Oil prices for Iraqi crude have stagnated since December 2022 while exports have been flat for the last year and a half.
In June Iraq exported an average of 3.335 million barrels a day in petroleum. That was the highest amount for the year but only slightly up from May’s 3.305 million. This was despite the pipeline to Turkey still being shut down which ended oil sales from both Kirkuk and Kurdistan. In 2023 Iraq has averaged 3.2 million barrels a month which is little different from 2022’s 3.3 million barrels.
Prices were down in June with Iraqi oil going for $71.11 per barrel. That was the lowest amount since August 2021. That accounted for the dip in revenue from $7.306 billion in May to $7.115 billion in June. That was the second lowest monthly total in 2023 after February’s $7.081 billion.
These figures are not good for Baghdad which just passed the largest budget in the country’s history. It is based upon an average of 3.5 million barrels a day in exports going for $70 per barrel. Those figures could be reached if Turkey agreed to re-open its pipeline but talks have dragged out for months now with no sign that Istanbul is close to compromising. The new budget has the biggest projected deficit in history and that will go up as a result of Turkey’s intransigence.
Federal Oil Exports, Prices, Revenues 2020-2022
|
Month |
Avg Export (Mil) |
Avg Price |
Earnings (Bil) |
|
Jan 2020 |
3.306 |
$60.14 |
$6.163 |
|
Feb |
3.391 |
$51.37 |
$5.053 |
|
Mar |
3.391 |
$32.73 |
$2.962 |
|
Apr |
3.438 |
$13.80 |
$1.51 |
|
May |
3.212 |
$21.00 |
$2.136 |
|
Jun |
2.816 |
$33.86 |
$2.871 |
|
Jul |
2.763 |
$40.70 |
$3.492 |
|
Aug |
2.597 |
$43.69 |
$3.492 |
|
Sep |
2.613 |
$40.40 |
$3.173 |
|
Oct |
2.876 |
$38.48 |
$3.457 |
|
Nov |
2.709 |
$41.77 |
$3.404 |
|
Dec |
2.846 |
$47.76 |
$4.235 |
|
2020 Avg |
2.996 |
$38.80 |
$3.493 |
|
Jan 2021 |
2.868 |
$53.29 |
$4.765 |
|
Feb |
2.96 |
$60.33 |
$5.013 |
|
Mar |
2.946 |
$63.32 |
$5.787 |
|
Apr |
2.947 |
$62.77 |
$5.549 |
|
May |
2.899 |
$65.84 |
$5.917 |
|
Jun |
2.892 |
$70.77 |
$6.143 |
|
Jul |
2.918 |
$72.00 |
$6.476 |
|
Aug |
3.054 |
$69.01 |
$6.553 |
|
Sep |
3.081 |
$73.32 |
$6.777 |
|
Oct |
3.12 |
$79.27 |
$7.666 |
|
Nov |
3.272 |
$77.33 |
$7.611 |
|
Dec |
3.277 |
$72.80 |
$7.391 |
|
2021 Avg |
3.019 |
$68.33 |
$6.303 |
|
Jan 2022 |
3.203 |
$83.82 |
$8.323 |
|
Feb |
3.314 |
$92.08 |
$8.544 |
|
Mar |
3.244 |
$110.09 |
$10.913 |
|
Apr |
3.38 |
$104.09 |
$10.554 |
|
May |
3.3 |
$111.79 |
$11.44 |
|
Jun |
3.373 |
$113.70 |
$11.505 |
|
Jul |
3.303 |
$103.60 |
$10.608 |
|
Aug |
3.286 |
$96.05 |
$9.784 |
|
Sep |
3.292 |
$89.56 |
$8.845 |
|
Oct |
3.382 |
$88.31 |
$9.258 |
|
Nov |
3.329 |
$82.41 |
$8.23 |
|
Dec |
3.332 |
$73.64 |
$7.709 |
|
2022 Avg |
3.311 |
$95.76 |
$9.63 |
|
Jan |
3.266 |
$75.69 |
$7.663 |
|
Feb |
3.184 |
$76.75 |
$7.081 |
|
Mar |
3.255 |
$73.43 |
$7.26 |
|
Apr |
3.288 |
$79.04 |
$7.699 |
|
May |
3.305 |
$71.49 |
$7.306 |
|
Jun |
3.335 |
$71.11 |
$7.115 |
|
2023 Avg |
3.272 |
$74.55 |
$7.345 |
SOURCES
NINA, “Ministry of Oil: Last month’s revenues amounted to more than $7 billion,” 7/1/23
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