Islamic State Makes Its Return In December 2019

(Shafaaq News)

When protests started in Iraq in October 2019 the Islamic State largely stopped its operations as it has done every year when demonstrations occur. IS has felt that the demonstrations present a challenge to the government, and it did not want to distract from that. However, as this year’s unrest has been sustained the Islamists finally decided to return to the field. The result was that security incidents in December were just about what they were before the protests began.

In December 2019 there were a total of 120 security incidents reported in the media. Six of those were likely by pro-Iran groups trying to provoke the United States. One was in Anbar where rockets were fired at the Ain Al-Assad base, while three others were in Baghdad where rockets were discovered aimed at the Green Zone, and additional missiles were fired at the Baghdad International and Military Airports. In the latter attack, six members of the Counter Terror Service were wounded. In Salahaddin, the Balad Air Base was hit by mortars, and finally, the K1 military base just outside of Kirkuk city received rocket fire that killed 1 U.S. contractor, 2 Iraqi police and wounded 2 Iraqi and 4 American soldiers. That left 114 incidents to the insurgency. That was just around the number seen before the protests, which was 119 in September. When the demonstrations started incidents dropped to 68 in October and 51 in November, the lowest total since the 2003 invasion.

Security Incidents In Iraq By Province

Province	Dec 1-7	Dec 8-14	Dec 15-21	Dec 22-28	Dec 29-31	Totals
Anbar	3/1 Pro-Iran	-	1	1	1	6/1 Pro-Iran
Babil	2	1	-	-	-	3
Baghdad	2/1 Pro-Iran	5/2 Pro-Iran	8	5	-	20/3 Pro-Iran
Diyala	15	4	9	9	5	42
Kirkuk	5	2	1	8/1 Pro-Iran	1	17/1 Pro-Iran
Ninewa	6	3	6	4	-	19
Salahaddin	3/1 Pro-Iran	4	1	3	2	13/1 Pro-1ran
TOTAL	36/3 Pro-Iran	19/2 Pro-Iran	26	30/1 Pro-Iran	9	120/6 Pro-Iran

The increase in violence led to a high casualty rate. There were 134 dead and 133 wounded. 1 U.S. contractor, 9 Peshmerga, 28 Hashd al-Shaabi, 39 Iraqi Security Forces (ISF), and 57 civilians died. Another 4 U.S. soldiers, 4 Peshmerga, 33 civilians, 36 Hashd, and 56 ISF were injured. Diyala had the highest total with 50 killed and 50 wounded. The 267 total casualties in December was the most since 298 recorded in May.

Casualties In Iraq By Province

Province	Dec 1-7	Dec 8-14	Dec 15-21	Dec 22-28	Dec 29-31
Anbar	2 (2K)	-	4 (3K, 1W)	3 (2K, 1W)	5 (5K)
Babil	3 (3W)	-	-	-	-
Baghdad	1 (1K)	9 (2K, 7W)	21 (10K, 11W)	12 (1K, 11W)	-
Diyala	52 (22K, 30W)	6 (2K, 4W)	28 (16K, 12W)	11 (7K, 4W)	3 (3K)
Kirkuk	12 (4K, 8W)	2 (2W)	2 (2K)	26 (13K, 13W)	-
Ninewa	4 (3K, 1W)	1 (1W)	9 (K)	11 (5K, 6W)	-
Salahaddin	3 (1K, 2W)	20 (15K, 5W)	5 (4K, 1W)	5 (2K, 3W)	7 (7W)
TOTAL	77 (33K, 44W)	38 (19K, 19W)	69 (44K, 25W)	68 (30K, 38W)	15 (8K, 7W)

Casualties In Iraq By Province

Province	Totals
Anbar	14 (12K, 2W)
Babil	3 (3W)
Baghdad	43 (14K, 29W)
Diyala	100 (50K, 50W)
Kirkuk	42 (19K, 23W)
Ninewa	25 (17K, 8W)
Salahaddin	40 (22K, 18W)
TOTAL	267 (134K, 133W)

Diyala remained the core province of the Islamic State. It carried out 42 incidents there. In November there were only 13. IS also changed its focus during the month. Previously, the majority were in the Jalawla-Khanaqin districts in the northeast, but in December there were only 10 incidents there. Instead, IS was targeting the center, especially the Muqdadiya district. That was partly because the government launched a security sweep through Khanaqin. IS shuts down operations during ISF campaigns and moves elsewhere.

Like previous months the goals of these attacks were to challenge the local security forces, intimidate the population, and drive people out of rural areas so that new bases and camps might be created to train the next generation of insurgents. For example, there were 8 gun battles and 8 attacks upon checkpoints. That was the most scene 2018. IS has also gotten bolder. On December 1 there was an attack upon an army outpost and an ambush outside a Hashd base. Likewise, there was a report that in the Khanaqin District 50 families had fled and there were 6 villages that were totally empty of people because of IS. Another story quoted a commander in the Iraqi Forces who said that there were 25 abandoned villages in the province and that mukhtars and people who collaborated with the government were being targeted. Finally, the Human Rights Commission recorded around 250 families being displaced from the Khanaqin district during the year due to IS actions. This has been going on for months now with little response from the government. Yes, security operations occur but these have little effect. The result is that IS has been able to establish de facto control of several rural areas in the northeast and center of Diyala, which might pose a long term threat to the country.

Islamic State Activity in Iraq 2018-19

Diyala	Shootings (Totals)	IEDs/ Sticky Bombs (Totals)	Gun Battles	Attacks on Checkpoints	Attacks on Mukhtars/ Sheikhs	Kidnappings	Attacks on Towns	Suicide Bombers	Car Bombs
2018 Totals	219	198	47	43	5	13	25	3	1
Jan 2019	21	2	3	8	-	-	1	-	-
Feb	18	2	5	7	-	-	3	-	-
Mar	7	6	1	2	-	-	-	-	-
Apr	13	15	2	4	1	-	1	-	-
May	11	13	3	5	-	-	13 (9 Farms Burned)	-	-
Jun	15	8	2	4	-	1	-	1	-
Jul	7	12	2	4	-	-	2	-	-
Aug	21	12	3	7	-	1	1	1	-
Sep	18	18	2	5	-	-	3	-	-
Oct	20	8	1	8		1	3
Nov	4	6	1	1		2	2	-	-
Dec	30	10	8	8	1	1	-	-	-
2019 Totals	185	112	33	63	2	6	29	2	-

IS made a return to Baghdad. There were 18 incidents in December, up from 9 in November and 3 in October. Earlier in the year the insurgents were slowly, but surely infiltrating back into the capital province going from 4 incidents in March to 10 in April to 15 in July to 25 in September. Almost all the attacks were in the outer towns in the north and south and a few in the west. IS started using motorcycle bombs in November. In December there were two more. Almost all IS activity is in the rural parts of the country. It has to move back to the urban areas to remain relevant, and Baghdad is obviously the most important of those.

The militants picked up attacks in the rest of central and western Iraq as well. Incidents went from 0 in Anbar in November to 5 in December. That included a rare car bomb that went off in the Qaim district in the west. Attacks went from 11 in November to 17 in December in Kirkuk. That included 3 gun battles and 4 attacks upon checkpoints. IS also set up a fake checkpoint along the Tikrit-Kirkuk road and executed 6 civilians. In Ninewa there were 19 incidents in December versus 8 in November. There were 7 gun battles during the month. Incidents in Salahaddin went from 7 in November to 12 in December. A suicide bomber was discovered during a security sweep. He exploded his device before he was killed. There were two more car bombs as well that struck a Hashd unit. There were an additional 5 gun battles. Like Diyala, almost all of these attacks happened in rural areas. The three car bombs was also a big uptick, showing that the insurgents were back in business. There hadn’t been that many vehicle bombs since May.

Islamic State Activity in Iraq 2018-19

Kirkuk	Shootings (Totals)	IEDs/ Sticky Bombs (Totals)	Gun Battles	Attacks on Checkpoints	Attacks on Mukhtars/ Sheikhs	Kidnappings	Attacks on Towns	Suicide Bombers	Car Bombs
2018 Totals	172	182	39	18	10	14	29	9	6
Jan 2019	8	17	-	4	2	3	-	-	1
Feb	9	5	3	-	-	2	1	-	-
Mar	5	11	2	1	2	-	2	-	-
Apr	5	9	3	-	-	-	-	-	-
May	11	18	2	3	1	-	13 (13 Farms Burned)	-	-
Jun	5	10	1	2	-	-	-	-	-
Jul	2	10	-	-	-	1	2	-	-
Aug	9	6	10	-	-	1	-	-	-
Sep	6	10	-	2	1	1	-	-	-
Oct	3	7		1
Nov	4	8	-	2	-	-	-	-	-
Dec	10	5	3	4	-	-	-	-	-
2019 Totals	77	116	24	19	6	8	18	-	1

Ninewa	Shootings (Totals)	IEDs/ Sticky Bombs (Totals)	Gun Battles	Attacks on Checkpoints	Attacks on Mukhtars/ Sheikhs	Kidnappings	Attacks on Towns	Suicide Bombers	Car Bombs
2018 Totals	139	74	43	7	5	6	6	2	3
Jan 2019	6	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-
Feb	8	3	2	2	-	-	1	-	1
Mar	6	1	3	-	-	-	1	-	1
Apr	6	6	1	-	1	2	2	-	-
May	8	8	1	-	1	2	6 (5 Farms Burned)	-	1
Jun	2	5	-	-	1	-	4 (4 Farms Burned)	-	-
Jul	2	2	-	-	1	1	2	-	-
Aug	3	2	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
Sep	3	10	-	-	2	1	-	-	-
Oct	2	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Nov	3	3	-	-	1	-	-	-	-
Dec	14	3	7	1	1	-	-	-	-
2019 Totals	63	49	14	3	9	6	17	-	3

Salahaddin	Shootings (Totals)	IEDs/ Sticky Bombs (Totals)	Gun Battles	Attacks on Checkpoints	Attacks on Mukhtars/ Sheikhs	Kidnappings	Attacks on Towns	Suicide Bombers	Car Bombs
2018 Totals	110	102	41	18	1	16	4	9	5
Jan 2019	5	5	3	1	-	3	-	-	1
Feb	7	11	3	-	-	2	1	1	-
Mar	3	5	2	-	-	-	-	-	1
Apr	2	2	1	-	-	-	-	-	1
May	10	9	4	1	1	-	6 (5 Farms Burned)	-	-
Jun	4	3	2	-	1	-	-	-	-
Jul	3	6	2	1	-	-	-	-	-
Aug	5	1	1	-	-	1	1	-	1
Sep	6	3	4	1	-	-	-	-	-
Oct	5	3	2	1	-	-	-	-	-
Nov	4	3	3	-	-	-	-	-	-
Dec	6	3	5	1	1	1	1	1	2
2019 Totals	60	54	32	5	2	6	8	2	6

Security In Iraq 20119

Week	Security Incidents (Total/By IS)	Dead (Total/By IS)	Wounded (Total/By IS)
Jan 1-7	32/31	17/10	24
Jan 8-14	32/30	94/31	53
Jan 15-21	22/18	17/11	16/14
Jan 22-28	27/22	36/17	31
Jan 29-31	12	7	6
JAN 2019	114	139	130/128
Feb 1-7	29/28	76/16	30
Feb 8-14	24	26	18
Feb 15-21	40	112/37	12
Feb 22-28	25	36	70
FEB	118	250/115	130
Mar 1-7	13	22	45
Mar 8-14	19/18	75/10	37
Mar 15-21	12/11	66/37	21/11
Mar 22-28	13/12	8/5	1
Mar 29-31	6	8	7
MAR	61	147	101
Apr 1-7	20	22	13
Apr 8-14	41	28	42
Apr 15-21	17/16	9/8	26
Apr 22-28	19/18	45/10	15
Apr 29-30	2	1	4
APR	99	105	100
May 1-7	20/19	15	18
May 8-14	24	31	41
May 15-21	37/36	62/25	39
May 22-28	43	39	54
May 29-31	13	16	48
MAY	137/136	163/125	200
Jun 1-7	26	19	44
Jun 8-14	25/24	29	15
Jun 15-21	21/16	6	13/10
Jun 22-28	18	17	41
Jun 29-30	9	3	9
JUN	99/93	74	122/119
Jul 1-7	20	11	39
Jul 8-14	14	31	10
Jul 15-21	17	14	37
Jul 22-28	23	14	20
Jul 29-31	8	13	13
JUL	82	83	119
Aug 1-7	27	14	31
Aug 8-14	18	13	13
Aug 15-21	20	33	15
Aug 22-28	27	24	72
Aug 29-31	11	19	10
AUG	104/103	103	141
Sep 1-7	39	39	38
Sep 8-14	30	35	43
Sep 15-21	23	27	26
Sep 22-28	24/23	15	20
Sep 29-30	7	6	4
SEP	123/119	122	131
Oct 1-7	3	1	2
Oct 8-14	14	25	17
Oct 15-21	19	29	13
Oct 22-28	22/21	33	10
Oct 29-31	12/11	4	11
Oct	70/68	92	53
Nov 1-7	6/5	4	1
Nov 8-14	9	2	25
Nov 15-21	15/14	11	2
Nov 22-28	17/16	24	33
Nov 29-30	8/7	6	37
Nov	55/51	47	98
Dec 1-7	36/33	33	44
Dec 8-14	19/17	19	19
Dec 15-21	26	44	25
Dec 22-28	30/29	30	38
Dec 29-31	9	8	7
Dec	120/114	134	133

Violence By Province Dec, 2019

Province	Violence
Anbar	6/5 Incidents 12 Killed 1 Hashd 2 ISF 9 Civilians 2 Wounded 1 Civilian 1 ISF 3 Shootings 1 IED 1 Car Bomb 1 Rockets
Babil	3 Incidents 3 Wounded 3 Hashd 1 Shooting 2 IEDs
Baghdad	20/17 Incidents 14 Killed 1 Hashd 5 ISF 8 Civilians 29 Wounded 11 ISF 18 Civilians 11 Shootings 2 IEDs 1 Sticky Bomb 3 Motorcycle Bombs 2 Rockets 3 Rockets Discovered
Diyala	42 Incidents 50 Killed 9 Peshmerga 10 Hashd 13 Civilians 18 ISF 50 Wounded 4 Peshmerga 5 Civilians 19 ISF 22 Hashd 30 Shootings 8 IEDs 2 Sticky Bombs 1 Grenade 1 Mortar 1 Rockets
Kirkuk	17/16 Incidents 19 Killed 1 US Contractor 4 Hashd 6 ISF 8 Civilians 23 Wounded 4 US Soldiers 5 Civilians 6 Hashd 8 ISF 10 Shootings 5 IEDs 2 Rockets
Ninewa	19 Incidents 17 Killed 2 ISF 15 Civilians 8 Wounded 2 Civilians 6 ISF 14 Shootings 3 IEDs
Salahaddin	13/12 Incidents 22 Killed 4 Civilians 6 ISF 12 Hashd 18 Wounded 2 Civilians 5 Hashd 11 ISF 6 Shootings 3 IEDs 1 Suicide Bomber 2 Suicide Car Bombs 1 Mortar 1 Rockets

SOURCES

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- "Killing and wounding 4 civilians, with armed attack, west of Ramadi," 12/18/19

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- "/4/ members of the popular crowd killed and wounded in an attack by ISIS, northeast of Baquba," 12/22/19

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- "5 Students Martyred Due To IED's Explosion In Southern Fallujah, Anbar Province," 12/30/19

- "6 Fighters Injured By 4 Katyusha Rockets That Landed In One Of the Camps Surrounding Baghdad International Airport," 12/9/19

- "An army force foils an ISIS attack that attempted to target the surveillance camera system on the border between Diyala and Salah Al-Din," 12/10/19

- "An Army Force Repels an ISIS Attack Northwest of Mosul," 12/7/19

- "The army repels an attack by ISIS terrorist gangs in Qayyarah, south of Mosul," 12/14/19

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- "An ISIS attack foiled and the pursuit of ISSI remnants in eastern Diyala," 12/21/19

- "An ISIS attack on a military post repulsed south of Mosul," 12/11/19

- "ISIS elements attack a village in Mosul and kill one of its citizens," 12/18/19

- "/ISIS/ elements attacked the oil police west of Kirkuk," 12/30/19

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- "A man was killed and his wife wounded by unknown gunmen in Abi Saida district, in Diyala," 12/17/19

- "A Mukhtar in Al- Shura district, south of Mosul assassinated," 12/18/19

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- "One person killed and a number of others wounded, when two motorcycles exploded in Baghdad," 12/21/19

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- "A soldier was wounded in an armed attack southwest of Baquba," 12/24/19

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- "Three members of the tribal crowd were wounded in an explosion in western Kirkuk," 12/24/19

- "The Tribal Popular Mobilization Forces Thwart An ISIS Terrorist Attack North Of Diyala," 12/4/19

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- "Two persons killed and three others wounded, the victims of a motorcycle bomb explosion in Bahrez district, Diyala," 12/13/19

- "Two policeman wounded in an attack northwest of Kirkuk," 12/10/19

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- "A civilian was killed by an armed attack north of Baghdad," 12/18/19

- "A civilian was killed by an armed attack north of Baghdad," 12/19/19

- "A civilian was seriously wounded by an explosive device, northwest of Kirkuk," 12/26/19

- "A civilian was wounded by an explosive device placed in his wheel north of Baghdad," 12/12/19

- "The complete position of the bombings today in Baghdad and the outcome of 21 wounded," 12/25/19

- "The crowd repels a major ISIS attack south of Mosul," 12/16/19

- "A farmer was killed by an explosive device south of Shirqat," 12/11/19

- "A guard was killed with hidden weapons, west of Baghdad,' 12/19/19

- "Gunmen kill a civilian in Fallujah," 12/3/19

- "Gunmen kill a civilian with silent weapons southeast of Baghdad," 12/1/19

- "Gunmen kill  civilian in Shula, Baghdad," 12/10/19

- "Killing and wounding five students, as a result of an ISIS projectile explosion in Shirqat," 12/12/19

- "A member of the Popular Mobilization was killed by an armed attack in Baghdad," 12/18/19

- "Night guard killed by armed attack west of Baquba," 12/22/19

- "One civilian killed and another injured in two separate incidents in Baghdad," 12/27/19

- "A policeman was killed by an armed attack north of Diyala," 12/30/19

- "Taking advantage of the fog, ISIS attacked a military force in Diyala, which resulted in 7 deaths and injuries," 12/15/19

- "Three mortar shells landed on the country air base," 12/5/19

- "Three rockets hit a village in Kirkuk," 12/9/19

- "Two civilians were wounded by an explosive device, south of Baghdad," 12/21/19

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