Monday, June 6, 2022

Violence Drops In Iraq In May After Islamic State Offensive Ends


Violence dropped in Iraq in May as the Islamic State’s annual Ramadan offensive came to an end. There were also less incidents by pro-Iran groups compared to April. That could change as IS usually launches a summer campaign.

 

There were a total of 73 security incidents reported in Iraq in the press in May. That was down from 111 in April the highest mark so far in 2022. That was due to the Islamic State’s Ramadan offensive and a spike in activity by pro-Iran groups in April. Both of those ended in May.


 

There were 11 attacks by pro-Iran groups during the month. The pattern was different from previous months when IEDs made up the vast majority of incidents. In May convoys were bombed only 7 times. There were also rocket attacks upon Irbil, two in Ninewa, a Turkish base in Ninewa and the Ain al-Asad base in Anbar. Drones were shot down over Camp Speicher in Salahaddin and Baghdad International Airport. One civilian was killed as well during the attack upon the Turkish camp. The previous month there were 19 incidents by these factions.

 

There were 60 attacks by the Islamic State in May. In April there were 89.

 

May’s incidents occurred in Anbar (2), Baghdad (4), Diyala (24), Kirkuk (13), Ninewa (8), Salahaddin (8), and Sulaymaniya (1).








 

They led to 40 deaths and 51 wounded. 6 Hashd al-Shaabi, 9 members of the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) and 26 civilians were killed while 2 Peshmerga, 5 Hashd, 19 ISF and 25 civilians were injured. Diyala had the most casualties with 54 followed by 20 in Kirkuk, 14 in Ninewa, 3 in Salahaddin and 1 in Baghdad.

 

The Islamic State has been in a steady decline since its defeat in the war against the Iraqi government. That’s reflected in May. Of the 60 incidents during the month only 15 or 25% were offensive in nature. The other 45 were aimed at keeping people and the government out IS areas and maintain the group’s control. Only 1 out of 60 incidents was in a city. All the others were in rural, mountainous, and desert regions. Iraq is not only seeing the fewest incidents since 2003 but they are mostly occurring where there are few people. The Islamic State has a negligible impact upon the country as a result.

 

Security Incidents In Iraq By Province

Province

May 1-7

May 8-14

May 15-21

May 22-28

May 29-31

Totals

Anbar

1

-

1

-

1 Pro-Iran

3/1 Pro-Iran

Babil

-

-

1 Pro-Iran

-

-

1 Pro-Iran

Baghdad

2

-

1

1 Pro-Iran

-

5/1 Pro-Iran

Dhi Qar

-

-

1 Pro-Iran

-

-

1 Pro-Iran

Diwaniya

-

1 Pro-Iran

1 Pro-Iran

-

-

2 Pro-Iran

Diyala

11

4

3

5

-

24

Irbil

1 Pro-Iran

-

-

-

-

1 Pro-Iran

Kirkuk

7

1

3

3

-

13

Muthanna

-

-

2 Pro-Iran

-

-

2 Pro-Iran

Ninewa

6/2 Pro-Iran

-

2/1 Pro-Iran

2

1

11/3 Pro-Iran

Salahaddin

2

3/1 Pro-Iran

3

1

-

9/1 Pro-Iran

Sulaymaniya

-

-

-

1

-

1

TOTAL

31/3 Pro-Iran

9/2 Pro-Iran

18/6 Pro-Iran

13/1 Pro-Iran

2/1 Pro-Iran

73/13 Pro-Iran

 

Casualties In Iraq By Province

Province

May 1-7

May 8-14

May 15-21

May 22-28

May 29-31

Totals

Baghdad

1 (1W)

-

-

-

-

1 (1W)

Diyala

19 (8K, 11W)

9 (2K, 7W)

8 (5K, 3W)

18 (9K, 9W)

-

54 (24K, 30W)

Kirkuk

7 (7W)

-

2 (2K)

11 (11K)

-

20 (13K, 7W)

Ninewa

6 (6W)

-

3 (1K, 2W)

3 (1K, 2W)

2 (2W)

14 (2K, 12W)

Salahaddin

-

-

3 (2K, 1W)

-

-

3 (2K, 1W)

TOTAL

33 (8K, 25W)

9 (2K, 7W)

16 (10K, 6W)

32 (21K, 11W)

2 (2W)

92 (41K, 51W)

 

Attacks by Pro-Iran Groups

 

March Totals 12

4/3/22

Rockets – Turkish army base, Ninewa

 

IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Muthanna, Salahaddin

4/4/22

Rockets – Turkish army base, Ninewa

4/5/22

IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Baghdad

4/6/22

Rockets – Turkish army base, Ninewa

 

Rockets – Khabat, Irbil

4/7/22

IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Dhi Qar

4/8/22

Drone Shot Down – Ain Al-Assad Base, Anbar

4/10/22

IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Dhi Qar, Diwaniya, Salahaddin

 

Drone Strike - Dohuk

4/13/22

Rockets Discovered - Baghdad

4/14/22

IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Babil

4/17/22

IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Diwaniya

4/21/22

IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Baghdad

4/22/22

Rockets – Turkish army base, Dohuk

4/23/22

IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Muthanna

4/24/22

IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Anbar

 

Rockets – Turkish army base, Ninewa

4/30/22

Rockets – Ain al-Assad base, Anbar

 

April Totals 20 (2)

5/1/22

Rockets - Irbil

 

Rockets – Bartella, Ninewa

 

Rockets – Qaraqosh, Ninewa

5/11/22

Drone shot down – Camp Speicher, Salahaddin

 

IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Muthanna

5/15/22

IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Muthanna, Diwaniya

5/19/22

IED on convoy carrying supplies to US – Babil, Dhi Qar, Diwaniya, Muthanna

5/21/22

Rockets – Turkish army base, Ninewa – 1 killed

5/24/22

Drone shot down – Baghdad International Airport, Baghdad

5/30/22

Rockets – Ain al-Assad base, Anbar

 

May Totals 11 (2) – 1 killed

 

Security In Iraq 2021-22

Week

Security

Incidents

(Total/By IS)

Dead

(Total/By IS)

Wounded

(Total/By IS)

Jan 1-7

21/2

13

19

Jan 8-14

17/3

12

6

Jan 15-21

20/3

52

133

Jan 22-28

10/3

13

12

Jan 29-31

9/1

2

6

JAN

77/13

92

176

Feb 1-7

19/2

11

23

Feb 8-14

11/3

4

8

Feb 15-21

20/7

11

23

Feb 22-28

13/4

13

23

FEB

63/16

39

77

Mar 1-7

19/5

5

8

Mar 8-14

12/2

13

15

Mar 15-21

24/6

8

7

Mar 22-28

14/2

8

13

Mar 29-31

9/5

2

1

MAR

79/20

39

44

Apr 1-7

16/10

3

5

Apr 8-14

15/6

6

18

Apr 15-21

32/4

19

44

Apr 22-28

31/6

15

42

Apr 29-30

12/1

11

23

APR

107/27

54

132

May 1-7

36/8

33

37

May 8-14

31/5

14

25

May 15-21

15/2

3

3

May 22-28

20/9

3

24

May 29-31

11

6

11

MAY

113/24

59

100

Jun 1-7

12/5

6

29

Jun 8-14

22/10

7

7

Jun 15-21

24/4

14

14

Jun 22-28

19/2

10

17

Jun 29-30

5

-

21

JUN

83/21

36

87

Jul 1-7

38/9

11

35

Jul 8-14

25/4

7

17

Jul 15-21

20/1

48

75

Jul 22-28

10/1

10

7

Jul 29-31

16/5

30

30

JUL

110/20

106

164

Aug 1-7

44/5

12

19

Aug 8-14

31/6

17

23

Aug 15-21

25/8

12

18

Aug 22-28

21/9

8

10

Aug 29-31

12/2

5

12

AUG

133/30

54

82

Sep 1-7

21/3

12

24

Sep 8-14

28/3

24

36

Sep 15-21

13/1

5

17

Sep 22-28

17/4

13

9

Sep 29-30

2

-

-

SEP

81/11

54

86

Oct 1-7

17

11

22

Oct 8-14

14/1

4

13

Oct 15-21

9/2

3

2

Oct 22-28

21/1/1

36

42

Oct 29-31

11/1

7

7

OCT

72/6/1

61

86

Nov 1-7

20/2

3

20

Nov 8-14

15/1

11

18

Nov 15-21

14/4

2

4

Nov 22-28

15/4

10

14

Nov 29-30

3/1

1

3

NOV

67/12

27

59

Dec 1-7

17/2

29

22

Dec 8-14

14/4

4

6

Dec 15-21

22/8

11

12

Dec 22-28

18/8

11

27

Dec 29-31

7/1

5

4

DEC

78/23

56

67

Jan 1-7, 2022

18/9

3

4

Jan 8-14

35/21

3

18

Jan 15-21

12/5

17

12

Jan 22-28

16/3

8

19

Jan 29-31

6/2

2

6

JAN

87/41

33

59

Feb 1-7

11/3

1

10

Feb 8-14

14/6

8

3

Feb 15-21

9/1

-

11

Feb 22-28

8/4

1

5

FEB

42/14

10

29

Mar 1-7

7/3

1

-

Mar 8-14

18/3/1

6

5

Mar 15-21

10/4

5

6

Mar 22-28

6/1

7

4

Mar 29-31

4/1

-

5

MAR

46/12/1

19

21

Apr 1-7

16/8

-

6

Apr 8-14

21/7

8

25

Apr 15-21

22/2

10

22

Apr 22-28

44/4

14

44

Apr 29-30

6/1

2

6

APR

111/22

34

103

May 1-7

31/3

8

25

May 8-14

9/2

2

7

May 15-21

18/6

10

6

May 22-28

13/1

21

11

May 29-31

2/1

-

2

MAY

73/13

41

51

 

Violence By Province May 2022

Province

Violence

2018 Avg

2019 Avg

2020 Avg

2021 Avg

2022 Avg

Anbar

3/1 Pro-Iran Incident

 

1 Shooting

1 IED

1 Rockets

12.6 incidents/

month

8.6 incidents/ month

7.0 incidents/ month

4.6 incidents/ month

3.8 incidents/month

Babil

1 Pro-Iran Incident

 

1 IED

4.0 incidents/month

3.0 incidents/month

2.75 incidents/month

2.5 incidents/month

2.0 incidents/month

Baghdad

5/1 Pro-Iran Incident

 

1 Wounded

1 ISF

 

1 Shooting

4 IEDs

1 Rockets

1 Drone Shot Down

33.0 incidents/month

11.6 incidents/month

7.3 incidents/month

5.6 incidents/ month

2.8 incidents/month

Dhi Qar

1 Pro-Iran Incident

 

1 IED

 

 

 

 

 

Diwaniya

2 Pro-Iran Incidents

 

2 IEDs

 

 

 

 

 

Diyala

24 Incidents

24 Killed

3 Hashd

5 ISF

16 Civilians

30 Wounded

1 Peshmerga

2 Hashd

10 ISF

17 Civilians

 

21 Shootings

3 IEDs

1 Mortar

34.5 incidents/month

30.0 incidents/month

30.6 incidents/month

23.2 incidents/month

16.0 incidents/month

Irbil

1 Pro-Iran Incident

 

1 Rockets

 

 

 

 

 

Kirkuk

13 Incident

13 Killed

4 ISF

9 Civilians

7 Wounded

1 Peshmerga

6 ISF

 

11 Shooting

2 IEDs

36.5 incidents/month

18.6 incidents/month

13.9 incidents/month

11.6 incidents/month

11.6 Incidents/month

Muthanna

2 Pro-Iran Incidents

 

2 IEDs

 

 

 

 

 

Ninewa

11/3 Pro-Iran Incidents

2 Killed

1 Civilian

1 Hashd

12 Wounded

2 Hashd

2 ISF

8 Civilians

 

5 Shootings

3 IEDs

1 Drone

2 Rockets

20.0 incidents/month

14.0 incidents/month

10.6 incidents/month

8.4 incidents/month

7.2 incidents/month

Salahaddin

9/1 Pro-Iran Incidents

2 Killed

2 Hashd

1 Wounded

1 Hashd

 

6 Shootings

1 Mortar

1 Rockets

1 Drone

21.7 incidents/month

10.6 incidents/month

11.2 incidents/month

11.5 incidents/month

7.2 incidents/month

Sulaymaniya

1 Incident

 

1 Shooting

 

 

 

 

 

 

SOURCES

 

Bas News, "US-led Coalition Shoots Down Bomb-Laden Drone in Central Iraq," 5/13/22

 

NINA, "Rockets fall on Bartella and Qaraqosh, north of Mosul," 5/1/22

- "A Security source: A missile attack targets eastern Mosul, and another missile platform was found in Bashiqa district," 5/1/22

 

NRT, "Drone Shot Down Near US Military Base In Baghdad," 5/24/22

- "Two Missiles Fired At Ain Al-Asad Base, No Casualties Reported," 5/30/22

 

Shafaq News, "An Iraqi was killed in the bombing of the Zilikan camp of the Turkish forces, northeast of Mosul," 5/21/22

 

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