Monday, November 7, 2022

Violence Hits New Low In Iraq


Violence has been dropping in Iraq since the Islamic State’s annual summer offensive ended. October saw the lowest monthly incident total since 2003.

 

There were a total of 28 security incidents recorded in Iraq in October. The previous month there were 41.


 

There were 2 attacks by pro-Iran groups and 3 by Sadrists in October. In Ninewa Hashd factions fired rockets at a Turkish military base in the north that has become a favorite target. Missiles were also launched at the Khor Mor gas field in Sulaymaniya. That was likely a political message to the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan that runs the province to stay with the Coordination Framework in government talks. Sadrists also shot rockets at the Green Zone twice in October to protest the Framework’s moves to pick the next prime minister. One of those attacks left 10 civilians wounded. They also got into a gun battle with the Hashd in Basra city that involved missiles being launched at the presidential palace that killed 2 and wounded 10.

 

That just left 23 incidents by the Islamic State. The month before there were 37. The previous monthly low for IS activity was 26 in June. Before that it was 28 in February. Those all point to the dramatic decline in the insurgency which is barely holding on in Iraq.

 

IS activity took place in Anbar (1), Babil (2), Baghdad (6), Diyala (5), Kirkuk (2), Ninewa (3), Salahaddin (3) and Sulaymaniya (1).

 

They left 15 dead and 25 wounded. 1 Hashd al-Shaabi, 2 Peshmerga, 6 members of the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) and 6 civilians were killed and 2 Peshmerga, 7 civilians 8 Hashd, and 8 ISF were injured.

 

During the first week of October there were 7 IS incidents only one of which was offensive in Baghdad. During the second week there were 5 attacks, 1 of which was offensive in Baghdad. The third week of October there were 6 incidents 3 of which were offensive, 1 in Baghdad, 1 in Diyala and 1 in Sulaymaniya. The fourth week there were just 3 incidents none of which were offensive. The same was true for the last 3 days of the month. That was a total of 5 offensive attacks out of 23. The other 18 were meant to keep people and the government out of IS areas. None of these were in cities again pointing to the drop in IS activity which is limited to sparsely populated rural areas of the country.

 

Security Incidents In Iraq By Province

Province

Oct 1-7

Oct 8-14

Oct 15-21

Oct 22-28

Oct 29-31

Totals

Anbar

-

1

-

-

-

1

Babil

2

-

-

-

-

2

Baghdad

3/1 M

4/1M

1

-

-

8/2 M

Basra

1 M

-

-

-

-

1 M

Diyala

-

-

3

1

1

5

Kirkuk

1

 

-

1

-

2

Ninewa

-

2/1 Pro-Iran

-

1

1

4/1 Pro-Iran

Salahaddin

2

-

1

-

-

3

Sulaymaniya

-

1 Pro-Iran

1

-

-

2/1 Pro-Iran

TOTAL

9/2M

8/2 Pro-Iran/1 Militia

6

3

2

 

 

Casualties In Iraq By Province

Province

Oct 1-7

Oct 8-14

Oct 15-21

Oct 22-28

Oct 29-31

Totals

Anbar

-

3 (3W)

-

-

-

3 (3W)

Babil

3 (1K, 2W)

-

-

-

-

3 (1K, 2W)

Baghdad

3 (2K, 1W)

20 (4K, 16W)

4 (1K, 3W)

-

-

27 (7K, 20W)

Basra

12 (2K, 10W)

-

-

-

-

12 (2K, 10W)

Diyala

-

-

3 (1K, 2W)

-

-

3 (1K, 2W)

Kirkuk

1 (1W)

-

-

2 (2K)

-

3 (2K, 1W)

Ninewa

-

1 (1K)

-

1 (1W)

2 (2W)

4 (1K, 3W)

Salahaddin

3 (1K, 2W)

-

-

-

-

3 (1K, 2W)

Sulaymaniya

-

-

4 (2K, 2W)

-

-

4 (2K, 2W)

TOTAL

22 (6K, 16W)

24 (5K, 19W)

11 (4K, 7W)

3 (2K, 1W)

2 (2W)

62 (17K, 45W)

 

Attacks by Pro-Iran Groups

 

August Total 5 (1)

9/5/22

Rockets – Irbil

 

September Total 1

10/8/22

Rockets – Turkish Base, Ninewa

10/12/22

Rockets – Khor Mor Gas Field, Sulaymaniya

 

October – Total 2

 

Security In Iraq 2021-22

Week

Security

Incidents

(Total/By IS)

Dead

(Total/By IS)

Wounded

(Total/By IS)

Jan 1-7

21/2

13

19

Jan 8-14

17/3

12

6

Jan 15-21

20/3

52

133

Jan 22-28

10/3

13

12

Jan 29-31

9/1

2

6

JAN

77/13

92

176

Feb 1-7

19/2

11

23

Feb 8-14

11/3

4

8

Feb 15-21

20/7

11

23

Feb 22-28

13/4

13

23

FEB

63/16

39

77

Mar 1-7

19/5

5

8

Mar 8-14

12/2

13

15

Mar 15-21

24/6

8

7

Mar 22-28

14/2

8

13

Mar 29-31

9/5

2

1

MAR

79/20

39

44

Apr 1-7

16/10

3

5

Apr 8-14

15/6

6

18

Apr 15-21

32/4

19

44

Apr 22-28

31/6

15

42

Apr 29-30

12/1

11

23

APR

107/27

54

132

May 1-7

36/8

33

37

May 8-14

31/5

14

25

May 15-21

15/2

3

3

May 22-28

20/9

3

24

May 29-31

11

6

11

MAY

113/24

59

100

Jun 1-7

12/5

6

29

Jun 8-14

22/10

7

7

Jun 15-21

24/4

14

14

Jun 22-28

19/2

10

17

Jun 29-30

5

-

21

JUN

83/21

36

87

Jul 1-7

38/9

11

35

Jul 8-14

25/4

7

17

Jul 15-21

20/1

48

75

Jul 22-28

10/1

10

7

Jul 29-31

16/5

30

30

JUL

110/20

106

164

Aug 1-7

44/5

12

19

Aug 8-14

31/6

17

23

Aug 15-21

25/8

12

18

Aug 22-28

21/9

8

10

Aug 29-31

12/2

5

12

AUG

133/30

54

82

Sep 1-7

21/3

12

24

Sep 8-14

28/3

24

36

Sep 15-21

13/1

5

17

Sep 22-28

17/4

13

9

Sep 29-30

2

-

-

SEP

81/11

54

86

Oct 1-7

17

11

22

Oct 8-14

14/1

4

13

Oct 15-21

9/2

3

2

Oct 22-28

21/1/1

36

42

Oct 29-31

11/1

7

7

OCT

72/6/1

61

86

Nov 1-7

20/2

3

20

Nov 8-14

15/1

11

18

Nov 15-21

14/4

2

4

Nov 22-28

15/4

10

14

Nov 29-30

3/1

1

3

NOV

67/12

27

59

Dec 1-7

17/2

29

22

Dec 8-14

14/4

4

6

Dec 15-21

22/8

11

12

Dec 22-28

18/8

11

27

Dec 29-31

7/1

5

4

DEC

78/23

56

67

Jan 1-7, 2022

18/9

3

4

Jan 8-14

35/21

3

18

Jan 15-21

12/5

17

12

Jan 22-28

16/3

8

19

Jan 29-31

6/2

2

6

JAN

87/41

33

59

Feb 1-7

11/3

1

10

Feb 8-14

14/6

8

3

Feb 15-21

9/1

-

11

Feb 22-28

8/4

1

5

FEB

42/14

10

29

Mar 1-7

7/3

1

-

Mar 8-14

18/3/1

6

5

Mar 15-21

10/4

5

6

Mar 22-28

6/1

7

4

Mar 29-31

4/1

-

5

MAR

46/12/1

19

21

Apr 1-7

16/8

-

6

Apr 8-14

21/7

8

25

Apr 15-21

22/2

10

22

Apr 22-28

44/4

14

44

Apr 29-30

6/1

2

6

APR

111/22

34

103

May 1-7

31/3

8

25

May 8-14

9/2

2

7

May 15-21

18/6

10

6

May 22-28

13/1

21

11

May 29-31

2/1

-

2

MAY

73/13

41

51

Jun 1-7

6/2

-

8

Jun 8-14

12/4

1

9

Jun 15-21

10/2

5

2

Jun 22-28

12/6

1

14

Jun 29-30

-

-

-

JUN

40/14

7

33

Jul 1-7

7/1

6

11

Jul 8-14

3

-

2

Jul 15-21

11/2

14

16

Jul 22-28

18/7

9

21

Jul 29-31

4

4

4

JUL

43/6

33

54

Aug 1-7

9/1

6

15

Aug 8-14

14

2

14

Aug 15-21

7/2

-

6

Aug 22-28

23/4

14

15

Aug 29-31

4

2

4

AUG

57/7/1

24

54

Sep 1-7

11/1

3

20

Sep 8-14

5

-

12

Sep 15-21

12

4

14

Sep 22-28

10/2 M

2

16

Sep 29-30

3/1 M

-

2

SEP

41/1/3 M

9

64

Oct 1-7

9/2 M

6

16

Oct 8-14

8/2/1 M

5

19

Oct 15-21

6

4

7

Oct 22-28

3

2

1

Oct 29-31

2

-

2

OCT

28/2/3 M

17

45

 

Violence By Province Oct 15-21, 2022

Province

Violence

2018 Avg

2019 Avg

2020 Avg

2021 Avg

2022 Avg

Anbar

1 Incident

3 Wounded

1 ISF

2 Hashd

 

1 IED

12.6 incidents/

month

8.6 incidents/ month

7.0 incidents/ month

4.6 incidents/ month

2.5 incidents/month

Babil

2 Incidents

1 Killed

1 Civilian

2 Wounded

2 Civilians

 

1 Shooting

1 IED

4.0 incidents/month

3.0 incidents/month

2.75 incidents/month

2.5 incidents/month

1.7 incidents/month

Baghdad

8/2 Militia Incidents

7 Killed

3 ISF

4 Civilians

20 Wounded

4 Hashd

4 ISF

12 Civilians

 

4 Shootings

2 IEDs

2 Rockets

33.0 incidents/month

11.6 incidents/month

7.3 incidents/month

5.6 incidents/ month

3.5 incidents/month

Basra

1 Militia Incident

2 Killed

2 Civilians

10 Wounded

10 Civilians

 

1 Rockets

 

 

 

 

 

Diyala

5 Incidents

1 Killed

1 ISF

2 Wounded

2 ISF

 

2 Shootings

1 IED

2 Mortars

34.5 incidents/month

30.0 incidents/month

30.6 incidents/month

23.2 incidents/month

14.2 incidents/month

Kirkuk

2 Incidents

2 Killed

2 ISF

1 Wounded

1 ISF

 

1 Shooting

1 IED

36.5 incidents/month

18.6 incidents/month

13.9 incidents/month

11.6 incidents/month

9.8 incidents/month

Ninewa

4/1 Pro-Iran Incident

1 Killed

1 Civilian

3 Wounded

3 Civilians

 

1 Shooting

2 IEDs

1 Rockets

20.0 incidents/month

14.0 incidents/month

10.6 incidents/month

8.4 incidents/month

6.5 incidents/month

Salahaddin

3 Incidents

1 Killed

1 Hashd

2 Wounded

2 Hashd

 

1 Shooting

2 IEDs

21.7 incidents/month

10.6 incidents/month

11.2 incidents/month

11.5 incidents/month

6.0 incidents/month

Sulaymaniya

2/1 Pro-Iran Incident

2 Killed

2 Peshmerga

2 Wounded

2 Peshmerga

 

1 IED

1 Rockets

 

 

 

 

 

 

SOURCES

 

Bas News, "Multiple Rockets Fired at Turkish Base in Iraq's Mosul," 10/8/22

 

Buratha News, “Security sources: 12 were killed or wounded by the terrorist gangs that attacked the presidential palaces,” 10/4/22

 

eKurd, "Katyusha rockets target Khor Mor gas field in Iraq's Kurdistan," 10/13/22

 

NINA, "The Presidential Palaces in Basra Subjected to a Missile Attack," 10/3/22

- "Targeting the Green Zone with a Katyusha missile," 10/1/22

 

Salem, Amr, "9 rockets hit Green Zone while parliament electing a country's president," 10/13/22

 

Al-Salhy, Suadad, “Iraq: Sadrists attack rival factions in Basra to choke off their funds,” Middle East Eye, 10/4/22

 

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