In December 2009 the Gallup company conducted an end of the year study of several countries around the world. They contracted IIACSS to carry out a poll of 1,015 Iraqis, asking them three questions about the future. All three received positive responses.
The first one was would 2010 be better than 2009. The majority, 51%, said that they thought things would be better, compared to 28% who said it would be the same, and 18% who thought it would be worse. 3% had no response.
The second question was what they thought the economy would be like in 2010. The respondents were almost evenly divided between those that thought the economy would grow, 40%, and those who said that it would remain the same, 38%. 18% said it would run into problems, and 4% didn’t say.
The last question was what would unemployment be like in one year. Again, those polled were split with 37% saying that it would fall, while 35% said it would increase.
With attacks and deaths dramatically down from the heyday of the sectarian war in 2006-2007, the standard of living has become the most pressing concern in Iraq. Another poll from December 2009 by YouGov, asked Iraqis what was the most important issue facing the country, and unemployment, and financial insecurity, were two of the three top answers, with security being the third. The new poll by IIACSS reveals that Iraqis are hopeful that the economy will improve in 2010, and that will mean a better life. That’s a marked and positive change from just a couple years ago when Iraq seemed like it had fallen into the abyss. The question now is whether the state-run system in the country can actually provide people with good jobs and a future.
December 2009 IIACSS Poll
1. Do you think that 2010 will be better or worse than 2009
3% No response
2. Compared with the year 2009, in your opinion will 2010 be a year of economic prosperity, economic difficulty or remain the same?
40% Economic prosperity
38% Remain the same
18% Economic difficulty
4% No response
3. Expectations on unemployment in Iraq in the next 12 months?
31% Fall slightly
24% Remain the same
19% Increase slightly
16% Increase a lot
6% Fall a lot
4% No Response
Farbman, Rob, “IIACSS poll shows Iraqis mostly optimistic as 2010 begins,” Edison Research, 1/6/10
Zawya, “More Iraqis fear unemployment than security issues, YouGov Siraj research report reveals,” 1/12/10
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