Thursday, January 9, 2025

5 Month Decline In Iraq's Oil Exports


Iraq saw the paradox of declining oil exports but an increase in revenue in December.

 

In December Iraq Oil Report estimated that Iraq exported an average of 3.259 million barrels a day. That was down from 3.296 million barrels in November and the lowest amount since March 2023.

 

Exports have been declining for the last 5 months as the country cuts production in an attempt to meet its OPEC+ quota.

 

According to Iraq Oil Report Iraq’s petroleum output was at 4.2 million barrels a day in November down from 4.28 million in October. Its quota was 3.9 million however for November. Iraq has never complied with its quotas because it is the most oil dependent country in the world and needs to sell as much as it can to earn enough to cover its increasing budgets.

 

Revenue was actually up in December to $7.15 billion compared to $7.01 billion in November. That was due to the fact that December has one more day.

 

Iraq has been earning around $7 billion a month since September compared to a high of $9 billion in July as international prices have been declining.

 

That is giving added incentive for OPEC+ to get Iraq to follow its quota but it is only having partial success.

 

Federal Oil Exports, Prices, Revenues 2021-2024

Month

Avg Export (Mil)

Earnings (Bil)

Jan 2021

2.868

$4.765

Feb

2.96

$5.013

Mar

2.946

$5.787

Apr

2.947

$5.549

May

2.899

$5.917

Jun

2.892

$6.143

Jul

2.918

$6.476

Aug

3.054

$6.553

Sep

3.081

$6.777

Oct

3.12

$7.666

Nov

3.272

$7.611

Dec

3.277

$7.391

2021 Avg

3.019

$6.303

Jan 2022

3.203

$8.323

Feb

3.314

$8.544

Mar

3.244

$10.913

Apr

3.38

$10.554

May

3.3

$11.44

Jun

3.373

$11.505

Jul

3.303

$10.608

Aug

3.286

$9.784

Sep

3.292

$8.845

Oct

3.382

$9.258

Nov

3.329

$8.231

Dec

3.332

$7.709

2022 Avg

3.311

$9.64

Jan

3.266

$7.663

Feb

3.184

$7.081

Mar

3.255

$7.506

Apr

3.288

$7.699

May

3.305

$7.325

Jun

3.335

$7.115

Jul

3.444

$8.294

Aug

3.423

$8.998

Sep

3.438

$9.422

Oct

3.534

$9.594

Nov

3.433

$8.482

Dec

3.486

$8.311

2023 Avg

3.365

$8.124

Jan

3.339

$8.02

Feb

3.434

$7.96

Mar

3.423

$8.65

Apr

3.413

$8.75

May

3.359

$8.14

Jun

3.41

$8.25

Jul

3.486

$9.08

Aug

3.414

$8.49

Sep

3.31

$7.11

Oct

3.327

$7.47

Nov

3.296

$7.01

Dec

3.259

$7.15

2024 Avg

3.372

$8.00

 

SOURCES

 

Iraq Oil Report, “Iraq’s 2024 oil exports recede to 9-year low,” 1/7/25

- “Iraqi oil output falls again in November," 12/27/24

 

No comments:

5 Month Decline In Iraq's Oil Exports

Iraq saw the paradox of declining oil exports but an increase in revenue in December.