Monday, October 18, 2021

Revised Election Returns For Iraq’s Oct 2021 Election

(Fika Forum)
The Iraqi Election Commission said that it is done with its manual count of ballots and issued the results. Media outlets such as Al Aalem, Al Hurra, and Bas News all had different seat numbers each party won. Rudaw was the only source that broke down the vote by province which is reproduced below.

 

Moqtada al-Sadr remained in first place with 73 seats. It won Baghdad, Basra, Dhi Qar, Diwaniya, Karbala, Maysan, Najaf and Wasit and came in second in Muthanna. His Sairoon party was the best prepared for the new electoral system that broke provinces into several voting districts. Sadr already has an alliance with the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) which will likely be the basis for his effort to form a new government.

 

Speaker Mohammed al-Halbusi’s Taqadum came in second with 37 seats. It won Anbar and Diyala and came in second in Ninewa and third in Baghdad and Salahaddin. His main competitor financier Khamis al-Khanjar lost two seats in the manual count and now has 13. He gained almost half of its total (6 seats) in Baghdad where it finished fourth. It came in second in Diyala with 4 more seats, and also gained one seat each in Anbar, Ninewa, and Salahaddin. This was Khanjar’s third attempt to defeat Halbusi and he failed again.

 

State of Law headed by former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki remained in third with 33 seats. It won Muthanna, came in second in Babil, Baghdad and Maysan, third in Dhi Qar, Diwaniya, Karbala and Najaf and picked up one seat each in Basra and Wasit. Getting seats in ten provinces showed that Maliki still has an effective political machine across Baghdad and the south that was able to get out the vote and direct his followers to pick the right candidates. His main rival is Sadr and the former PM is already attempting to form a parliamentary majority to counter Moqtada.

 

The Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) has 33 seats with victories in Dohuk, Irbil and Ninewa. It also gained two seats each in Kirkuk and Sulaymaniya. It even won a Yazidi seat in Ninewa despite an attempt by the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) to control the Sinjar district where the community mostly resides. The KDP fled the area during the war against the Islamic State leaving the Yazidis to the genocidal policies of the Islamists. It now appears to have reasserted its political control there.

 

The Patriotic Union of Kurdistan won all 16 seats for the Kurdistan Coalition with the Change list. It came in first in Kirkuk and Sulaymaniya and got one seat each in Diyala, Irbil and Ninewa. This was the latest defeat for the PUK which was once the equal to the KDP. Change was completely humiliated by its poor showing.

 

Fatah headed by Badr leader Hadi Amiri was hoping for a strong showing with its base amongst the pro-Iran Hashd and their families. It did not prepare for the new electoral system and only got 15 seats. The best it did was second in Diwaniya, followed by third in Diyala, 4th in Basra, 6th in Babil, Baghdad and Salahaddin and eighth in Ninewa. It got 48 seats in 2018.

 

The National Alliance of State Forces made up of former Premier Haidar Abadi and Hikma head Ammar Hakim were also embarrassed with only three seats in Basra, Muthanna and Wasit. It too did not organize for the new electoral districts.

 

Three new parties also emerged on the national scene, Imtidad, New Generation and Ishraqat Kanoon. Imtidad came out of the protest movement and won 9 seats in Babil, Dhi Qar, Diwaniya and Najaf. Many members of the demonstrations boycotted the vote due to the violence directed at them which meant Imtidad could have done much better with a higher turnout. New Generation won 9 seats as well and is the main opposition party in Kurdistan having eclipsed Change. Finally, Ishraqat Kanoon got 6 seats in Babil, Baghdad, Diwaniya, and Karbala. Another 39 seats went to independents. Imtidad and New Generation could become the first opposition parties in Iraq.

 

These results could still change with appeals and other matters coming up.

 

Major Parties – Provinces Won

Sairoon (Moqtada al-Sadr) won Baghdad, Basra, Dhi Qar, Diwaniya, Karbala, Maysan, Najaf, Wasit

Taqadum (Speaker Halbusi) won Anbar, Diyala

State Of Law (Nouri al-Maliki) won Muthanna

Kurdistan Democratic Party won Dohuk, Irbil, Ninewa

Kurdistan Coalition (PUK/Change) won Kirkuk, Sulaymaniya

 

Major Parties

2021 Results

2018 Results

Sairoon/Sadr

73

54

Independents

39

-

Taqadum (Speaker Halbusi)

37

-

State of Law (Maliki

33

25

Kurdistan Democratic Party

33

24

Kurdistan Coalition (PUK/Change)

16

23

Fatah (Amiri)

15

48

Azm (Khanjar)

13

-

Imtidad (Protests)

9

-

New Generation

9

4

Ishraqat Kanoon

6

-

National Alliance of State Forces (Abadi/Hakim)

3

61

 

2021 Revised Election Results By Province

 

Anbar

Turnout 39.98%

436,393 votes

1,091,644 eligible voters

1. Taqadum (Speaker Halbusi) 10

2. Independents 4

3. Azm (Khanjar) 1

 

Babil

Turnout 41.51%

532,045 votes

1,281,860 eligible voters

1. Independents 4

2. State of Law (Maliki) 3

3. Ishraqat Kanoon 2

4. Sairoon (Sadr) 2

5. Imtidad (Protests) 2

6. Fatah (Amiri) 2

7. Alwafa Waltaghyir Party 1

8. Taqadum (Speaker Halbusi) 1

 

Baghdad

Turnout 25.3%

1,465,526 votes

5,793,605 eligible voters

1. Sairoon (Sadr) 27

2. State of Law (Maliki) 13

3. Taqadum (Speaker Halbusi) 11

4. Azm (Khanjar) 6

5. Independents 5

6. Fatah (Amiri) 3

7. Ishraqat Kanoon 1

8. Al Furat/Euphrates Movement 1

9. Rights Movement 1

7. Aqed Wattani Alliance/National Contract Alliance 1

 

Basra

Turnout 34.34%

648,068 votes

1,887,231 eligible voters

1. Sairoon (Sadr) 9

2. Tasmim Alliance 5

3. Independents 3

4. Fatah (Amiri) 2

5. National Bond 1

6. Beladi National Movement 1

7. State of Law (Maliki) 1

8. National Alliance of State Forces (Abadi/Hakim) 1

9. Aqed Wattani Alliance/National Contract Alliance 1

10. National Alnahj Alliance/National Approach Alliance 1

 

Dhi Qar

Turnout 37.49%

491,986 votes

1,312,275 eligible voters

1. Sairoon (Sadr) 9

2. Imtidad (Protests) 5

3. State of Law (Maliki) 4

4. Independent 1

 

Diwaniya

Turnout 38.08%

310,642 votes

815,737 eligible voters

1. Sairoon (Sadr) 3

2. Fatah (Amiri) 2

3. State of Law (Maliki) 2

4. Ishraqat Kanoon 1

5. Iqtadar Watan Party 1

6. Imtidad (Protests) 1

7. Independent 1

 

Diyala

Turnout 44.77%

480,981 votes

1,074,442 eligible voters

1. Taqadum (Speaker Halbusi) 4

2. Azm (Khanjar) 4

3. Fatah (Amiri) 3

4. Independents 2

5. Kurdistan Coalition (PUK/Change) 1

 

Dohuk

Turnout 48.13%

395,977 votes

822,703 eligible voters

1. Kurdistan Democratic Party 8

2. Independent 2

3. Kurdistan Alliance (PUK/Change) 1

 

Irbil

Turnout 35.87%

444,253 votes

1,238,379 eligible voters

1. Kurdistan Democratic Party 11

2. New Generation 3

3. Kurdistan Coalition (PUK/Change) 1

 

Karbala

Turnout 37.47%

288,842 voters

770,838 eligible voters

1. Sairoon (Sadr) 4

2. Ishraqat Kanoon 2

3. State of Law (Maliki) 2

4. Al Nasr Coalition 1

5. National Product Party 1

6. Amal Wattani Coalition 1

 

Kirkuk

Turnout 40.63%

411,182 votes

1,011,928 eligible voters

1. Kurdistan Coalition (PUK/Change) 3

2. Kurdistan Democratic Party 2

3. United Iraqi Turkmen Front 2

4. New Generation 1

5. Arab Coalition in Kirkuk 1

6. Taqadum (Speaker Halbusi) 1

7. Aqed Wattani Alliance 1

8. United Arab Front 1

9. Independent 1

 

Maysan

Turnout 35.59%

271,596 voters

763,140 eligible voters

1. Sairoon (Sadr) 7

2. State of Law (Maliki) 2

3. Independent 1

 

Muthanna

Turnout 38.1%

201,015 votes

527,555 eligible voters

1. State of Law (Maliki) 3

2. Sairoon (Sadr) 2

3. Al Nasr Coalition 1

4. National Alliance of State Forces (Abadi/Hakim) 1

5. Independent 1

 

Najaf

Turnout 35.71%

338,116 votes

946,853 eligible voters

1. Sairoon (Sadr) 5

2. Independents 4

3. State of Law (Maliki) 2

4. Imtidad Party (Protests) 1

 

Ninewa

Turnout 34.46%

803,156 votes

2,330,632 eligible voters

1. Kurdistan Democratic Party 10

2. Taqadum (Speaker Halbusi) 8

3. Hasm Movement for Reform 3

4. Independents 3

5. Aqed Wattani Alliance 2

6. Iraqi National Project 1

7. Kurdistan Coalition (PUK/Change) 1

8. Fatah (Amiri) 1

9. Jamahir Al Wattaniya Party 1

10. Azm (Khanjar) 1

 

Salahaddin

Turnout 44.56%

426,597 votes

957,291 eligible voters

1. Jamahiruna Hawyatuna 3

2. Independents 3

3. Taqadum (Speaker Halbusi) 2

4. Wattan Party 1

5. Kurdistan Coalition (PUK/Change) 1

6. Fatah (Amiri) 1

7. Azm (Khanjar) 1

 

Sulaymaniya

Turnout 27.54%

392,667 Votes

1,425,705 eligible voters

1. Kurdistan Coalition (PUK/Change) 8

2. New Generation 5

3. Kurdistan Democratic Party 2

4. Independents 2

5. Kurdistan Justice Party 1

 

Wasit

Turnout 35.59%

304,577 votes

855,861 eligible voters

1. Sairoon (Sadr) 5

2. Independents 2

3. Ahale Wasit Party 1

4. Fatah (Amiri) 1

5. State of Law (Maliki) 1

6. National Alliance of State Forces (Abadi/Hakim) 1

 

SOURCES

 

Al Aalem, “The groups refusing the elections is expanding .. a political surprise is exploding: the voting takes place in homes,” 10/17/21

 

Bas News, “Final Uncertified Results of Iraq’s 2021 Parliamentary Elections,” 10/17/21

 

Browne, Gareth, “Familiar names fade away while others rise in Mosul election,” The National, 10/14/21

 

Al Hurra, “Announcing the full preliminary results of the Iraqi elections … and Al-Sadr announces its acceptance,” 10/17/21

 

NINA, “By the names … the winning candidates in the elections to the House of Representatives “A semi-final update”,” 10/17/21

- “Candidates winning electoral constituency seats for Baghdad,” 10/17/21

 

NRT, “IHEC Says Iraq Parliamentary Election manual Audit Complete, Pending Complaints Process,” 10/17/21

 

Porter, Lizzie, Hussein, Mohammed, Mohammed, Araz, Tahir, “New PKK election strategy highlights intra-Kurdish tensions,” Iraq Oil Report 10/9/21

 

Rudaw, “Election Results,” 10/12/21

 

 

 

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