Sunday, February 12, 2023

Security In Iraq Feb 1-7, 2023


The Islamic State continued to be insignificant in Iraq the first week of February. Its incidents were in single digits again. There were two more attacks by pro-Iran groups showing that they are trying to re-activate.


 

There were 2 attacks by pro-Iran groups from February 1-7. Rockets were fired at a Turkish military base in northern Ninewa. This used to be a regular target of the factions in 2022. In Muthanna a convoy working for the Americans was bombed. In September last year incidents by these groups fell off as they became more involved in the new Sudani government. Since than they’ve only averaged 1-2 attacks per month to show that they are still around.

 

That left just 4 incidents by the Islamic State. Those took place in Baghdad (2) and Salahaddin (2). In 2023 4 out of 5 weeks have seen IS incidents in single digits which follows the pattern set in 2022.

 

The Islamic State left 6 casualties, 1 civilian killed and 2 members of the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) and 3 civilians injured.

 

There were two incidents in Baghdad involving a Sticky bomb in Tarmiya in the north and a grenade in Yusifiya in the south. Tarmiya is the main area IS operates in within the capital province but there are rare incidents in Yusifiya as well which was a long time insurgent base.

 

A Kurdish kid was kidnapped in the Tuz Kharmato district in the east and an IED went off in Ishaqi in the south in Salahaddin. The abduction was likely for money as it is one of the main sources of revenue for the insurgency.

 

None of the incidents appeared offensive in nature and all took place in the rural areas of the country. IS is not able to do much more than this week to week in Iraq showing its decline.

 

Security Incidents In Iraq By Province

Province

Feb 1-7

Baghdad

2

Ninewa

1 Pro-Iran

Salahaddin

2

Muthanna

1 Pro-Iran

TOTAL

6/2 Pro-Iran

 

Casualties In Iraq By Province

Province

Feb 1-7

Baghdad

3 (3W)

Salahaddin

3 (1K, 2W)

TOTAL

6 (1K, 5W)

 

Security In Iraq 2022-23

Week

Security

Incidents

(Total/By IS)

Dead

(Total/By IS)

Wounded

(Total/By IS)

Jan 1-7

18/9

3

4

Jan 8-14

35/21

3

18

Jan 15-21

12/5

17

12

Jan 22-28

16/3

8

19

Jan 29-31

6/2

2

6

JAN

87/41

33

59

Feb 1-7

11/3

1

10

Feb 8-14

14/6

8

3

Feb 15-21

9/1

-

11

Feb 22-28

8/4

1

5

FEB

42/14

10

29

Mar 1-7

7/3

1

-

Mar 8-14

18/3/1

6

5

Mar 15-21

10/4

5

6

Mar 22-28

6/1

7

4

Mar 29-31

4/1

-

5

MAR

46/12/1

19

21

Apr 1-7

16/8

-

6

Apr 8-14

21/7

8

25

Apr 15-21

22/2

10

22

Apr 22-28

44/4

14

44

Apr 29-30

6/1

2

6

APR

111/22

34

103

May 1-7

31/3

8

25

May 8-14

9/2

2

7

May 15-21

18/6

10

6

May 22-28

13/1

21

11

May 29-31

2/1

-

2

MAY

73/13

41

51

Jun 1-7

6/2

-

8

Jun 8-14

12/4

1

9

Jun 15-21

10/2

5

2

Jun 22-28

12/6

1

14

Jun 29-30

-

-

-

JUN

40/14

7

33

Jul 1-7

7/1

6

11

Jul 8-14

3

-

2

Jul 15-21

11/2

14

16

Jul 22-28

18/7

9

21

Jul 29-31

4

4

4

JUL

43/6

33

54

Aug 1-7

9/1

6

15

Aug 8-14

14

2

14

Aug 15-21

7/2

-

6

Aug 22-28

23/4

14

15

Aug 29-31

4

2

4

AUG

57/7/1

24

54

Sep 1-7

11/1

3

20

Sep 8-14

5

-

12

Sep 15-21

12

4

14

Sep 22-28

10/2 M

2

16

Sep 29-30

3/1 M

-

2

SEP

41/1/3 M

9

64

Oct 1-7

9/2 M

6

16

Oct 8-14

8/2/1 M

5

19

Oct 15-21

6

4

7

Oct 22-28

3

2

1

Oct 29-31

2

-

2

OCT

28/2/3 M

17

45

Nov 1-7

7

1

3

Nov 8-14

6

1

8

Nov 15-21

8

7

17

Nov 22-28

2

1

-

Nov 29-30

-

-

-

NOV

23

10

28

Dec 1-7

13/1

6

11

Dec 8-14

6

7

8

Dec 15-21

6

29

15

Dec 22-28

6

-

4

Dec 29-31

2

-

-

DEC

33/1

42

38

Jan 1-7

7

4

2

Jan 8-14

6/1

5

2

Jan 15-21

11/1

2

7

Jan 22-28

5/2

1

2

Jan 29-31

1

-

2

JAN

29/4

12

15

Feb 1-7

6/2

1

5

 

Violence By Province Feb 1-7, 2023

Province

Violence

2018 Avg

2019 Avg

2020 Avg

2021 Avg

2022 Avg

Anbar

-

12.6 incidents/

month

8.6 incidents/ month

7.0 incidents/ month

4.6 incidents/ month

2.0 incidents/month

Babil

-

4.0 incidents/month

3.0 incidents/month

2.7 incidents/month

2.5 incidents/month

2.0 incidents/month

Baghdad

2 Incidents

3 Wounded

1 Civilian

2 ISF

 

1 Sticky Bomb

1 Grenade

33.0 incidents/month

11.6 incidents/month

7.3 incidents/month

5.6 incidents/ month

3.5 incidents/month

Diyala

-

38.6 incidents/month

30.0 incidents/month

30.6 incidents/month

22.8 incidents/month

12.2 incidents/month

Kirkuk

-

36.5 incidents/month

18.6 incidents/month

13.9 incidents/month

11.6 incidents/month

8.2 incidents/month

Ninewa

1 Pro-Iran Incident

 

1 Rockets

20.0 incidents/month

13.2 incidents/month

10.6 incidents/month

8.4 incidents/month

6.0 incidents/month

Salahaddin

2 Incidents

1 Killed

1 Civilian

2 Wounded

2 Civilians

 

1 IED

21.7 incidents/month

10.6 incidents/month

11.2 incidents/month

11.5 incidents/month

5.5 incidents/month

Muthanna

1 Pro-Iran Incident

 

1 IED

 

 

 

 

 

IRAQ

-

166.6 incidents/month

95.5 incidents/month

85.5 incidents/month

69.9 incidents/month

40.2 incidents/month

 

SOURCES

 

Bas News, "Kurdish Youth Abducted in Tuz Khurmatu," 2/4/23

 

NINA, "A child killed and two other children wounded when an IED exploded south of Salah al-Din," 2/5/23

- "Targeting a convoy of logistical support for the international coalition forces with an explosive device in Al-Muthanna," 2/6/23

 

Salem, Amr, "Rocket attack targets Turkish base in northern Iraq," Iraqi News, 2/1/23

 

Shafaq News, "A person was injured in an explosion and a girl was killed by electric shock in Baghdad and Basra," 2/3/23

 

Al Sumaria, "Two affiliates were wounded," 2/6/23

 

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