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| (Wikipedia) |
The final results of Iraq’s provincial elections have been announced. The ruling Coordination Framework won the most seats and wants to control the south. That will put it into conflict with several governors that won the most votes in their governorates. On the other hand the Kurds misplayed their hand running separately because the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) wanted to dominate the community.
The Coordination Framework ran as three separate lists during the vote but afterwards said they would re-unite to try to control the south. Hadi Amiri of Badr led the Nabni list which won 40 seats. Nouri al-Maliki’s State of Law took 36 seats, while the National State Forces Alliance of Haidar Abadi and Ammar Hakim gained 24 seats. Together that gives the Coordination Framework 100 seats.
A member of the Framework said that it wants to replace all of the governors. Right now the list has half or more of the seats in Babil, Baghdad, Dhi Qar, Maysan, Muthanna, Najaf, and Qadisiya. That will allow the coalition to embed itself deeper into the Iraqi state as it already controls the central government. Each governorate is important because it opens up more positions to hand out to its followers and budgets and projects to manipulate and steal from.
It’s plans to dominate the south are complicated by Basra, Karbala, and Wasit. In those three provinces the governors ran their own parties and won the most seats. Basra’s Governor Asad al-Eidani has been a thorn in the side of the Framework for quite some time. It wanted to remove him but was blocked by Moqtada al-Sadr. Al Mada reports that the Framework will go to court over the distribution of seats and if that doesn’t work will try to buy off other council members to gain a majority. Asaib Ahl Al-Haq reportedly wants control of the province which will give it access to the oil fields and ports which are ripe for theft and patronage. It faces similar battles in the other two governorates. The Wasit governor for instance is also aligned with Sadr who boycotted the election but still wants to exert his power. The Framework is seeking to purge the government of all of his friends and followers.
The Kurds were the biggest loser. The various Kurdish parties ran separately in Diyala, Kirkuk, Ninewa and Salahaddin and only won seats in 2 of those provinces as a result. The KDP won 4 seats in Ninewa and 2 in Kirkuk, while the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) won 5 seats in Kirkuk. The New Generation party won no seats. In the past the parties had largely run together but the KDP is seeking to be the dominate party in Kurdish politics and didn’t want alliances this year.
Kirkuk is the prized province for the Kurds and they have half of the seats but will have a tough time creating a ruling coalition. The two Arab parties are uniting giving them 4 seats, the Turkmen Front has 2 and the Christian Babylon Movement which is aligned with the Shiite parties has 1. The first two parties have been opposed to the Kurds in the past and the Shiite lists want to make them subordinate to the central government. That means the KDP and PUK will have an uphill battle forming a majority.
Finally former Speaker of Parliament Mohammed al-Halbusi and Khamis al-Khanjar were the main Sunni winners and will unite their parties. Together they won 22 seats across Anbar, Baghdad, Diyala, and Salahaddin. Together they took half the seats in Anbar. Early on Halbusi was the winner in Baghdad but the final results had him falling to third. Right before the vote Halbusi was removed from office. It’s believed that the Framework was behind that move in an attempt to weaken the Sunni forces. It’s now holding the speakership as a negotiating chip during government formation talks.
Top Winners In Provincial Elections
Coordination Framework – 100 seats
- Nabni/Amiri – 40 seats
- State of Law/Maliki - 36 seats
- National State Forces/Abadi & Hakim 24 seats
Taqadum/Halbusi & Azm Alliance/Khanjar – 22 seats
ANBAR
Taqadum/Azm 8 seats out of 16
Taqadum/Halbusi 6 seats
Anbar Is Our Identity 3 seats
Qimam Alliance 2 seats
Sovereignty Alliance 2 seats
Azm Alliance/Khanjar 1 seat
United Al-Anbar Alliance 1 seat
Al Hasm Al-Watani 1 seat
BABIL
Coordination Framework 10 out of 19 seats
Nabni/Amiri 4 seats (CF)
State of Law/Maliki 3 seats (CF)
National State Forces/Abadi & Hakim 3 seats (CF)
Ishraqat Kanoon 2 seats
Absher Ya Iraq 1 seat
Qiyam Alliance 1 seat
Madar 1 seat
Faw Zakho 1 seat
BAGHDAD
Coordination Framework 23 of 44 seats
State of Law/Maliki 9 seats (CF)
Nabni/Amiri 9 seats (CF)
Taqadum/Halbusi 8 seats
National State Forces/Abadi & Hakim 5 seats (CF)
Others 1-5 seats
BASRA
Coordination Framework 10 of 23 seats
Tasmim Alliance/Governor 12 seats
Nabni/Amiri 5 seats (CF)
State of Law/Maliki 3 seats (CF)
National State Forces/Abadi & Hakim 2 seats (CF)
DHI QAR
Coordination Framework 12 of 20 seats
Nabni/Amiri 5 seats (CF)
State of Law/Maliki 4 seats (CF)
National State Forces/Abadi & Hakim 3 seats (CF)
Others 1-2 seats
DIYALA
Diyala National Alliance 4 seats
Taqadum/Halbusi 3 seats
Sovereignty Alliance 3 seats
Others 1-2 seats
KARBALA
Coordination Framework 5 of 14 seats
Creativity of Karbala/Governor 7 seats
Nabni/Amiri 2 seats (CF)
State of Law/Maliki 2 seats (CF)
National State Forces/Abadi & Hakim 1 seat (CF)
Others 1-2 seats
KIRKUK
Kurds 7 of 14 seats
PUK 5 seats
Arab Alliance 3 seats
Turkmen Front 2 Seats
KDP 2 seats
Qurouba Alliance 1 seat
Babylon Movement 1 seat
MAYSAN
Coordination Framework 12 of 12 seats
Nabni/Amiri 6 seats (CF)
State of Law/Maliki 3 seats (CF)
National State Forces 3 seats (CF)
MUTHANNA
Coordination Framework 6 of 12 seats
State of Law/Maliki 3 seats (CF)
National State Forces/Abadi & Hakim 3 seats (CF)
We Build 3 seats
Absher Ya Iraq 2 seats
Jumhur Al-Muthanna 1 seat
NAJAF
Coordination Framework 8 of 15 seats
Nabni/Amiri 3 seats (CF)
State of Law/Maliki 3 seats (CF)
National State Forces/Abadi & Hakim 2 seats (CF)
Iraqi Al-Wafa Movement 2 seats
Absher Ya Iraq 1 seat
Edraak Movement 1 seat
Washiqoon 1 seat
Qiyam Alliance 1 seat
Madar 1 seat
NINEWA
Ninewa For Its People Alliance/Ex-Governor 5 seats
KDP 4 seats
Others 1-3 seats
QADISIYA
Coordination Framework 7 of 14
Nabni/Amiri 4 seats (CF)
State of Law/Maliki 3 seats CF)
Qiyam Alliance 3 seats
Civil State Forces Alliance 2 seats
Ishraqat Kanoon 1 seat
Absher Ya Iraq 1 sat
SALAHADDIN
National Audiences 5 seats
National Framework Alliance 2 seats
Azm Alliance/Khanjar 2 seats
Taqadum/Halbusi 2 seats
Sovereignty Alliance 2 seats
Al-Hasm Party 2 seats
WASIT
Coordination Framework 7 or 15 seats
Was Amal/Governor 7 seats
State of Law/Maliki 3 sets
National State Forces/Abadi & Hakim 2 seats
Nabni/Amiri 2 seats
Khaimat Wasit 1 seat
SOURCES
Al Aalem, “One seat decides the new Wasit Council .. The conflict is intense between the governor and the Framework,” 12/2523
Bas News, “IHEC Announces Final Results of Provincial Council Elections,” 12/30/23
Iraq News Network, “Al-Fatah Alliance: The leaders of the Framework agreed to replace all the governors,” 12/31/23
Al Mada, “For the position of Governor of Basra … replacing the winter with the quota, buying winning members, and manipulating the mathematical ratios,” 12/27/23
- “Governorates are decided for Al-Taram, but the problem is with Al-Sadr and one for Al-Halbusi and Abu Mazin,” 12/23/23
- “A policy deal is behind the acceleration of choosing a replacement for Al-Halbusi, and the Framework agrees on two candidates,” 12/12/23
NINA, “The coordination framework announces the formation of a bloc in all governorates to accelerate the formation of local councils,” 12/20/23
- “Distribution of seats in Babylon according to the preliminary results of the provincial council elections,” 12/20/23
- “Distribution of seats in Baghdad according to the preliminary results of the provincial council elections,” 12/20/23
- “Distribution of seats in Basra according to the preliminary results of the provincial council elections,” 12/20/23
- “Distribution of seats in Dhi Qar according to the preliminary results of the provincial council elections,” 12/20/23
- “Distribution of seats in Diyala according to the preliminary results of the provincial council elections,” 12/20/23
- “Distribution of seats in Karbala according to the preliminary results of the provincial council elections,” 12/20/23
- “Distribution of seats in Kirkuk according to the preliminary results of the provincial council elections,” 12/20/23
- “Distribution of seats in Maysan according to the preliminary results of the provincial council elections,” 12/20/23
- “Distribution of seats in Nineveh according to the preliminary results of the provincial council elections,” 12/20/23
- “Distribution of seats in Salah al-Din according to the preliminary results of the provincial council elections,” 12/20/23
- “Distribution of seats in Wasit according to the preliminary results of the provincial council elections,” 12/20/23
- “Ranking of seats for winning coalitions in the 2023 provincial council elections,” 12/29/23
- “A unified Arab bloc formed in Kirkuk,” 12/30/23
Rudaw, “KDP challenges results announced by IHEC,” 12/29/23
- “Kurdish parties lose majority in Kirkuk provincial polls: Final results,” 12/29/23
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