Violence has been dropping in Iraq since the Islamic State’s annual summer offensive ended. October saw the lowest monthly incident total since 2003.
There were a total of 28 security incidents recorded in Iraq in October. The previous month there were 41.
There were 2 attacks by pro-Iran groups and 3 by Sadrists in October. In Ninewa Hashd factions fired rockets at a Turkish military base in the north that has become a favorite target. Missiles were also launched at the Khor Mor gas field in Sulaymaniya. That was likely a political message to the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan that runs the province to stay with the Coordination Framework in government talks. Sadrists also shot rockets at the Green Zone twice in October to protest the Framework’s moves to pick the next prime minister. One of those attacks left 10 civilians wounded. They also got into a gun battle with the Hashd in Basra city that involved missiles being launched at the presidential palace that killed 2 and wounded 10.
That just left 23 incidents by the Islamic State. The month before there were 37. The previous monthly low for IS activity was 26 in June. Before that it was 28 in February. Those all point to the dramatic decline in the insurgency which is barely holding on in Iraq.
IS activity took place in Anbar (1), Babil (2), Baghdad (6), Diyala (5), Kirkuk (2), Ninewa (3), Salahaddin (3) and Sulaymaniya (1).
They left 15 dead and 25 wounded. 1 Hashd al-Shaabi, 2 Peshmerga, 6 members of the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) and 6 civilians were killed and 2 Peshmerga, 7 civilians 8 Hashd, and 8 ISF were injured.
During the first week of October there were 7 IS incidents only one of which was offensive in Baghdad. During the second week there were 5 attacks, 1 of which was offensive in Baghdad. The third week of October there were 6 incidents 3 of which were offensive, 1 in Baghdad, 1 in Diyala and 1 in Sulaymaniya. The fourth week there were just 3 incidents none of which were offensive. The same was true for the last 3 days of the month. That was a total of 5 offensive attacks out of 23. The other 18 were meant to keep people and the government out of IS areas. None of these were in cities again pointing to the drop in IS activity which is limited to sparsely populated rural areas of the country.
Security Incidents In Iraq By Province
|
Province |
Oct 1-7 |
Oct 8-14 |
Oct 15-21 |
Oct 22-28 |
Oct 29-31 |
Totals |
|
Anbar |
- |
1 |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
|
Babil |
2 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
2 |
|
Baghdad |
3/1 M |
4/1M |
1 |
- |
- |
8/2 M |
|
Basra |
1 M |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1 M |
|
Diyala |
- |
- |
3 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
|
Kirkuk |
1 |
|
- |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
Ninewa |
- |
2/1 Pro-Iran |
- |
1 |
1 |
4/1 Pro-Iran |
|
Salahaddin |
2 |
- |
1 |
- |
- |
3 |
|
Sulaymaniya |
- |
1 Pro-Iran |
1 |
- |
- |
2/1 Pro-Iran |
|
TOTAL |
9/2M |
8/2 Pro-Iran/1 Militia |
6 |
3 |
2 |
|
Casualties In Iraq By Province
|
Province |
Oct 1-7 |
Oct 8-14 |
Oct 15-21 |
Oct 22-28 |
Oct 29-31 |
Totals |
|
Anbar |
- |
3 (3W) |
- |
- |
- |
3 (3W) |
|
Babil |
3 (1K, 2W) |
- |
- |
- |
- |
3 (1K, 2W) |
|
Baghdad |
3 (2K, 1W) |
20 (4K, 16W) |
4 (1K, 3W) |
- |
- |
27 (7K, 20W) |
|
Basra |
12 (2K, 10W) |
- |
- |
- |
- |
12 (2K, 10W) |
|
Diyala |
- |
- |
3 (1K, 2W) |
- |
- |
3 (1K, 2W) |
|
Kirkuk |
1 (1W) |
- |
- |
2 (2K) |
- |
3 (2K, 1W) |
|
Ninewa |
- |
1 (1K) |
- |
1 (1W) |
2 (2W) |
4 (1K, 3W) |
|
Salahaddin |
3 (1K, 2W) |
- |
- |
- |
- |
3 (1K, 2W) |
|
Sulaymaniya |
- |
- |
4 (2K, 2W) |
- |
- |
4 (2K, 2W) |
|
TOTAL |
22 (6K, 16W) |
24 (5K, 19W) |
11 (4K, 7W) |
3 (2K, 1W) |
2 (2W) |
62 (17K, 45W) |
Attacks by Pro-Iran Groups
|
|
August Total 5 (1) |
|
9/5/22 |
Rockets – Irbil |
|
|
September Total 1 |
|
10/8/22 |
Rockets – Turkish Base, Ninewa |
|
10/12/22 |
Rockets – Khor Mor Gas Field, Sulaymaniya |
|
|
October – Total 2 |
Security In Iraq 2021-22
|
Week |
Security Incidents (Total/By IS) |
Dead (Total/By IS) |
Wounded (Total/By IS) |
|
Jan 1-7 |
21/2 |
13 |
19 |
|
Jan 8-14 |
17/3 |
12 |
6 |
|
Jan 15-21 |
20/3 |
52 |
133 |
|
Jan 22-28 |
10/3 |
13 |
12 |
|
Jan 29-31 |
9/1 |
2 |
6 |
|
JAN |
77/13 |
92 |
176 |
|
Feb 1-7 |
19/2 |
11 |
23 |
|
Feb 8-14 |
11/3 |
4 |
8 |
|
Feb 15-21 |
20/7 |
11 |
23 |
|
Feb 22-28 |
13/4 |
13 |
23 |
|
FEB |
63/16 |
39 |
77 |
|
Mar 1-7 |
19/5 |
5 |
8 |
|
Mar 8-14 |
12/2 |
13 |
15 |
|
Mar 15-21 |
24/6 |
8 |
7 |
|
Mar 22-28 |
14/2 |
8 |
13 |
|
Mar 29-31 |
9/5 |
2 |
1 |
|
MAR |
79/20 |
39 |
44 |
|
Apr 1-7 |
16/10 |
3 |
5 |
|
Apr 8-14 |
15/6 |
6 |
18 |
|
Apr 15-21 |
32/4 |
19 |
44 |
|
Apr 22-28 |
31/6 |
15 |
42 |
|
Apr 29-30 |
12/1 |
11 |
23 |
|
APR |
107/27 |
54 |
132 |
|
May 1-7 |
36/8 |
33 |
37 |
|
May 8-14 |
31/5 |
14 |
25 |
|
May 15-21 |
15/2 |
3 |
3 |
|
May 22-28 |
20/9 |
3 |
24 |
|
May 29-31 |
11 |
6 |
11 |
|
MAY |
113/24 |
59 |
100 |
|
Jun 1-7 |
12/5 |
6 |
29 |
|
Jun 8-14 |
22/10 |
7 |
7 |
|
Jun 15-21 |
24/4 |
14 |
14 |
|
Jun 22-28 |
19/2 |
10 |
17 |
|
Jun 29-30 |
5 |
- |
21 |
|
JUN |
83/21 |
36 |
87 |
|
Jul 1-7 |
38/9 |
11 |
35 |
|
Jul 8-14 |
25/4 |
7 |
17 |
|
Jul 15-21 |
20/1 |
48 |
75 |
|
Jul 22-28 |
10/1 |
10 |
7 |
|
Jul 29-31 |
16/5 |
30 |
30 |
|
JUL |
110/20 |
106 |
164 |
|
Aug 1-7 |
44/5 |
12 |
19 |
|
Aug 8-14 |
31/6 |
17 |
23 |
|
Aug 15-21 |
25/8 |
12 |
18 |
|
Aug 22-28 |
21/9 |
8 |
10 |
|
Aug 29-31 |
12/2 |
5 |
12 |
|
AUG |
133/30 |
54 |
82 |
|
Sep 1-7 |
21/3 |
12 |
24 |
|
Sep 8-14 |
28/3 |
24 |
36 |
|
Sep 15-21 |
13/1 |
5 |
17 |
|
Sep 22-28 |
17/4 |
13 |
9 |
|
Sep 29-30 |
2 |
- |
- |
|
SEP |
81/11 |
54 |
86 |
|
Oct 1-7 |
17 |
11 |
22 |
|
Oct 8-14 |
14/1 |
4 |
13 |
|
Oct 15-21 |
9/2 |
3 |
2 |
|
Oct 22-28 |
21/1/1 |
36 |
42 |
|
Oct 29-31 |
11/1 |
7 |
7 |
|
OCT |
72/6/1 |
61 |
86 |
|
Nov 1-7 |
20/2 |
3 |
20 |
|
Nov 8-14 |
15/1 |
11 |
18 |
|
Nov 15-21 |
14/4 |
2 |
4 |
|
Nov 22-28 |
15/4 |
10 |
14 |
|
Nov 29-30 |
3/1 |
1 |
3 |
|
NOV |
67/12 |
27 |
59 |
|
Dec 1-7 |
17/2 |
29 |
22 |
|
Dec 8-14 |
14/4 |
4 |
6 |
|
Dec 15-21 |
22/8 |
11 |
12 |
|
Dec 22-28 |
18/8 |
11 |
27 |
|
Dec 29-31 |
7/1 |
5 |
4 |
|
DEC |
78/23 |
56 |
67 |
|
Jan 1-7, 2022 |
18/9 |
3 |
4 |
|
Jan 8-14 |
35/21 |
3 |
18 |
|
Jan 15-21 |
12/5 |
17 |
12 |
|
Jan 22-28 |
16/3 |
8 |
19 |
|
Jan 29-31 |
6/2 |
2 |
6 |
|
JAN |
87/41 |
33 |
59 |
|
Feb 1-7 |
11/3 |
1 |
10 |
|
Feb 8-14 |
14/6 |
8 |
3 |
|
Feb 15-21 |
9/1 |
- |
11 |
|
Feb 22-28 |
8/4 |
1 |
5 |
|
FEB |
42/14 |
10 |
29 |
|
Mar 1-7 |
7/3 |
1 |
- |
|
Mar 8-14 |
18/3/1 |
6 |
5 |
|
Mar 15-21 |
10/4 |
5 |
6 |
|
Mar 22-28 |
6/1 |
7 |
4 |
|
Mar 29-31 |
4/1 |
- |
5 |
|
MAR |
46/12/1 |
19 |
21 |
|
Apr 1-7 |
16/8 |
- |
6 |
|
Apr 8-14 |
21/7 |
8 |
25 |
|
Apr 15-21 |
22/2 |
10 |
22 |
|
Apr 22-28 |
44/4 |
14 |
44 |
|
Apr 29-30 |
6/1 |
2 |
6 |
|
APR |
111/22 |
34 |
103 |
|
May 1-7 |
31/3 |
8 |
25 |
|
May 8-14 |
9/2 |
2 |
7 |
|
May 15-21 |
18/6 |
10 |
6 |
|
May 22-28 |
13/1 |
21 |
11 |
|
May 29-31 |
2/1 |
- |
2 |
|
MAY |
73/13 |
41 |
51 |
|
Jun 1-7 |
6/2 |
- |
8 |
|
Jun 8-14 |
12/4 |
1 |
9 |
|
Jun 15-21 |
10/2 |
5 |
2 |
|
Jun 22-28 |
12/6 |
1 |
14 |
|
Jun 29-30 |
- |
- |
- |
|
JUN |
40/14 |
7 |
33 |
|
Jul 1-7 |
7/1 |
6 |
11 |
|
Jul 8-14 |
3 |
- |
2 |
|
Jul 15-21 |
11/2 |
14 |
16 |
|
Jul 22-28 |
18/7 |
9 |
21 |
|
Jul 29-31 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
|
JUL |
43/6 |
33 |
54 |
|
Aug 1-7 |
9/1 |
6 |
15 |
|
Aug 8-14 |
14 |
2 |
14 |
|
Aug 15-21 |
7/2 |
- |
6 |
|
Aug 22-28 |
23/4 |
14 |
15 |
|
Aug 29-31 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
|
AUG |
57/7/1 |
24 |
54 |
|
Sep 1-7 |
11/1 |
3 |
20 |
|
Sep 8-14 |
5 |
- |
12 |
|
Sep 15-21 |
12 |
4 |
14 |
|
Sep 22-28 |
10/2 M |
2 |
16 |
|
Sep 29-30 |
3/1 M |
- |
2 |
|
SEP |
41/1/3 M |
9 |
64 |
|
Oct 1-7 |
9/2 M |
6 |
16 |
|
Oct 8-14 |
8/2/1 M |
5 |
19 |
|
Oct 15-21 |
6 |
4 |
7 |
|
Oct 22-28 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
|
Oct 29-31 |
2 |
- |
2 |
|
OCT |
28/2/3 M |
17 |
45 |
Violence By Province Oct 15-21, 2022
|
Province |
Violence |
2018 Avg |
2019 Avg |
2020 Avg |
2021 Avg |
2022 Avg |
|
Anbar |
1 Incident 3 Wounded 1 ISF 2 Hashd
1 IED |
12.6 incidents/ month |
8.6 incidents/ month |
7.0 incidents/ month |
4.6 incidents/ month |
2.5 incidents/month |
|
Babil |
2 Incidents 1 Killed 1 Civilian 2 Wounded 2 Civilians
1 Shooting 1 IED |
4.0 incidents/month |
3.0 incidents/month |
2.75 incidents/month |
2.5 incidents/month |
1.7 incidents/month |
|
Baghdad |
8/2 Militia Incidents 7 Killed 3 ISF 4 Civilians 20 Wounded 4 Hashd 4 ISF 12 Civilians
4 Shootings 2 IEDs 2 Rockets |
33.0 incidents/month |
11.6 incidents/month |
7.3 incidents/month |
5.6 incidents/ month |
3.5 incidents/month |
|
Basra |
1 Militia Incident 2 Killed 2 Civilians 10 Wounded 10 Civilians
1 Rockets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diyala |
5 Incidents 1 Killed 1 ISF 2 Wounded 2 ISF
2 Shootings 1 IED 2 Mortars |
34.5 incidents/month |
30.0 incidents/month |
30.6 incidents/month |
23.2 incidents/month |
14.2 incidents/month |
|
Kirkuk |
2 Incidents 2 Killed 2 ISF 1 Wounded 1 ISF
1 Shooting 1 IED |
36.5 incidents/month |
18.6 incidents/month |
13.9 incidents/month |
11.6 incidents/month |
9.8 incidents/month |
|
Ninewa |
4/1 Pro-Iran Incident 1 Killed 1 Civilian 3 Wounded 3 Civilians
1 Shooting 2 IEDs 1 Rockets |
20.0 incidents/month |
14.0 incidents/month |
10.6 incidents/month |
8.4 incidents/month |
6.5 incidents/month |
|
Salahaddin |
3 Incidents 1 Killed 1 Hashd 2 Wounded 2 Hashd
1 Shooting 2 IEDs |
21.7 incidents/month |
10.6 incidents/month |
11.2 incidents/month |
11.5 incidents/month |
6.0 incidents/month |
|
Sulaymaniya |
2/1 Pro-Iran Incident 2 Killed 2 Peshmerga 2 Wounded 2 Peshmerga
1 IED 1 Rockets |
|
|
|
|
|
SOURCES
Bas News, "Multiple Rockets Fired at Turkish Base in Iraq's Mosul," 10/8/22
Buratha News, “Security sources: 12 were killed or wounded by the terrorist gangs that attacked the presidential palaces,” 10/4/22
eKurd, "Katyusha rockets target Khor Mor gas field in Iraq's Kurdistan," 10/13/22
NINA, "The Presidential Palaces in Basra Subjected to a Missile Attack," 10/3/22
- "Targeting the Green Zone with a Katyusha missile," 10/1/22
Salem, Amr, "9 rockets hit Green Zone while parliament electing a country's president," 10/13/22
Al-Salhy, Suadad, “Iraq: Sadrists attack rival factions in Basra to choke off their funds,” Middle East Eye, 10/4/22
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