It appears that the Islamic State is in the midst of a
spring offensive. One of its main tactics has been to use more car bombs in
terrorist attacks.
In May there have been two major days of vehicle bombs. The
first was on May
1 when two car bombs went off in Muthanna’s Samawa killing 38 and wounding
86. Afterward three IS members were arrested and admitted to carrying out the
operation. According to Al
Mada they had a scout check out the locations for the bombing in Samawa.
Once one was found a day and time for the bombing was picked. Suicide bombers
and four car bombs were then moved from Anbar, through Nukhaib in Karbala to
Muthanna. A guide took them through back roads skipping all of the security
checkpoints. Two of those bombs detonated, one was discovered by the security
forces and dismantled, while the fate of the fourth was unknown. Ten days later
on May 11 three suicide car bombs went off in Baghdad’s Sadr City, Kadhimiya
and Jamiya
leaving a total of 103 dead and 170 injured. Al Maalomah quoted an
Iraqi security analyst who claimed that the Sadr City bombing originated in
Diyala. He told the paper that the parts were smuggled through checkpoints into
the capital, and then assembled for the attack.
Both of these operations highlight the Islamic State’s
networks. The group has rat lines stretching from Anbar, Salahaddin, Diyala,
and Babil into the capital, which it has operated for years. Payoffs and
threats allow it access through checkpoints, plus there are rural roads that it
uses to that avoid the security forces to enter the urban areas. The government
has always split security in Baghdad between a variety of commands and units
and security forces to prevent coups. That means that it is impossible to
ensure the safety of the province. As for the south, Babil used to be its main
base for operations there. The Muthanna bombing showed that it can now move men
and material from Anbar throughout the region. The south has not been hit for
months, but it now appears vulnerable.
SOURCES
BBC, "IS
conflict: Dozens killed in Baghdad car bombings," 5/11/16
Al Mada, “Details on
Samawa Attacks: 4 who infiltrated from the swamp and delivered two suicide
bombers from Anbar,” 5/9/16
Al Maalomah, “How
the car bomb entered Sadr City?” 5/11/16
Salaheddin, Sinan
and George, Susannah, "Additional Bombings Bring Death Toll to 93 Across
Baghdad," Associated Press, 5/11/16
Sotaliraq,
"Statistics: Killing 103 people and injuring 155 in Baghdad bombings on
Wednesday," 5/11/16
Sputnik News,
"Death Toll in Southern Iraq's Twin Blasts Rises to 38," 5/1/16
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