Wednesday, January 8, 2025

Review Of Security In Iraq 2024


2024 saw the further decline of the Islamic State into obscurity in Iraq while the pro-Iran Iraqi Islamic Resistance launched a campaign against Israel for its war in Gaza but stopped operations in December due to foreign pressure.

 

In 2024 there were a total of 298 security incidents reported in Iraq in the media. 65 of those were by the Islamic State and 233 by the Iraqi Resistance.

 

Incidents by the Islamic State have gone down every year since its defeat in 2017. In 2022 there were 491 incidents by the group declining to 135 in 2023 and 65 in 2024. Some of those incidents were not even attacks. In December 2024 for instance there were 5 incidents all the result of security sweeps by the Iraqi forces leading to gun battles or leftover IEDs going off. There were also 29 out of 48 weeks during the year when there were no incidents by the insurgency at all. That only happened 6 times in 2023 and never occurred in 2022.

 

The group tried to re-organize by taking over rural areas in central Iraq, threatening the population, extorting money and driving out the security forces. This failed however as it was never able to rebuild its leadership, networks or manpower. Probably the largest factor was the threat of the Iraqi forces. During the war vs IS they carried out sectarian cleansing throughout central and northern Iraq just as they did in Baghdad and its environs during the civil war period of 2005-08. There are several areas in Salahaddin and Babil where the entire population was forced out and they have never been allowed back. Many Sunnis probably decided the costs were too high to support the Islamic State with the threat of killings, intimidation, houses being destroyed and entire villages being emptied.


 

Most of the violence during the last year came from the Islamic Resistance. It continued its campaign of drones and missiles aimed at Israel for the Gaza War. Most of these attacks actually came from Syria. It also targeted Iraqi bases that housed U.S. forces to try to get them to withdraw from the country as well as Irbil and Sulaymaniya because of the Kurds close ties to the U.S. and Turkey which these pro-Iran factions disagree with. All those attacks were stopped in December however as the Resistance feared Israeli or U.S. retaliation. The overthrow of Assad in Syria has thrown another wrench in their plans denying it launching areas to strike Israel.

 

Attacks by the Resistance have gone up and down over the last few years. In 2022 there were 133 aimed at American forces and the Kurds. There were 80 in 2023 as a ceasefire was brokered by the Sudani government and Iran only to shift to going after Israel at the end of the year. There were then 233 in 2024.

 

2024 Security Incidents In Iraq By Province

Province

Totals

Anbar

28 (13 IS/15 Pro-Iran)

Baghdad

8 (6 IS/2 Pro-Iran)

Diyala

8 (7 IS/1 Pro-Iran)

Irbil

7 Pro-Iran

Israel

202 Pro-Iran

Kirkuk

13 (12 IS/1 Pro-Iran)

Ninewa

6 (4 IS/2 Pro-Iran)

Salahaddin

22 (21 IS/1 Pro-Iran)

Sulaymaniya

4 (2 IS/2 Pro-Iran)

Totals

298 (65 IS/233 Pro-Iran)

 

2024 Casualties In Iraq By Province

Province

Totals

Anbar

46 (13K, 33W)

Baghdad

14 (4K, 10W)

Diyala

27 (10K, 17w)

Kirkuk

43 (14K, 29W)

Ninewa

11 (4K, 7W)

Salahaddin

68 (40K, 28W)

Sulaymaniya

8 (8K)

Totals

217 (93K, 124W)

 

2022-2024 Violence In Iraq

Year

Incidents

Killed

Wounded

2022

624 (491 IS/133 Pro-Iran)

279

579

2023

215 (135 IS/80 Pro-Iran)

89

158

2024

298 (65 IS/233 Pro-Iran)

93

124

 

 

Security In Iraq 2022-23

Week

Security

Incidents

(Total/By IS)

Dead

(Total/By IS)

Wounded

(Total/By IS)

JAN 2023

29/4 Pro-Iran

12

15

Feb 1-7

6/2 Pro-Iran

1

5

Feb 8-14

1

-

2

Feb 15-21

4

4

8

Feb 22-28

9/1 Pro-Iran

7

3

FEB

20/3 Pro-Iran

12

18

Mar 1-7

3

10

4

Mar 8-14

2

2

1

Mar 15-21

2

1

3

Mar 22-28

1

2

-

Mar 29-31

1

3

-

MAR

9

18

8

Apr 1-7

5

1

7

Apr 8-14

4

-

1

Apr 15-21

5

3

-

Apr 22-28

2

1

-

Apr 29-30

1

1

-

APR

16

6

8

May 1-7

2

1

1

May 8-14

6

4

3

May 15-21

3

2

6

May 22-28

3

1

3

May 29-31

2

-

3

MAY

15

8

14

Jun 1-7

-

-

-

Jun 8-14

4

7

4

Jun 15-21

2

1

2

Jun 22-28

4

2

4

Jun 29-30

-

-

-

JUN

10

10

10

Jul 1-7

1

-

-

Jul 8-14

3

2

1

Jul 15-21

2

-

1

Jul 22-28

2

-

2

Jul 29-31

3/2 Pro-Iran

-

-

JUL

11/2 Pro-Iran

2

4

Aug 1-7

4

-

4

Aug 8-14

2

1

3

Aug 15-21

2

-

5

Aug 22-28

2

-

2

Aug 29-31

3/1 Pro-Iran

1

9

AUG

13/1 Pro-Iran

2

23

Sep 1-7

1

-

1

Sep 8-14

1

1

-

Sep 15-21

2

-

4

Sep 22-28

1

1

1

Sep 29-30

-

-

-

SEP

5

2

6

Oct 1-7

-

-

-

Oct 8-14

-

-

-

Oct 15-21

7 Pro-Iran

-

-

Oct 22-28

7/5 Pro-Iran

-

8

Oct 29-31

3 Pro-Iran

-

-

OCT

17/15 Pro-Iran

-

8

Nov 1-7

11/9

4

2

Nov 8-14

12/10

-

3

Nov 15-21

6 Pro-Iran

-

8 Amer

Nov 22-28

4 Pro-Iran

-

-

Nov 29-30

2

11

16

NOV

35/29 Pro-Iran

15

29 (8 Amer)

Dec 1-7

10/8 Pro-Iran

1

9

Dec 8-14

8/6 Pro-Iran

-

2

Dec 15-21

6/2 Pro-Iran

1

2

Dec 22-28

7/6 Pro-Iran

-

3 US

Dec 29-31

4 Pro-Iran

 

 

DEC

35/26 Pro-Iran

2K

16W

Jan 1-7

10/6 Pro-Iran/1 Iranian

5

9

Jan 8-14

7/3 Pro-Iran

3

3

Jan 15-21

10/6 Pro-Iran

6

6

Jan 22-28

11/10 Pro-Iran

-

-

Jan 29-31

3 Pro-Ira

-

-

JAN

42/28 Pro-Iran/1 Iranian

14

20

Feb 1-7

1 Pro-Iran

-

-

Feb 8-14

-

-

-

Feb 15-21

-

-

-

Feb 22-29

1

-

-

FEB

2/1 Pro-Iran

-

-

Mar 1-7

4/2 Pro-Iran

1

4

Mar 8-14

8/1 Pro-Iran

4

8

Mar 15-21

2

-

2

Mar 22-28

2 Pro-Iran

-

-

Mar 29-31

2/1Pro-iran

1

1

MAR

18/6 Pro-Iran

6

15

Apr 1-7

3/2 Pro-Iran

-

-

Apr 8-14

1 Pro-Iran

-

-

Apr 15-21

3 Pro-Iran

-

-

Apr 22-28

1 Pro-Iran

4

-

Apr 29-30

1

2

-

APR

9/7 Pro-Iran

6

-

May 1-7

3 Pro-Iran

-

-

May 8-14

6/5 Pro-Iran

5

5

May 15-21

11/9 Pro-Iran

1

6

May 22-28

6/2 Pro-Iran

11

12

May 29-31

1 Pro-Iran

-

-

MAY

27/20 Pro-Iran

18

22

Jun 1-7

4 Pro-Iran

-

-

Jun 8-14

2 Pro-Iran

-

-

Jun 15-21

2/1 Pro-Iran

1

-

Jun 22-28

5 Pro-Iran

-

-

Jun 29-31

1 Pro-Iran

-

-

JUN

14/13 Pro-Iran

1

-

Jul 1-7

2 Pro-Iran

-

-

Jul 8-14

4

10

4

Jul 15-21

4 Pro-Iran

-

-

Jan 22-28

2 Pro-Iran

-

-

Jul 29-31

-

-

-

JUL

12/8 Pro-Iran

10

4

Aug 1-7

3/2Pro-Iran

-

10 (5 Amer)

Aug 8-14

2

2

-

Aug 15-21

2/1 Pro-Iran

-

2

Aug 22-28

2 Pro-Iran

-

-

Aug 29-31

4/1 Pro-Iran

4

8 (7 Amer)

AUG

13/6 Pro-Iran

6

20 (14 Amer)

Sep 1-7

3/1 Pro-Iran

5

4

Sep 8-14

3/1 Pro-Iran

4

5

Sep 15-21

5/2 Pro-Iran

-

7

Sep 22-28

18 Pro-Iran

-

-

Sep 29-30

8 Pro-Iran

-

-

SEP

37/30 Pro-Iran

9

16

Oct 1-7

21/18 Pro-Iran

6

14

Oct 8-14

17 Pro-Iran

-

-

Oct 15-21

9/8 Pro-Iran

1

-

Oct 22-28

17 Pro-Iran

-

2 US Soldiers

Oct 29-31

6 Pro-Iran

-

-

OCT

70/66 Pro-Iran

7

14 (2US Soldiers)

Nov 1-7

18 Pro-Iran

-

-

Nov 8-14

19 Pro-Iran

-

-

Nov 15-21

10/9 Pro-Iran

3

3

Nov 22-28

2 Pro-Iran

-

-

Nov 29-30

-

-

-

NOV

49/48 Pro-Iran

3

3

Dec 1-7

-

-

-

Dec 8-14

1

2

2

Dec 15-21

-

-

-

Dec 22-28

2

6

2

Dec 29-31

2

3

5

DEC

5

11

9

 

 

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