Ramadan is almost over and the Islamic State has still not launched its annual offensive in Iraq. This is the latest sign of the decline of the group which has become inconsequential in the country.
From April 8-14 there were just 4 incidents reported in the press. Those occurred in Anbar (1), Baghdad (1) and Ninewa (2).
This was the eleventh week in a row that incidents were in single digits. So far 13 of 14 weeks in 2023 have seen incidents in single digits. This continues the trend started in 2022.
There was just one casualty during the week with one civilian wounded in Ninewa.
In Anbar, a suicide bomber was cornered by the security forces and detonated his device killing himself. This happened in the western part of the province where the Islamic State is still active trying to smuggle its people from Syria into Iraq to bolster its dwindling numbers.
A Hashd patrol was shot at in Tarmiya in northern Baghdad. This is a long time insurgent hub which has been very active the last few months. The attack was to try to keep government forces out of the area.
The Islamic State made a probing attack upon the Peshmerga in the Makhmour district of Ninewa which is a disputed area. That was the only offensive operation during the week. The militants have tried defenses in this area before hoping to exploit gaps between the central and regional governments forces. An old IED also wounded a civilian in Hatra. That means there were only 3 actual attacks during the week.
As usual all the incidents during the week were in rural areas where there are few people and little government presence. The Islamic State is barely hanging on in these areas having lost its networks and having few members left anymore. It’s the reason why the group has no real impact upon Iraq these days.
Security Incidents In Iraq By Province
|
Province |
Apr 1-7 |
Apr 8-14 |
|
Anbar |
- |
1 |
|
Baghdad |
- |
1 |
|
Kirkuk |
3 |
- |
|
Ninewa |
1 |
2 |
|
Salahaddin |
1 |
- |
|
TOTAL |
5 |
4 |
Casualties In Iraq By Province
|
Province |
Apr 1-7 |
Apr 8-14 |
|
Kirkuk |
4 (1K, 3W) |
- |
|
Ninewa |
2 (2W) |
1 (1W) |
|
Salahaddin |
2 (2W) |
- |
|
TOTAL |
8 (1K, 7W) |
1 (1W) |
Security In Iraq 2022-23
|
Week |
Security Incidents (Total/By IS) |
Dead (Total/By IS) |
Wounded (Total/By IS) |
|
Jan 1-7 |
18/9 |
3 |
4 |
|
Jan 8-14 |
35/21 |
3 |
18 |
|
Jan 15-21 |
12/5 |
17 |
12 |
|
Jan 22-28 |
16/3 |
8 |
19 |
|
Jan 29-31 |
6/2 |
2 |
6 |
|
JAN |
87/41 |
33 |
59 |
|
Feb 1-7 |
11/3 |
1 |
10 |
|
Feb 8-14 |
14/6 |
8 |
3 |
|
Feb 15-21 |
9/1 |
- |
11 |
|
Feb 22-28 |
8/4 |
1 |
5 |
|
FEB |
42/14 |
10 |
29 |
|
Mar 1-7 |
7/3 |
1 |
- |
|
Mar 8-14 |
18/3/1 |
6 |
5 |
|
Mar 15-21 |
10/4 |
5 |
6 |
|
Mar 22-28 |
6/1 |
7 |
4 |
|
Mar 29-31 |
4/1 |
- |
5 |
|
MAR |
46/12/1 |
19 |
21 |
|
Apr 1-7 |
16/8 |
- |
6 |
|
Apr 8-14 |
21/7 |
8 |
25 |
|
Apr 15-21 |
22/2 |
10 |
22 |
|
Apr 22-28 |
44/4 |
14 |
44 |
|
Apr 29-30 |
6/1 |
2 |
6 |
|
APR |
111/22 |
34 |
103 |
|
May 1-7 |
31/3 |
8 |
25 |
|
May 8-14 |
9/2 |
2 |
7 |
|
May 15-21 |
18/6 |
10 |
6 |
|
May 22-28 |
13/1 |
21 |
11 |
|
May 29-31 |
2/1 |
- |
2 |
|
MAY |
73/13 |
41 |
51 |
|
Jun 1-7 |
6/2 |
- |
8 |
|
Jun 8-14 |
12/4 |
1 |
9 |
|
Jun 15-21 |
10/2 |
5 |
2 |
|
Jun 22-28 |
12/6 |
1 |
14 |
|
Jun 29-30 |
- |
- |
- |
|
JUN |
40/14 |
7 |
33 |
|
Jul 1-7 |
7/1 |
6 |
11 |
|
Jul 8-14 |
3 |
- |
2 |
|
Jul 15-21 |
11/2 |
14 |
16 |
|
Jul 22-28 |
18/7 |
9 |
21 |
|
Jul 29-31 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
|
JUL |
43/6 |
33 |
54 |
|
Aug 1-7 |
9/1 |
6 |
15 |
|
Aug 8-14 |
14 |
2 |
14 |
|
Aug 15-21 |
7/2 |
- |
6 |
|
Aug 22-28 |
23/4 |
14 |
15 |
|
Aug 29-31 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
|
AUG |
57/7/1 |
24 |
54 |
|
Sep 1-7 |
11/1 |
3 |
20 |
|
Sep 8-14 |
5 |
- |
12 |
|
Sep 15-21 |
12 |
4 |
14 |
|
Sep 22-28 |
10/2 M |
2 |
16 |
|
Sep 29-30 |
3/1 M |
- |
2 |
|
SEP |
41/1/3 M |
9 |
64 |
|
Oct 1-7 |
9/2 M |
6 |
16 |
|
Oct 8-14 |
8/2/1 M |
5 |
19 |
|
Oct 15-21 |
6 |
4 |
7 |
|
Oct 22-28 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
|
Oct 29-31 |
2 |
- |
2 |
|
OCT |
28/2/3 M |
17 |
45 |
|
Nov 1-7 |
7 |
1 |
3 |
|
Nov 8-14 |
6 |
1 |
8 |
|
Nov 15-21 |
8 |
7 |
17 |
|
Nov 22-28 |
2 |
1 |
- |
|
Nov 29-30 |
- |
- |
- |
|
NOV |
23 |
10 |
28 |
|
Dec 1-7 |
13/1 |
6 |
11 |
|
Dec 8-14 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
|
Dec 15-21 |
6 |
29 |
15 |
|
Dec 22-28 |
6 |
- |
4 |
|
Dec 29-31 |
2 |
- |
- |
|
DEC |
33/1 |
42 |
38 |
|
Jan 1-7 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
|
Jan 8-14 |
6/1 |
5 |
2 |
|
Jan 15-21 |
11/1 |
2 |
7 |
|
Jan 22-28 |
5/2 |
1 |
2 |
|
Jan 29-31 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
JAN |
29/4 |
12 |
15 |
|
Feb 1-7 |
6/2 |
1 |
5 |
|
Feb 8-14 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
Feb 15-21 |
4 |
4 |
8 |
|
Feb 22-28 |
9/1 |
7 |
3 |
|
FEB |
20/3 |
12 |
18 |
|
Mar 1-7 |
3 |
10 |
4 |
|
Mar 8-14 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
Mar 15-21 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
|
Mar 22-28 |
1 |
2 |
- |
|
Mar 29-31 |
1 |
3 |
- |
|
MAR |
9 |
18 |
8 |
|
Apr 1-7 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
|
Apr 8-14 |
4 |
- |
1 |
Violence By Province Apr 1-7, 2023
|
Province |
Violence |
2018 Avg |
2019 Avg |
2020 Avg |
2021 Avg |
2022 Avg |
2023 Avg |
|
Anbar |
1 Incident
1 Suicide Bomber Killed |
12.6 incidents/ month |
8.6 incidents/ month |
7.0 incidents/ month |
4.6 incidents/ month |
2.0 incidents/month |
0.6 Incidents/month |
|
Babil |
- |
4.0 incidents/month |
3.0 incidents/month |
2.7 incidents/month |
2.5 incidents/month |
2.0 incidents/month |
0.3 Incidents/month |
|
Baghdad |
1 Incident
1 Shooting |
33.0 incidents/month |
11.6 incidents/month |
7.3 incidents/month |
5.6 incidents/ month |
3.5 incidents/month |
3.6 Incidents/month |
|
Diyala |
- |
38.6 incidents/month |
30.0 incidents/month |
30.6 incidents/month |
22.8 incidents/month |
12.2 incidents/month |
5.3 Incidents/month |
|
Kirkuk |
- |
36.5 incidents/month |
18.6 incidents/month |
13.9 incidents/month |
11.6 incidents/month |
8.2 incidents/month |
1.3 Incidents/month |
|
Ninewa |
2 Incidents 1 Wounded 1 Civilian
1 Shooting 1 IED |
20.0 incidents/month |
13.2 incidents/month |
10.6 incidents/month |
8.4 incidents/month |
6.0 incidents/month |
3 Incidents/month |
|
Salahaddin |
- |
21.7 incidents/month |
10.6 incidents/month |
11.2 incidents/month |
11.5 incidents/month |
5.5 incidents/month |
2.3 Incidents/month |
|
IRAQ |
4 Incidents 1 Wounded 1 Civilian
2 Shootings 1 IED 1 Suicide Bomber Killed |
166.6 incidents/month |
95.5 incidents/month |
85.5 incidents/month |
69.9 incidents/month |
40.2 incidents/month |
17 Incidents/month |
SOURCES
NINA, "A civilian injured when an explosive device left by ISIS exploded south of Mosul," 4/10/23
Shafaq News, "Anbar .. A Suicide bomber who tried to blow himself up was killed among shepherds in the west of the province," 4/8/23
- "Peshmerga forces announce repelling an attack by ISIS militants near the Kurdistan Region," 4/8/23
- "Unidentified gunmen attack a Tarmiya Hashd patrol, north of Baghdad," 4/11/23
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