Iraq was more than happy when Russia invaded Ukraine because it set off a bubble in the oil market. That is now ending and Iraq’s revenues are declining as a result.
In November 2022 Iraq exported an average of 3.329 million barrels a day of oil. That was down from October’s 3.382 million but within the range for the year which has fluctuated between 3.2-3.3 million barrels. This is despite OPEC+ production quotas loosening for the country. Iraq simply lacks the capacity to export much more currently because of its inadequate and aging infrastructure.
Iraqi crude went for $82.41 per barrel. In May, Iraq hit an annual high of $111.79 per barrel and prices have dropped every month since then. This is a result of the international energy market cooling off since the invasion of Ukraine.
The decline in prices resulted in Iraq making $8.23 billion in November. That was the lowest monthly total for the year. Baghdad can expect to the market to continue to correct itself in the coming months.
Federal Oil Exports, Prices, Revenues 2020-2022
|
Month |
Avg Export (Mil) |
Avg Price |
Earnings (Bil) |
|
Jan 2020 |
3.306 |
$60.14 |
$6.163 |
|
Feb |
3.391 |
$51.37 |
$5.053 |
|
Mar |
3.391 |
$32.73 |
$2.962 |
|
Apr |
3.438 |
$13.80 |
$1.51 |
|
May |
3.212 |
$21.00 |
$2.136 |
|
Jun |
2.816 |
$33.86 |
$2.871 |
|
Jul |
2.763 |
$40.70 |
$3.492 |
|
Aug |
2.597 |
$43.69 |
$3.492 |
|
Sep |
2.613 |
$40.40 |
$3.173 |
|
Oct |
2.876 |
$38.48 |
$3.457 |
|
Nov |
2.709 |
$41.77 |
$3.404 |
|
Dec |
2.846 |
$47.76 |
$4.235 |
|
2020 Avg |
2.996 |
$38.80 |
$3.493 |
|
Jan 2021 |
2.868 |
$53.29 |
$4.765 |
|
Feb |
2.96 |
$60.33 |
$5.013 |
|
Mar |
2.946 |
$63.32 |
$5.787 |
|
Apr |
2.947 |
$62.77 |
$5.549 |
|
May |
2.899 |
$65.84 |
$5.917 |
|
Jun |
2.892 |
$70.77 |
$6.143 |
|
Jul |
2.918 |
$72.00 |
$6.476 |
|
Aug |
3.054 |
$69.01 |
$6.553 |
|
Sep |
3.081 |
$73.32 |
$6.777 |
|
Oct |
3.12 |
$79.27 |
$7.666 |
|
Nov |
3.272 |
$77.33 |
$7.611 |
|
Dec |
3.277 |
$72.80 |
$7.391 |
|
2021 Avg |
3.019 |
$68.33 |
$6.303 |
|
Jan 2022 |
3.203 |
$83.82 |
$8.323 |
|
Feb |
3.314 |
$92.08 |
$8.544 |
|
Mar |
3.244 |
$110.09 |
$10.913 |
|
Apr |
3.38 |
$104.09 |
$10.554 |
|
May |
3.3 |
$111.79 |
$11.44 |
|
Jun |
3.373 |
$113.70 |
$11.505 |
|
Jul |
3.303 |
$103.60 |
$10.608 |
|
Aug |
3.286 |
$96.05 |
$9.784 |
|
Sep |
3.292 |
$89.56 |
$8.845 |
|
Oct |
3.382 |
$88.31 |
$9.258 |
|
Nov |
3.329 |
$82.41 |
$8.23 |
SOURCES
Reuters, “Iraq’s oil exports at 3.329 mln bpd in November, ministry says,” 12/1/22
Xinhua, “Iraq exports over 99 mln barrels of crude oil in Nov.,” 12/1/22
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