Baghdad, Anbar and Salahaddin account for the vast majority
of the Islamic State’s car bombings, but Diyala has become a new target of the
latest vehicle borne improvised explosive device (VBIED) campaign launched by
IS in July. Today there is nearly a car bomb a week in that province. Diyala is
important because it is not only a victim of the new IS wave, but it is also a
base for attacks into Baghdad province as well.
Since the new Islamic State car bomb campaign started, the
number of those types of attacks has skyrocketed in Diyala. In June, there were
just two VBIEDs in the province, one in Baladrooz, which is in the center, and
one in the east by the Iranian border in Mandali. That went up to 6 VBIEDs in
July, with one in Baladrooz, one in Khan Bani Saad that is in the west by
Baghdad, 2 in Khalis that is in the west by Salahaddin, and 2 in Mandali. That doubled
in August with 13 with one Baladrooz, one in Howaider by the provincial capital
Baquba by Salahaddin, one in Kanaan in the north east, 2 in Hamrin in the northwest,
and 2 in Khalis. All but one of these bombings was a terrorist attack aimed at
civilian targets such as markets and restaurants. That accounts for the high
casualty rates. The pace of these attacks has also gotten to the level of
nearly one per week. In July and August for instance, there was at least one
car bombing per three out of every four weeks.
Diyala is both a target and source for car bombs in Iraq.
There are two likely bases within the province. One is reportedly in Baladrooz
and the other in the Hamrin Mountains. The latter is a notorious insurgent
stronghold that has never been cleared even when the United States had forces
in Iraq. Between the two VBIEDs could be sent to any part of the governorate.
IS also has camps in southern Salahaddin that neighbor Diyala that could be
used. Finally, Diyala is a known source of car bombs and explosives into
eastern Baghdad, which is a favorite target of the Islamic State. The Shiite
neighborhoods in the east of the capital are routinely bombed to incite
sectarian tensions.
As the Islamic State continues with its campaign reports of
car bombings in Diyala will become more routine. It’s likely that there will be
one such attack per week eventually. As in the rest of the country the security
forces have not been able to disrupt IS’s networks that deliver explosives,
build these bombs, and deliver them. That means that these incidents will not
decrease until IS wants them to as the current offensive runs down before the
next one begins.
Car Bombs In Diyala Jun-Aug 2015
Month
|
# Of Car
Bombs
|
Location
|
Dead
|
Wounded
|
Jun
|
2
|
Baladrooz 1
Mandali 1
|
30
|
59
|
Jul
|
6
|
Baladrooz 1
Khan Bani Saad 1
Khalis 2
Mandali 2
|
154
|
225
|
Aug
|
13
|
Baladrooz 1
Howaider 1
Kanaan 1
Hamrin 2
Khalis 2
|
78
|
147
|
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