Is the Islamic State’s insurgency over in Iraq? For all intense and purposes it is. Incidents by the group plummeted to an all time low in February and that continued into March. The group has also not chosen a new leader after Abu Ibrahim al-Hashemi al-Quraishi was killed in a U.S. raid last month. Perhaps after it selects a new commander it will restart its operations but as of now it is doing little to nothing in Iraq.
There were only seven security incidents reported in Iraq from March 1-7, 2022. There were 8 the last week of February and 9 the week before that.
3 incidents were by pro-Iran groups. They hit U.S. convoys working for the U.S. with bombs in Dhi Qar, Diwaniya and Salahaddin. Like the Islamic State these factions have been winding down their operations over the last two months. It appears they are more concerned with talks over forming the next Iraqi government.
There were only four incidents by the Islamic State during the week, the same number as the last week of February. These are the lowest weekly totals ever recorded in Iraq since 2003. In Diyala there was a sticky bomb and a grenade was dismantled outside the house of a member of the Iraqi Security Forces. In Kirkuk an old IED killed a civilian, and in Salahaddin an attack was foiled by the security forces. That’s two failed attacks, a leftover bomb and only one real attack for the week.
It’s not just that there are so few incidents currently in Iraq. It’s also the fact that almost all of them are in remote rural areas. They have little impact upon the population and none upon the government. It can therefore be said that the Islamic State is not currently relevant to the country.
Security Incidents In Iraq By Province
|
Province |
Mar 1-7 |
|
Dhi Qar |
1 Pro-Iran |
|
Diwaniya |
1 Pro-Iran |
|
Diyala |
2 |
|
Kirkuk |
1 |
|
Salahaddin |
2/1 Pro-Iran |
|
TOTAL |
7/3Pro-Iran |
Casualties In Iraq By Province
|
Province |
Mar 1-7 |
|
Kirkuk |
1 (1K) |
|
TOTAL |
1 (1K) |
Attacks by Pro-Iran Groups
|
|
January Totals 31 (9) – 3 Wounded |
|
2/1/22 |
IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Dhi Qar |
|
2/3/22 |
Rockets – Turkish army base, Ninewa |
|
2/6/22 |
IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Diwaniya |
|
2/8/22 |
IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Diwaniya |
|
2/9/22 |
IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Muthanna |
|
2/10/22 |
IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Salahaddin |
|
2/13/22 |
IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Salahaddin |
|
|
2 IEDs dismantled – Muthanna |
|
2/19/22 |
Grenade – Taqadum office, Anbar |
|
2/22/22 |
IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Anbar, Babil, Dhi Qar |
|
|
IED dismantled – Muthanna |
|
|
February Totals 11 (3) |
|
3/1/22 |
IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Dhi Qar, Diwaniya |
|
3/4/22 |
IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Salahaddin |
|
|
March Totals 3 |
Security In Iraq 2021-22
|
Week |
Security Incidents (Total/By IS) |
Dead (Total/By IS) |
Wounded (Total/By IS) |
|
Jan 1-7 |
21/2 |
13 |
19 |
|
Jan 8-14 |
17/3 |
12 |
6 |
|
Jan 15-21 |
20/3 |
52 |
133 |
|
Jan 22-28 |
10/3 |
13 |
12 |
|
Jan 29-31 |
9/1 |
2 |
6 |
|
JAN |
77/13 |
92 |
176 |
|
Feb 1-7 |
19/2 |
11 |
23 |
|
Feb 8-14 |
11/3 |
4 |
8 |
|
Feb 15-21 |
20/7 |
11 |
23 |
|
Feb 22-28 |
13/4 |
13 |
23 |
|
FEB |
63/16 |
39 |
77 |
|
Mar 1-7 |
19/5 |
5 |
8 |
|
Mar 8-14 |
12/2 |
13 |
15 |
|
Mar 15-21 |
24/6 |
8 |
7 |
|
Mar 22-28 |
14/2 |
8 |
13 |
|
Mar 29-31 |
9/5 |
2 |
1 |
|
MAR |
79/20 |
39 |
44 |
|
Apr 1-7 |
16/10 |
3 |
5 |
|
Apr 8-14 |
15/6 |
6 |
18 |
|
Apr 15-21 |
32/4 |
19 |
44 |
|
Apr 22-28 |
31/6 |
15 |
42 |
|
Apr 29-30 |
12/1 |
11 |
23 |
|
APR |
107/27 |
54 |
132 |
|
May 1-7 |
36/8 |
33 |
37 |
|
May 8-14 |
31/5 |
14 |
25 |
|
May 15-21 |
15/2 |
3 |
3 |
|
May 22-28 |
20/9 |
3 |
24 |
|
May 29-31 |
11 |
6 |
11 |
|
MAY |
113/24 |
59 |
100 |
|
Jun 1-7 |
12/5 |
6 |
29 |
|
Jun 8-14 |
22/10 |
7 |
7 |
|
Jun 15-21 |
24/4 |
14 |
14 |
|
Jun 22-28 |
19/2 |
10 |
17 |
|
Jun 29-30 |
5 |
- |
21 |
|
JUN |
83/21 |
36 |
87 |
|
Jul 1-7 |
38/9 |
11 |
35 |
|
Jul 8-14 |
25/4 |
7 |
17 |
|
Jul 15-21 |
20/1 |
48 |
75 |
|
Jul 22-28 |
10/1 |
10 |
7 |
|
Jul 29-31 |
16/5 |
30 |
30 |
|
JUL |
110/20 |
106 |
164 |
|
Aug 1-7 |
44/5 |
12 |
19 |
|
Aug 8-14 |
31/6 |
17 |
23 |
|
Aug 15-21 |
25/8 |
12 |
18 |
|
Aug 22-28 |
21/9 |
8 |
10 |
|
Aug 29-31 |
12/2 |
5 |
12 |
|
AUG |
133/30 |
54 |
82 |
|
Sep 1-7 |
21/3 |
12 |
24 |
|
Sep 8-14 |
28/3 |
24 |
36 |
|
Sep 15-21 |
13/1 |
5 |
17 |
|
Sep 22-28 |
17/4 |
13 |
9 |
|
Sep 29-30 |
2 |
- |
- |
|
SEP |
81/11 |
54 |
86 |
|
Oct 1-7 |
17 |
11 |
22 |
|
Oct 8-14 |
14/1 |
4 |
13 |
|
Oct 15-21 |
9/2 |
3 |
2 |
|
Oct 22-28 |
21/1/1 |
36 |
42 |
|
Oct 29-31 |
11/1 |
7 |
7 |
|
OCT |
72/6/1 |
61 |
86 |
|
Nov 1-7 |
20/2 |
3 |
20 |
|
Nov 8-14 |
15/1 |
11 |
18 |
|
Nov 15-21 |
14/4 |
2 |
4 |
|
Nov 22-28 |
15/4 |
10 |
14 |
|
Nov 29-30 |
3/1 |
1 |
3 |
|
NOV |
67/12 |
27 |
59 |
|
Dec 1-7 |
17/2 |
29 |
22 |
|
Dec 8-14 |
14/4 |
4 |
6 |
|
Dec 15-21 |
22/8 |
11 |
12 |
|
Dec 22-28 |
18/8 |
11 |
27 |
|
Dec 29-31 |
7/1 |
5 |
4 |
|
DEC |
78/23 |
56 |
67 |
|
Jan 1-7, 2022 |
18/9 |
3 |
4 |
|
Jan 8-14 |
35/21 |
3 |
18 |
|
Jan 15-21 |
12/5 |
17 |
12 |
|
Jan 22-28 |
16/3 |
8 |
19 |
|
Jan 29-31 |
6/2 |
2 |
6 |
|
JAN |
87/41 |
33 |
59 |
|
Feb 1-7 |
11/3 |
1 |
10 |
|
Feb 8-14 |
14/6 |
8 |
3 |
|
Feb 15-21 |
9/1 |
- |
11 |
|
Feb 22-28 |
8/4 |
1 |
5 |
|
FEB |
42/14 |
10 |
29 |
|
Mar 1-7 |
7/3 |
1 |
- |
Violence By Province Mar 1-7, 2022
|
Province |
Violence |
2018 Avg |
2019 Avg |
2020 Avg |
2021 Avg |
2022 Avg |
|
Anbar |
- |
12.6 incidents/ month |
8.6 incidents/ month |
7.0 incidents/ month |
4.6 incidents/ month |
3.0 incidents/month |
|
Babil |
- |
4.0 incidents/month |
3.0 incidents/month |
2.75 incidents/month |
2.5 incidents/month |
2.0 incidents/month |
|
Baghdad |
- |
33.0 incidents/month |
11.6 incidents/month |
7.3 incidents/month |
5.6 incidents/ month |
3.0 incidents/month |
|
Dhi Qar |
1 Pro-Iran Incident
1 IED |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diwaniya |
1 Pro-Iran Incident
1 IED |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diyala |
2 Incidents
1 Sticky Bomb 1 Grenade |
34.5 incidents/month |
30.0 incidents/month |
30.6 incidents/month |
23.2 incidents/month |
11.5 incidents/month |
|
Kirkuk |
1 Incident 1 Killed 1 Civilian
1 IED |
36.5 incidents/month |
18.6 incidents/month |
13.9 incidents/month |
11.6 incidents/month |
7.0 Incidents/month |
|
Ninewa |
- |
20.0 incidents/month |
14.0 incidents/month |
10.6 incidents/month |
8.4 incidents/month |
5.5 incidents/month |
|
Salahaddin |
2/1 Pro-Iran Incidents
1 IED |
21.7 incidents/month |
10.6 incidents/month |
11.2 incidents/month |
11.5 incidents/month |
4.5 incidents/month |
SOURCES
Bas News, "Iraqi Forces Foil IS Attack in Salahaddin," 3/5/22
NINA, "A Child Killed In An Explosion In Hawija District, West of Kirkuk," 3/5/22
NRT, “ISIS Leader Killed In US Special Forces Raid In Syria,” 2/3/22
Shafaq News, "An explosion targets a convoy in support of the International Coalition near Salahaddin," 3/4/22
- "In a second incident within hours, a logistical convoy of the International Coalition was targeted in southern Iraq," 3/1/22
- "A lawyer was injured in a failed assassination attempt in Diyala," 3/2/22
- "Security handles a grenade sent with a threatening message to an affiliate's home in Khanaqin," 3/4/22
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