Thursday, February 8, 2018

How A Contested Aluminum Tubes Story Became The Basis For War With Iraq


The Bush administration’s first public relations campaign to lobby for the overthrow of Saddam Hussein was centered around the claim that Iraq had restarted its nuclear program. This was based upon Baghdad trying to buy 60,000 aluminum tubes in 2001. The October 2002 National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq used the tubes to claim that Iraq had renewed its atomic program. The problem was this story was always contested, especially by the Energy Department and nuclear specialists, while just one CIA analyst was able to get this claim propagated by the White House.

This Day In Iraqi History – Feb 8


1922 UK Sec of War Evans wrote cabinet Iraqi army weak British military presence
            small Iraq vulnerable to Turkey tribal unrest so UK should withdraw from Mosul
1963 Baath-military coup against Gen Qasim Started with assassination of Air Force
            chief Radio station at Abu Ghraib seized
1963 Defense Ministry where Qasim was bombed during coup Communists took to
            streets and fought army in Baghdad
1963 National Council of the Revolutionary Command created to run new govt
1963 CIA allegedly supported 1963 coup because Qasim’s Communist support Gave
            Baath lists of Communists to eliminate
1980 Saddam proposed pan-Arab charter of non-aligned Arab states to oppose
            superpowers in region
1992 Report Bush authorized $30 mil CIA program to overthrow Saddam
2003 Bush said Iraq tried to buy equipment for WMD Saddam authorized his
            commanders to use chemical weapons
2003 Iraq turned over new documents about its WMD programs to UN inspectors
            that was called substantial
2003 UN inspectors went to site CURVEBALL defector claimed was secret WMD facility
            and found nothing
2004 After Iraq Survey Group said it found no stockpiles of WMD Bush said they
            could still be found and Saddam was still dangerous
2004 Report British intel spied on UN Security Council in 2003 during deliberations
            on 2nd resolution to authorize force vs Iraq
2004 Japanese troops arrived in Iraq for first overseas deployment since WWII
2006 Senate Foreign Relations Comm told oil electricity water sewage all below
            pre-war levels in Iraq
2007 ISI told new Baiji refinery director general that only Sunnis were to be hired at
            the facility
2011 Parliament human rights comm opened investigation of Camp Honor secret
            prison in Baghdad run by Maliki Nothing came of it
2014 IS joined Fallujah Military Council and agreed to cooperate with other militant
            factions
2015 Peshmerga destroyed villages in 5 districts in southern Kirkuk



Wednesday, February 7, 2018

This Day In Iraqi History - Feb 7


1920 War Min Churchill wrote there were far too many British troops in
            Mesopotamia that could be sustained
(Musings On Iraq article on Churchill’s ideas on Mesopotamia/Iraq)
1924 UK Colonial Sec Thomas wrote British air power was effective way to control
            Rebellions tribes in Iraq
1941 Germany told Italy it was thinking of arming Iraq and was going to give money to
            Mufti of Jerusalem who was living in Baghdad
1959 Former Dep PM Arif sentenced to death after being sent away as Amb to Germany
            and secretly returned to Iraq
1983 Iran launched Op Fajr al-Fajar attacking Basra-Baghdad highway in Maysan
            with 6 divisions Iran-Iraq War
1983 Iranians regained 100 sq mi of Iranian territory but turned back in Maysan
1984 Iranian offensives led Iraq to counter with 1st War of Cities
2001 CIA report to Congress no evidence Iraq reconstituted WMD program since
            1990s
2002 Gen Franks presented revised Iraq invasion plans to Bush at White House
2003 Pres Chirac called Bush saying there were alternatives to war with Iraq Said if war
            happened France would help with reconstruction
2003 US officials pushed back against Powell’s UN speech Told Wash Post Zarqawi
            connected to Al Qaeda but not part of group
2003 UK admitted paper on Iraq deception campaign over its WMD was plagiarized
            from US college student paper
2003 Pres Mubarak’s son Gamal visited Bush saying Saddam might want to go into exile
            in Egypt
2003 State Dept gave translated copies of Iraq-Niger uranium deal to CIA Were not
considered important to case Iraq restarted nuke program so docs not analyzed
(Musings On Iraq article on Iraq-Niger uranium story)
2004 Rumsfeld said Iraq war Saddam’s fault for his deception and defiance
2004 Bush and Cheney said Iraq war justified because Saddam could have made
            WMD Gave up argument he had them
2005 Insurgents complained to Newsweek that Zarqawi was trying to hijack insurgency
            and opposed his attacks upon Iraqi civilians 

Tuesday, February 6, 2018

Why Did Saddam Threaten Israel Before The 1990 Invasion of Kuwait?


In the lead-up to Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait in 1990 Saddam Hussein gave a series of speeches threatening to attack Israel. The conventional wisdom was that Saddam made these statements to rally the street and assert his leadership in the Arab world. Alex Roberto Hybel and Justin Matthew Kaufman in their book The Bush Administration and Saddam Hussein, Deciding on Conflict took another view that Saddam was actually trying to decipher Israel’s intentions to make sure his western flank was secure before he went to war with Kuwait.

This Day In Iraqi History – Feb 6


1977 Bakr govt put down Shiite protests killing 16 and arresting around 2000
            Ayatollah Mohammed Baqir al-Hakim and others arrested
1991 Jordan’s King Hussein condemned Saudis for letting Arab land be used to attack
            Iraq during Gulf War
1999 Guardian reported that Dec 98 Iraqis met with Al Qaeda in Afghanistan Claimed
            Iraq offered bin Laden asylum
2001 US and UK launched largest air strikes on Iraq in 2 yrs to destroy fiber optic
            communications system Iraq trying to install
2002 CIA officials told NY Times Iraq not taken part in any anti-U.S. terrorism since
            1993 attempt on ex-Pres Bush
2002 US intel officials told NY Times 9/11 hijacker Atta met with Iraqi intel in Prague
2003 UK Foreign Sec Straw wrote Attny Gen Lord Goldsmith challenging need for 2nd UN
            resolution to go to war with Iraq
2003 Press revealed most of UK intel dossier on Iraq trying to hide WMD was
            plagiarized from a US college student’s paper
2003 NYTimes Washington Post USA Today editorials all said Powell’s UN speech
            convinced them of Iraq threat
2003 Khalizad met with Turkmen Front Kurds Turks to try to make deal between
            Ankara and Kurds to facilitate using Turkey for invasion
2004 Bush announced Silberman-Robb commission to look into U.S. pre-war intel
            on Iraq’s WMD after none found
2004 Report DIA said CURVEBALL intel on Iraq mobile WMD labs was questionable
            in 02 Never passed to rest of intel community
2006 US Iraq Amb Khalizad said US talking to Iraqi insurgents in Anbar Syria Jordan
            Anbar Sheikh Fahadawi assassinated for taking part in talks
2007 Iranian diplomat detained by Iraqi police commandos and accused CIA of
torturing him after his release


This Day In Iraqi History - Nov 14 British army ordered to seize Basra vilayet WWI

1914 Sheikh of Islam called for jihad against British and French during WWI Call was repeated in all Sunni mosques in Mosul, Baghdad a...