Sunday, March 26, 2023

Security In Iraq Mar 15-21, 2023


The Islamic State remains barely active in Iraq. Violence remains at an all-time low in the country. Ramadan is nearing however so that could change.

 

There were only two security incidents reported in Iraq from March 15-21. There were 2 incidents the week before and 3 the first week of March. 10 of 11 weeks this year have seen incidents in single digits. That continues the trend set in 2022.

 

In Baghdad’s Tarmiya in the north there was a shootout with insurgents that left 1 Hashd al-Shaabi dead. The district has become one of the few consistently violent areas in Iraq. In Kirkuk an IED hit a car full of Hashd during a security operation that left 3 wounded.

 

Ramadan is beginning which has traditionally been when the Islamic State starts an offensive each year. This will be a sign of just how low the insurgency has sunk. Can it pick up its operations in 2023? If it does how many attacks can it carry out? Last year incidents spiked to 40 incidents for one week. We’ll see what happens this time around.

 

Security Incidents In Iraq By Province

Province

Mar 1-7

Mar 8-14

Mar 15-21

Baghdad

-

-

1

Diyala

2

1

 

Kirkuk

-

-

1

Salahaddin

1

1

-

TOTAL

3

2

2

 

Casualties In Iraq By Province

Province

Mar 1-7

Mar 8-14

Mar 15-21

Baghdad

-

-

1 (1K)

Diyala

12 (9K, 3W)

1 (1K)

-

Kirkuk

-

-

3 (3W)

Salahaddin

2 (1K, 1W)

2 (1K, 1W)

-

TOTAL

14 (10K, 4W)

3 (2K, 1W)

4 (1K, 3W)

 

Security In Iraq 2022-23

Week

Security

Incidents

(Total/By IS)

Dead

(Total/By IS)

Wounded

(Total/By IS)

Jan 1-7

18/9

3

4

Jan 8-14

35/21

3

18

Jan 15-21

12/5

17

12

Jan 22-28

16/3

8

19

Jan 29-31

6/2

2

6

JAN

87/41

33

59

Feb 1-7

11/3

1

10

Feb 8-14

14/6

8

3

Feb 15-21

9/1

-

11

Feb 22-28

8/4

1

5

FEB

42/14

10

29

Mar 1-7

7/3

1

-

Mar 8-14

18/3/1

6

5

Mar 15-21

10/4

5

6

Mar 22-28

6/1

7

4

Mar 29-31

4/1

-

5

MAR

46/12/1

19

21

Apr 1-7

16/8

-

6

Apr 8-14

21/7

8

25

Apr 15-21

22/2

10

22

Apr 22-28

44/4

14

44

Apr 29-30

6/1

2

6

APR

111/22

34

103

May 1-7

31/3

8

25

May 8-14

9/2

2

7

May 15-21

18/6

10

6

May 22-28

13/1

21

11

May 29-31

2/1

-

2

MAY

73/13

41

51

Jun 1-7

6/2

-

8

Jun 8-14

12/4

1

9

Jun 15-21

10/2

5

2

Jun 22-28

12/6

1

14

Jun 29-30

-

-

-

JUN

40/14

7

33

Jul 1-7

7/1

6

11

Jul 8-14

3

-

2

Jul 15-21

11/2

14

16

Jul 22-28

18/7

9

21

Jul 29-31

4

4

4

JUL

43/6

33

54

Aug 1-7

9/1

6

15

Aug 8-14

14

2

14

Aug 15-21

7/2

-

6

Aug 22-28

23/4

14

15

Aug 29-31

4

2

4

AUG

57/7/1

24

54

Sep 1-7

11/1

3

20

Sep 8-14

5

-

12

Sep 15-21

12

4

14

Sep 22-28

10/2 M

2

16

Sep 29-30

3/1 M

-

2

SEP

41/1/3 M

9

64

Oct 1-7

9/2 M

6

16

Oct 8-14

8/2/1 M

5

19

Oct 15-21

6

4

7

Oct 22-28

3

2

1

Oct 29-31

2

-

2

OCT

28/2/3 M

17

45

Nov 1-7

7

1

3

Nov 8-14

6

1

8

Nov 15-21

8

7

17

Nov 22-28

2

1

-

Nov 29-30

-

-

-

NOV

23

10

28

Dec 1-7

13/1

6

11

Dec 8-14

6

7

8

Dec 15-21

6

29

15

Dec 22-28

6

-

4

Dec 29-31

2

-

-

DEC

33/1

42

38

Jan 1-7

7

4

2

Jan 8-14

6/1

5

2

Jan 15-21

11/1

2

7

Jan 22-28

5/2

1

2

Jan 29-31

1

-

2

JAN

29/4

12

15

Feb 1-7

6/2

1

5

Feb 8-14

1

-

2

Feb 15-21

4

4

8

Feb 22-28

9/1

7

3

FEB

20/3

12

18

Mar 1-7

3

10

4

Mar 8-14

2

2

1

Mar 15-21

2

1

3

 

Violence By Province Mar 15-21, 2023

Province

Violence

2018 Avg

2019 Avg

2020 Avg

2021 Avg

2022 Avg

2023 Avg

Anbar

-

12.6 incidents/

month

8.6 incidents/ month

7.0 incidents/ month

4.6 incidents/ month

2.0 incidents/month

1.0 Incidents/month

Babil

-

4.0 incidents/month

3.0 incidents/month

2.7 incidents/month

2.5 incidents/month

2.0 incidents/month

0.5 Incidents/month

Baghdad

1 Incident

1 Killed

1 Hashd

 

1 Shooting

33.0 incidents/month

11.6 incidents/month

7.3 incidents/month

5.6 incidents/ month

3.5 incidents/month

5 Incidents/month

Diyala

-

38.6 incidents/month

30.0 incidents/month

30.6 incidents/month

22.8 incidents/month

12.2 incidents/month

6 Incidents/month

Kirkuk

1 Incident

3 Wounded

3 Hashd

 

1 IED

36.5 incidents/month

18.6 incidents/month

13.9 incidents/month

11.6 incidents/month

8.2 incidents/month

1.5 Incidents/month

Ninewa

-

20.0 incidents/month

13.2 incidents/month

10.6 incidents/month

8.4 incidents/month

6.0 incidents/month

4 Incidents/month

Salahaddin

-

21.7 incidents/month

10.6 incidents/month

11.2 incidents/month

11.5 incidents/month

5.5 incidents/month

2.5 Incidents/month

IRAQ

-

166.6 incidents/month

95.5 incidents/month

85.5 incidents/month

69.9 incidents/month

40.2 incidents/month

21 Incidents/month

 

SOURCES

 

NINA, "Three members of the Popular Mobilization intelligence injured when an explosive device exploded in Kirkuk," 3/18/23

- "Two ISIS members killed and a member of the Popular Mobilization Forces killed in armed clashes north of Baghdad," 3/15/23

 

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