in July using the Sayid Zainab shrine outside Damascus as a rallying
point. The group has been sending its men to Syria since 2013. Karakt Hezbollah
al-Nujaba, which is made up of former Asaib Ahl Al-Haq members, Liwa Assad
Allah al-Ghalib formed from Liwa Abu Fadhl al-Abbas, which has been fighting in
Syria for years, new groups such as Kataib al-Muqawama al-Islamiya fi al-Iraq,
Harakat al-Muqawama al-Islamiya, and Kataib al-Ansar al-Wilayah, and veteran
Hashd group Kataib Hezbollah have all been bringing in new fighters for Syria
since the summer as well. Smyth told the Wall
Street Journal that approximately 5,000 Iraqis had gone to Syria from July
to August. Some of these groups like Kataib Hezbollah have been taking part in
the Iraqi government offensives in Anbar and Salahaddin, while others appear to
be exclusively fighting in Syria. They are all supported by Iran, which is
organizing the pro-Assad forces, and that is why these groups are leaving Iraq.
The Iraqi militiamen will be backing the Syrian Army in
their operations in Homs, Ladhidiya, and Hama provinces. Iraqis were said to be
involved in the first
part of this offensive that started in Hama and Ladhidiya at the beginning
of October. That included Iranian Revolutionary Guards, Hezbollah fighters, and
Russian air strikes and missile barrages. The pro-Assad forces took six
villages, but rebels held out in some other areas. On October 15, the second
phase started with two Syrian Divisions moving on the Rastan Plains in Homs
province. According to the Associated
Press the main goals of these moves are to secure the Alwaite areas of
Latakia in Ladhidiya, keep the supply lines to Aleppo open, and retake areas of
Hama province lost to rebels with the larger aim of shoring up the Assad
government’s position in the country. That stands in contrast to the narrative
that Iraqi groups use to recruit fighters as none of this fighting is near the
Sayid Zainab shrine that is far to the south, nor does it involve confronting
the Islamic State as Russia is using to justify its new intervention in Syria.
The main
rebels that the joint forces will be taking on come from groups like
Al-Nusra Front and Ahrar al-Sham.
The main architects of this offensive appeared to be Tehran.
General Qasim Suleimani the commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ Quds
Force allegedly travelled to Moscow in July 2015 and met with President
Vladimir Putin and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu probably to discuss a joint
venture in Syria. One official told the Associated
Press that Iran had been asking for Russian help for a year. Tehran is also
said to be in
charge of much of the Syrian government’s military operations since 2011
when Assad first began putting down the protest movement. Iran organized the
National Defense Forces for example based upon its own Basij militia, and brought
in its Lebanese and Iraqi allies to prop up Damascus as well. It now appears to
be behind the current push, and Iraqis are an integral part to its plans as
they have been from almost the beginning of the Syrian war.
SOURCES
Bassam, Laila and Perry, Tom,
“Syria’s army, allies plan offensive against insurgents in Aleppo,” Reuters,
10/13/15
Dagher, Sam and Fitch, Asa, “Iran
Expands Role in Syria in Conjunction With Russia’s Airstrikes,” Wall Street
Journal, 10/2/15
Fadel, Leith, “Breaking: Syrian
Arab Army Begins Long-Awaited Offensive in Northern Homs,” Al Masdar News,
10/15/14
Karam, Zeina, “Under Russia’s
cover, Iran sends troops to Syria,” Associated Press, 10/14/15
Karam, Zeina and El Deeb, Sarah,
“Iran sends fighters to Syria, escalating its involvement,” Associated Press,
10/14/15
Kozak, Chris, “Joint
Syrian-Iranian-Russian Offensive Achieves Only Limited Initial Gains,”
Institute for the Study of War, 10/14/15
Roggio, Bill, “Qods Force
commander Qassem Soleimani rallies Iranian officers, Hezbollah in Syria,” Long
War journal, 10/14/15
Smyth, Phillip, “Iran’s Iraqi
Shiite Proxies Increase Their Deployment to Syria,” Washington Institute for
Near East Policy, 10/2/15
Stuster, J. Dana, “Iran Appears to
Prepare for New Offensive in Syria,” Foreign Policy, 10/14/15
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