Monday, February 5, 2024

Islamic State Picked Up Attacks In Iraq While Pro-Iran Groups Maintained Campaign Against US And Israel


The Islamic State has been increasing its attacks in Iraq in the last 3 months but they are still insignificant. Pro-Iran groups on the other hand have kept up a steady pace of operations against the U.S. and Israel over the Gaza War.

 

There were a total 42 security incidents reported in Iraq in January 2024. That compared to 35 in December and 35 in November.

 

The reason for the slight increase was more activity by the Islamic State. In January the group was responsible for 13 incidents. This was the first time it reached double figures in a month since August 2023. Its attacks have gone up from an all-time low of just 2 incidents in October to 6 in November to 9 in December. That is still nothing compared to its past. In 2022 for instance, it averaged 33 incidents per month, but it is above 2023’s average of 7 incidents per month.

 

The insurgency was most active in Salahaddin with 7 incidents. That included a very rare attempt at a suicide bombing in Tikrit outside of a Hashd headquarters. This was the first suicide bombing in 3 months and the first attack in an Iraqi city in 9 months. It was definitely attempt by the group to say that it is still active in Iraq.


 

There were 28 incidents by Pro-Iran groups during the month. There were 26 in December, 29 in November and 15 in October when the Gaza War began. There were three main targets in January.

 

Asad airbase in Anbar was attacked 9 times. 8 of those were with drones but there was also a ballistic missile strike that wounded 1 Iraqi solider and 4 U.S. troops. That was a large escalation because there was no way the group responsible didn’t expect casualties using such heavy ordinance.

 

Irbil was struck 7 times with drones hitting the city, airport and the Harir airbase.

 

The Islamic Resistance a collection of pro-Iran Hashd units also claimed 7 drone attacks on Israel.

 

Iran also fired ballistic missiles at Irbil City claiming they were targeting an Israeli intelligence center but landed on a civilian home causing several dead and wounded. This appeared to be a symbolic act to show that Tehran was also fighting Israel during the Gaza War but it backfired by killing civilians.

 

Last, the U.S. carried out two retaliatory strikes in January against pro-Iran groups for their attacks upon American forces in Iraq.

 

The Iranian and American involvement in Iraq is another sign that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is spilling over across the Middle East.

 

Security Incidents In Iraq By Province

Province

Jan 1-7

Jan 8-14

Jan 15-21

Jan 22-28

Jan 29-31

Totals

Anbar

2 Pro-Iran

-

3/1 Pro-Iran

6 Pro-Iran

 

11/9 Pro-Iran

Baghdad

1

1

-

-

 

2

Diyala

-

1

1 Pro-Iran

-

 

2/1 Pro-Iran

Irbil

2 Pro-Iran/1 Iranian

2 Pro-Iran

2 Pro-Iran

1 Pro-Iran

 

7 Pro-Iran

Israel

2 Pro-Iran

-

1 Pro-Iran

2 Pro-Iran

2 Pro-Iran

7 Pro-Iran

Kirkuk

-

-

-

-

1 Pro-Iran

1 Pro-Iran

Ninewa

-

1 Pro-Iran

1

-

 

2/1 Pro-Iran

Salahaddin

3

2

2/1 Pro-Iran

1

 

8/1 Pro-Iran

Sulaymaniya

-

-

-

1 Pro-Iran

 

1 Pro-Iran

TOTAL

10/6 Pro-Iran/1 Iranian

7/3 Pro-Iran

10/6 Pro-Iran

11/10 Pro-Iran

3 Pro-Iran

42/28 Pro-Iran/1 Iranian

 

Casualties In Iraq By Province

Province

Jan 1-7

Jan 8-14

Jan 15-21

Jan 22-28

Jan 29-31

Totals

Anbar

-

-

9 (5K, 4W)

-

-

11 (5K, 6W)

Baghdad

4 (4W)

 

-

-

-

4 (4 W)

Diyala

-

2 (2W)

-

-

-

2 (2W)

Ninewa

-

-

2 (2W)

-

-

2 (2W)

Salahaddin

10 (5K, 5W)

4 (3K, 1W)

1 (1K)

-

-

15 (9K, 6W)

TOTAL

14 (9K, 5W)

6 (3K, 3W)

12 (6K, 6W)

-

-

34 (14K, 20W)

 

Security In Iraq 2022-23

Week

Security

Incidents

(Total/By IS)

Dead

(Total/By IS)

Wounded

(Total/By IS)

JAN 2022

87/41 Pro-Iran

33

59

FEB

42/14 Pro-Iran

10

29

MAR

46/12/1 Pro-Iran

19

21

APR

111/22 Pro-Iran

34

103

MAY

73/13 Pro-Iran

41

51

JUN

40/14 Pro-Iran

7

33

JUL

43/6 Pro-Iran

33

54

AUG

57/7/1 Pro-Iran

24

54

SEP

41/1/3 M

9

64

OCT

28/2/3 M

17

45

NOV

23

10

28

DEC

33/1 Pro-Iran

42

38

JAN 2023

29/4 Pro-Iran

12

15

Feb 1-7

6/2 Pro-Iran

1

5

Feb 8-14

1

-

2

Feb 15-21

4

4

8

Feb 22-28

9/1 Pro-Iran

7

3

FEB

20/3 Pro-Iran

12

18

Mar 1-7

3

10

4

Mar 8-14

2

2

1

Mar 15-21

2

1

3

Mar 22-28

1

2

-

Mar 29-31

1

3

-

MAR

9

18

8

Apr 1-7

5

1

7

Apr 8-14

4

-

1

Apr 15-21

5

3

-

Apr 22-28

2

1

-

Apr 29-30

1

1

-

APR

16

6

8

May 1-7

2

1

1

May 8-14

6

4

3

May 15-21

3

2

6

May 22-28

3

1

3

May 29-31

2

-

3

MAY

15

8

14

Jun 1-7

-

-

-

Jun 8-14

4

7

4

Jun 15-21

2

1

2

Jun 22-28

4

2

4

Jun 29-30

-

-

-

JUN

10

10

10

Jul 1-7

1

-

-

Jul 8-14

3

2

1

Jul 15-21

2

-

1

Jul 22-28

2

-

2

Jul 29-31

3/2 Pro-Iran

-

-

JUL

11/2 Pro-Iran

2

4

Aug 1-7

4

-

4

Aug 8-14

2

1

3

Aug 15-21

2

-

5

Aug 22-28

2

-

2

Aug 29-31

3/1 Pro-Iran

1

9

AUG

13/1 Pro-Iran

2

23

Sep 1-7

1

-

1

Sep 8-14

1

1

-

Sep 15-21

2

-

4

Sep 22-28

1

1

1

Sep 29-30

-

-

-

SEP

5

2

6

Oct 1-7

-

-

-

Oct 8-14

-

-

-

Oct 15-21

7 Pro-Iran

-

-

Oct 22-28

7/5 Pro-Iran

-

8

Oct 29-31

3 Pro-Iran

-

-

OCT

17/15 Pro-Iran

-

8

Nov 1-7

11/9

4

2

Nov 8-14

12/10

-

3

Nov 15-21

6 Pro-Iran

-

8 Amer

Nov 22-28

4 Pro-Iran

-

-

Nov 29-30

2

11

16

NOV

35/29 Pro-Iran

15

29

Dec 1-7

10/8 Pro-Iran

1

9

Dec 8-14

8/6 Pro-Iran

-

2

Dec 15-21

6/2 Pro-Iran

1

2

Dec 22-28

7/6 Pro-Iran

-

3 US

Dec 29-31

4 Pro-Iran

 

 

DEC

35/26 Pro-Iran

2K

16W

Jan 1-7

10/6 Pro-Iran/1 Iranian

5

9

Jan 8-14

7/3 Pro-Iran

3

3

Jan 15-21

10/6 Pro-Iran

6

6

Jan 22-28

11/10 Pro-Iran

-

-

Jan 29-31

3 Pro-Ira

-

-

JAN

42/28 Pro-Iran/1 Iranian

14

20

 

SOURCES

 

Agence France Presse, “Baghdad challenges Iran’s claim that strikes targeted Israel’s intelligence service,” 1/16/24

- "Dozen missiles fired at US-led coalition in Iraq's Al-Asad airbase," 1/20/24

- "Explosive drone targeting coalition troops in Iraq shot down," 1/11/24

 

Bas News, "Militia Group Claims Responsibility for Fresh Attack on Ain Al-Asad," 1/22/24

- "US Forces Shoot Down Drone Over Iraq's Ain al-Asad Base," 1/2/24

 

Farrell, James, "At Least 2 U.S. Soldiers Injured In Attack On Iraqi Base, Report Says," Forbes, 1/20/24

 

Al Hurra, "Agencies: Drone and missiles hit a gas field in northern Iraq," 1/25/24

 

Kurdistan 24, "Explosive drone shot down at Erbil Air Base, says CTD," 1/2/23

 

Mahmoud, Sinan Harisi, Mohamad Ali, “Iranian commander visited Baghdad after deadly strike on US troops to urge de-escalation,” The National, 2/1/24

 

Mahmoud, Sinan Johnston, Holly, "At least five killed in Iran strikes on Iraq and Syria," The National, 1/15/24

 

Middle East Monitor, “Following Yemen’s Houthis, Iraq resistance announces naval blockade on Israel,” 1/24/24

 

NINA, "A bomb-laden drone shot down near Erbil International Airport," 1/18/24

- "Targeting Ain al-Assad base with drones," 1/26/24

- "Targeting Ain al-Assad base with drones," 1/28/24

 

Al Rafidain, "Security Sources: Two Drones Were Shot Down Targeting The Ain Al-Assad Military Base In Anbar," 1/24/24

 

Reuters, "Armed drone targets al-Harir airbase which houses US troops in northern Iraq," 1/5/24

- "Armed drone targets base housing US forces near Iraq's Erbil airport: Sources," 1/24/24

- “US strikes targets in Iraq after US forces wounded -officials,” 1/23/24

 

Salem, Amr, "Suicide attack on PMF headquarters in Salah Al-Din thwarted," Iraqi News, 1/23/24

 

Shafaq News, "The Iraqi Resistance announces the bombing of an Israeli target by drone," 1/29/24

- "The Iraqi resistance announces the bombing of Haifa with a cruise missile," 1/7/24

- "The Iraqi Resistance announces the targeting of Ain al-Assad with a drone," 1/27/24

- "The Iraqi Resistance claims bombing an Israeli military target in the Golan," 1/21/24

- "The Iraqi Resistance says it bombed 4 American bases in Iraq and Syria and an Israeli naval facility," 1/28/24

- "The Islamic Resistance announces the targeting of Ain al-Assad base with drones," 1/7/24

- "Two drones target Ain al-Assad in western Iraq," 1/23/24

- "With missiles and drones … the factions bomb three American bases in Iraq and Syria (video)," 1/14/24

 

Xinhua, "3 armed drones shot down near U.S. military base in N. Iraq," 1/16/24

 

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